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ACuriousPLAFan

Brigadier
Registered Member
Lose lips MIGHT SINK SHIPS. It seems that India's CDS made a public statement that ought to have been kept private. His expressed opinion (Russias importance with India will be reduced overtime) is going to make the country even more suspicious to Russia if it wasn't already. India is trying to have their cake and eat it too with respect to its relationship with Russia and its flirtatious move to have the U.S. as the replacement due to India-Sino rivalry.

The more India keeps voluntarily screwing up Delhi-Moscow relations in favor of greater Delhi-Washington relations, the further Russia will side with China.

Because otherwise, who else can Russia rely with? Europe and North America have long became the arch nemesis of Russia, and regions elsewhere just don't have the necessary volume and weight to support and back Russia, which is getting ever more cornered by the West - Other than the you-know-who.

Remember that ever since the Sino-Soviet Split, the USSR (and later on Russia) has always desired India to be a counterweight in mainland Asia against China, which has been seen by Moscow as posing an significant threat towards the Russian Far East that has been forcefully taken over from the Qing Dynasty in the late 19th-century.

If India voluntarily wants to screw up that relations with Russia and instead decided that they want to become a counterweight against China on behalf of the West, China should capitalize on this opportunity and make Russia ever more cooperative with China for economic and security reasons.

On the flipside, Beijing would also very much desire a China-friendly Moscow, as this is crucial for securing China's northern frontier against foreign infiltrations and invasions.

Other than the historic Great Wall, the Third Front Project (which I highly encourage everyone to take a read) very much illustrated the anxiety and concern of the Chinese leadership throughout Mao's era of the 1960s and 1970s regarding a potential Soviet invasion of China from the north (through the Russian Far East and Mongolian SSR) and also the west (through the Central Asian SSRs). If the vast territories north of the Chinese-Russian and Mongolian-Russian borders are held in friendly hands, then China can dedicate more of her attention and focus towards frontiers that are more demanding and more critical towards national security (i.e. Pacific and Himalayas).
 

ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
The more India keeps voluntarily screwing up Delhi-Moscow relations in favor of greater Delhi-Washington relations, the further Russia will side with China.

Because otherwise, who else can Russia rely with? Europe and North America have long became the arch nemesis of Russia, and regions elsewhere just don't have the necessary volume and weight to support and back Russia, which is getting ever more cornered by the West - Other than the you-know-who.

Remember that ever since the Sino-Soviet Split, the USSR (and later on Russia) has always desired India to be a counterweight in mainland Asia against China, which has been seen by Moscow as posing an significant threat towards the Russian Far East that has been forcefully taken over from the Qing Dynasty in the late 19th-century.

If India voluntarily wants to screw up that relations with Russia and instead decided that they want to become a counterweight against China on behalf of the West, China should capitalize on this opportunity and make Russia ever more cooperative with China for economic and security reasons.

On the flipside, Beijing would also very much desire a China-friendly Moscow, as this is crucial for securing China's northern frontier against foreign infiltrations and invasions.

Other than the historic Great Wall, the Third Front Project (which I highly encourage everyone to take a read) very much illustrated the anxiety and concern of the Chinese leadership throughout Mao's era of the 1960s and 1970s regarding a potential Soviet invasion of China from the north (through the Russian Far East and Mongolian SSR) and also the west (through the Central Asian SSRs). If the vast territories north of the Chinese-Russian and Mongolian-Russian borders are held in friendly hands, then China can dedicate more of her attention and focus towards frontiers that are more demanding and more critical towards national security (i.e. Pacific and Himalayas).
The Chinese thinking, with the Collective West antagonizing attitude to Russia may last at least a decade so an opportunity open, they need to synergized BRI with Eurasian Economic Union ASAP. Once the foundation had been laid with the Economic corridor being established, There is NO TURNING BACK whoever the future leader of Russia will be. The oil pipeline and other being constructed once finished will be an embodiment of that relationship.
 
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ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
The Israelis can't do anything to their number one trade partner. If they want to reduce or cut off trade then they are free to do so, China will gain even more influence in the Mid East.
To tell you the truth bro, among the Middle eastern country, China prefer, seek and court Iran. They have many things in common, both are a civilization state and Iran had the potential to be a Regional Power. It may take a while for Saudi Arabia, cause a lot of their investment is denominated in US dollar so they have to thread very carefully, while Turkey is a US vassal and the American will never let go such strategic real estate without a fight.
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
The more India keeps voluntarily screwing up Delhi-Moscow relations in favor of greater Delhi-Washington relations, the further Russia will side with China.

Because otherwise, who else can Russia rely with? Europe and North America have long became the arch nemesis of Russia, and regions elsewhere just don't have the necessary volume and weight to support and back Russia, which is getting ever more cornered by the West - Other than the you-know-who.

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You forgot Gulf Arabs. Wealth and GDP is not the same thing. Alot of countries with large GDP does not have much spare money or willingness to spend. and no one make relations based on statements. how quickly Russia dump Armenia when Azeri have Gulf Arabs support. India does not buy much Iranian oil and is supportive of Arab Israeli normalization process and Indian human capital running Gulf Arab economies. Russia may not sell much industrial goods to India but it is due to changes in its domestic industrial restructuring where products for domestic market is priority but India will get enhance relations with Russia due to its importance for Gulf Arabs.
This live example of soft Power walking around not because he is Saudi oil minister. and that soft Power is attracting all those flights despite Russian airlines not easy access to parts and airports have flight restrictions.

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Flights from Sochi to Dubai will be daily
Rossiya Airlines launches daily flights from Sochi to Dubai
09.12.2023
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MOSCOW. OCTOBER 11. INTERFAX-TOURISM - Starting October 30, Aeroflot airline will increase the frequency of flights from Moscow to Dubai (UAE) to three daily flights, the carrier’s press service reported on Wednesday.
 
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