Miscellaneous News

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Taiwanese are still delusional
Several people involved in national security policy in Taiwan said the country was trapped between the risk that China would “punish” Taipei for Pelosi’s planned visit next month and the risk that Washington would cancel the trip and effectively give China a say in US-Taiwan policy.
We know that Biden is due to have a phone call with [Chinese president] Xi Jinping, and maybe they are anxious that nothing should disrupt that,” said one person briefed on the Taiwanese government’s thinking. “We know that the Biden administration would like to improve trade ties, and maybe they don’t want that to be derailed by a Pelosi visit.”
Chen Fang-yu, an expert on US-China-Taiwan relations at Soochow University in Taipei, said Washington needed to reassure the Taiwanese public.
There is so much public scepticism here that the US could abandon Taiwan, a lot of conspiracy theories, because the China threat is so real,” he said. “Therefore, the US needs to issue more public information about its engagement with Taiwan.”


Can an ant respond to a tsunami?
If Pelosi comes then when China reacts, we need to respond to that even though we are not the initiator,” Huang said, adding that he was speaking in his capacity as an expert in cross-Strait relations and security affairs and not on behalf of the KMT.

Taiwanese have missed quite a lot of episodes. China is in a position of strength while the US is in a position of begging
If she decides not to come, it would raise suspicions whether China now has stronger power to influence American decisions.”
 

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
Taiwanese are still delusional






Can an ant respond to a tsunami?


Taiwanese have missed quite a lot of episodes. China is in a position of strength while the US is in a position of begging
I posted in the Strategic thread, but I have some additional thoughts.

I absolutely do not see how the US can "win" with this move unless China lets her land completely unmolested, which I find highly unlikely.

Assuming actually blowing her plane out of the sky is out of the question (which would almost assuredly trigger a war)
In what scenario does can the US play up as a 'win'?

1. Armed overflight of PLAAF or PLAN aircraft over Taiwan with no response.
PRC is in de-facto control of TW airspace

2. Armed overflight of PLAAF with ROCAF response, no combat
ROCAF is still in control, but PLAAF has the initiative

3. Armed overflight and combat engagement.
ROCAF will be handcuffed because should they initiate, then it can be seen as a declaration of war.

4. Any US escort
Similar to above. On top of this, should a US aircraft be shot down, the US is not in a good position to start a military conflict, this would give the impression that China can shootdown US aircraft over TW at their will. An armed US fighter would almost be a gift to the PRC in this scenario as it gives some fireworks without blowing up Pelosi.
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
Gazprom cut gas back to 20%.
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I think this should be the level they should continue until Europe pays for their crimes in the Ukraine. Cutting it off entirely will end revenue, a limited supply will increase prices meaning you get more return for

Now all that remains is for the Middle East to put similar restrictions on their gas and oil until Europe takes back its European Jews. Looks like Lavrov was received well by the Arab states:
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
Now all that remains is for the Middle East to put similar restrictions on their gas and oil until Europe takes back its European Jews. Looks like Lavrov was received well by the Arab states:
Arabs more mercantile. They prefer buying assets in West and trying to influence through wealth and dependencies. They will keep milking West for Israel presence in Middleast. this something Afrikans hasnt managed it.
Russian usually give tougher statement than normal when they meet Arabs as if channeling there frustrations.
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“We will definitely help the Ukrainian people to free themselves from the regime that is absolutely anti-people and anti-history,” Lavrov said in Cairo.
reception in Congo is like discovering a relative after decades. Congo was place of real French resistance against Germany in world war.
 

FriedButter

Colonel
Registered Member
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TB-001 drone flew on the east side of Taiwan on Monday.

A TB-001 armed reconnaissance drone of the PLA flew across the Miyako Strait and to the eastern side of the island of Taiwan, according to a press release by Japan's Ministry of Defense Joint Staff. Also on Monday, a Y-8 reconnaissance plane and a J-11 fighter jet of the PLA entered Taiwan's self-proclaimed southwest air defense identification zone, Taiwan's defense authority announced in a press release.
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
Arabs more mercantile. They prefer buying assets in West and trying to influence through wealth and dependencies. They will keep milking West for Israel presence in Middleast. this something Afrikans hasnt managed it.
Russian usually give tougher statement than normal when they meet Arabs as if channeling there frustrations.

reception in Congo is like discovering a relative after decades. Congo was place of real French resistance against Germany in world war.
Russians seem to be more interested in the west than Arabs from what I can see. At least that used to be the case before the Ukraine situation happened.
 

9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
I posted in the Strategic thread, but I have some additional thoughts.

I absolutely do not see how the US can "win" with this move unless China lets her land completely unmolested, which I find highly unlikely.

Assuming actually blowing her plane out of the sky is out of the question (which would almost assuredly trigger a war)
In what scenario does can the US play up as a 'win'?

1. Armed overflight of PLAAF or PLAN aircraft over Taiwan with no response.
PRC is in de-facto control of TW airspace

2. Armed overflight of PLAAF with ROCAF response, no combat
ROCAF is still in control, but PLAAF has the initiative

3. Armed overflight and combat engagement.
ROCAF will be handcuffed because should they initiate, then it can be seen as a declaration of war.

4. Any US escort
Similar to above. On top of this, should a US aircraft be shot down, the US is not in a good position to start a military conflict, this would give the impression that China can shootdown US aircraft over TW at their will. An armed US fighter would almost be a gift to the PRC in this scenario as it gives some fireworks without blowing up Pelosi.
When exactly in August is all this supposed to take place?

To your last point, if the US sends fighter jets to escort Pelosi and Pompous all the way to TW, are you speculating China will attempt to shoot down the US 5th gen fighters vs rather than shooting down the transport aircraft?

If China lets US fly its military aircraft overland of TW whilsts so far having refrained from doing so itself then I dont consider this acceptable.... it would be slap in the face if China lets this slide
 
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