You are still thinking of things under the old dynamic and trying to play to old game, but things have moved on from that past the point of no-return, so we are now playing a very different game, with different rules and objectives.
The old game was one of peaceful win-win co-existence between China and the US. Where China tried to shape America’s China policy with its moves and reactions. But today, that is frankly impossible. American society has so eagerly embraced its racially charged full spectrum confrontation with China to such an extent that no electable presidential candidate can reverse that trajectory. Nor could China afford to trust the promises of any US administration who comes with sugar coated words of reconciliation.
The new game is about winning the new economic, tech and Cold wars while minimising the risks of things going full kinetic. Simultaneously China is making systematic, concrete efforts to prepare to win the next world war and coming out of it with enough pieces intact to rebuild the Chinese civilisation and rest of the world eventually.
Once you know what to look out for, the signs are everywhere. I just got back from a trip in China and the most striking observation I came back with was how China’s cities are now being built to allow as many residents as possible to survive nuclear war. All new shopping malls are built with deep underground car parks that have multiple layers of heavy duty blast doors. Even the new higher spec residential tower blocks have underground bomb shelters. Looking out at Beijing’s skyline from my hotel room, it was painfully obvious how all of the new construction projects nearby were digging foundations that were far deeper than necessary.
This is what an all-of-society war prepr on the DL looks like. Make no mistake, China is gearing up for war, and not the kind of bomb-some-sandal-wearing-farmer-with-an-AK-on-the-other-side-of-the-world-war-that-you-can-walk-away-from-anytime-you-get-bored-of-it war, China is gearing itself up for a full-spectrum war of survival, where loosing means the end of your people and civilisation. Because looking at the west’s track record and what is happening right now in Gaza, can you really afford to not expect the west to go full genocidal if they win a war that costs them millions of dead?
So no, China no longer cares about petty horse trading and equality, its moves will all be ruthlessly focused and hyper-rational all working towards its big picture plans. Ideally win the Cold War so it doesn’t need to fight the hot war, but be ready, willing and able to win the hot war whatever it takes should it come to that.
It is irrational to reward American ‘bad behaviour’ by the old rules, but in the new reality, where there is no hope of preventing American bad behaviour, the goal is instead to ensure the most incompetent and cowardly leaders and factions win and keep power in the US.
These latest Chinese ‘concessions’ are designed to make Americans feel like the Biden idiocy regime is actually working and achieving something, so ideally they give him another 4 years to gift to China. Trump is no less incompetent and idiotic, but he is also brash, rash and focused in a way the Biden figurehead can never be, so the risks of him accidentally kicking off the kinetic war is worryingly high.