I posted in the Strategic thread, but I have some additional thoughts.Taiwanese are still delusional
Can an ant respond to a tsunami?
Taiwanese have missed quite a lot of episodes. China is in a position of strength while the US is in a position of begging
Arabs more mercantile. They prefer buying assets in West and trying to influence through wealth and dependencies. They will keep milking West for Israel presence in Middleast. this something Afrikans hasnt managed it.Now all that remains is for the Middle East to put similar restrictions on their gas and oil until Europe takes back its European Jews. Looks like Lavrov was received well by the Arab states:
reception in Congo is like discovering a relative after decades. Congo was place of real French resistance against Germany in world war.“We will definitely help the Ukrainian people to free themselves from the regime that is absolutely anti-people and anti-history,” Lavrov said in Cairo.
A TB-001 armed reconnaissance drone of the PLA flew across the Miyako Strait and to the eastern side of the island of Taiwan, according to a press release by Japan's Ministry of Defense Joint Staff. Also on Monday, a Y-8 reconnaissance plane and a J-11 fighter jet of the PLA entered Taiwan's self-proclaimed southwest air defense identification zone, Taiwan's defense authority announced in a press release.
Russians seem to be more interested in the west than Arabs from what I can see. At least that used to be the case before the Ukraine situation happened.Arabs more mercantile. They prefer buying assets in West and trying to influence through wealth and dependencies. They will keep milking West for Israel presence in Middleast. this something Afrikans hasnt managed it.
Russian usually give tougher statement than normal when they meet Arabs as if channeling there frustrations.
reception in Congo is like discovering a relative after decades. Congo was place of real French resistance against Germany in world war.
When exactly in August is all this supposed to take place?I posted in the Strategic thread, but I have some additional thoughts.
I absolutely do not see how the US can "win" with this move unless China lets her land completely unmolested, which I find highly unlikely.
Assuming actually blowing her plane out of the sky is out of the question (which would almost assuredly trigger a war)
In what scenario does can the US play up as a 'win'?
1. Armed overflight of PLAAF or PLAN aircraft over Taiwan with no response.
PRC is in de-facto control of TW airspace
2. Armed overflight of PLAAF with ROCAF response, no combat
ROCAF is still in control, but PLAAF has the initiative
3. Armed overflight and combat engagement.
ROCAF will be handcuffed because should they initiate, then it can be seen as a declaration of war.
4. Any US escort
Similar to above. On top of this, should a US aircraft be shot down, the US is not in a good position to start a military conflict, this would give the impression that China can shootdown US aircraft over TW at their will. An armed US fighter would almost be a gift to the PRC in this scenario as it gives some fireworks without blowing up Pelosi.
i am not sure how you came to this conclusion. Russia has always supported Arabs and Afrikan when they confronted West. start with recognition of Saudia against Europeans powers. if Stalin was not in power. US/USSR/Arab relationship history would haven been different. look at 1956 Suez crises. this alone gives Arabs leverage on Europe-Asia trade.Russians seem to be more interested in the west than Arabs from what I can see. At least that used to be the case before the Ukraine situation happened.