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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member

BREAKING: France agrees to provide security guarantees for Ukraine..

what that means ? interesting time ahead
In short, nothing.

The longer version, any security arrangement, be it NATO membership or this new proposal, has to take effect after Russia and Ukraine signed a peace treaty or a cease fire, or the scope of the proposal must give room for France to not take military action. Otherwise, members of the new arrangement will immediately be in war with Russia.

So IMO this proposal must have some prerequisite such as cease fire, otherwise it is just another PR move.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
The European vassals are eager for their Ukrainian adventure to end soon or at least to freeze the conflict to recover after more than a year of proxy war. And how Europe still thinks it can mediate this conflict is beyond laughable.


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As I read the report, the proposed meeting is to present Zelensky's 10 points which calls for Russian withdraw from all Ukrainian claimed territory and Russian compensation. The report noted that Russia is not invited, everyone else is welcomed. It is clearly not a proposal for negotiation but only a stage for political performace, and Danmark as a NATO member isn't qualified for mediation either. So the Danish doesn't intend to mediate at all.
 
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KYli

Brigadier
Go ahead, ChangXin was not putting on entity list is due to the fact that it is not as advance as YMTC in its sector. It won't hurt China a bit if the US decided to put ChangXin on the entity list.

In addition, why should South Korea not backfilling those orders that were lost by Micron when the US didn't hesitate to take advantages of taking orders from China that were lost by Australia or Canada. Moreover, the US can sanction China but China can't retaliate if China retaliated then it is coercion.
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luminary

Senior Member
Registered Member
You don't need to be rich to be on social media. You need a phone. Africans and Indians are addicted to social media, yet there's no increase in mental health problems there.

It's to do with the broader decline in living standards and quality of life that's happening in western countries. Blaming social media is like blaming video games for school shootings.
It definitely depends on the
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too, their general mentality. Unsure how exactly, but it does.
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LawLeadsToPeace

Senior Member
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Registered Member
You don't need to be rich to be on social media. You need a phone. Africans and Indians are addicted to social media, yet there's no increase in mental health problems there.

It's to do with the broader decline in living standards and quality of life that's happening in western countries. Blaming social media is like blaming video games for school shootings.
How do you know they don’t have mental issues? Both regions are too poor to focus on mental health, and the latter is infamous for gang rapes, which is most likely caused by severe mental illnesses among their men. Plus, Sweden, as far as I know, is still at the top in regards to mental health along with some of the other Western nations.
 
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Abominable

Major
Registered Member
How do you know they don’t have mental issues? Both regions are too poor to focus on mental health, and the latter is infamous for gang rapes, which is most likely caused by severe mental illnesses among their men. Plus, Sweden, as far as I know, is still at the top in regards to mental health along with some of the other Western nations.
There are lots of metrics you can use to assess prevalence of mental health problems that don't require a functional healthcare system, take for example suicide rates or drug use. Even if a country has no health infrastructure to diagnose or treat mental health you'd see an increase in people overdosing on drugs, killing themselves, and so on. They only seem to be getting worse in the west.

Look at China. There is a widespread increase in the use of social media just like the west, yet there's no evidence of any increase in mental health problems. You can either believe it is because the quality of life has improved in China over the past 20 years, or use the American argument it's because tiktok are only showing people educational content in China...

There are other factors, but the biggest is the decline in living standards post 2008 financial crisis. It could also be the fact more and more people are choosing not to have children (but it could be argued that is related to money).

I can't speak much about Sweden but I'd assume they're in the same boat as the rest of Europe.
 

baykalov

Senior Member
Registered Member
Politico: high-ranking officials of Ukraine are engaged in illegal redistribution of business. The publication reports that the Zelensky administration is using the war to enrich itself through extortion, robbery and weakening competitors. Ze&Co corrupt!? I’m “shocked”...

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When asked whether she felt safe, Smart Holding CEO Julia Kiryanova — head of one of Ukraine’s largest investment conglomerates — paused and then said firmly, “Nobody’s safe.”

For months now, Kiryanova has been battling to save Smart Holding from what appears to be a corporate raid — one she believes involves senior Ukrainian government officials and is aimed at forcing the company to agree to a fire sale. There’s peril in resisting “because when the law is not there, any person can be persecuted for no reason,” she said.

Kiryanova believes Russia’s war on Ukraine is being used by powerful and politically connected players in Ukraine to enrich themselves by extorting, plundering and weakening commercial rivals — as well as an opportunity to redistribute corporate assets, partly in a bid to strip the old elite of wealth in order to shape a new one. And it’s all being done with scant regard to the rule of law.

“New oligarchs will appear soon,” she said.

Kiryanova and other corporate executives say the “reordering” has seen some firms — including Smart Holding — face dubious criminal charges, or be added to Ukraine’s list of sanctioned companies by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) on highly vague national security grounds.

Parimatch — a leading global sports betting company — has recently been added to this list of sanctioned businesses, but it has yet to receive any formal explanation as to why. Informally, executives have been told Russian links to firms providing administrative services to the company were found. Other times, they’ve been told they’ve been sanctioned due to tax irregularities, even though tax infringements aren’t grounds for inclusion on the sanctions list.

But these moves against Ukraine’s most successful companies are raising eyebrows — not just in Kyiv — and risk deterring foreign investors, adding to behind-the-scenes worry regarding the country’s seemingly endemic and intractable corruption problem, which has dogged it for decades. Last year, some European Union countries, including Germany, even delayed the distribution of financial aid to Ukraine due to accountability concerns that money could be diverted into corrupt schemes.

Today, Smart Holding is one of Ukraine’s largest investment groups, focused on metals, mining, oil, gas, agriculture, retail, shipbuilding and real estate. It also has a 23 percent stake in Metinvest, another major mining and metals group, which is the owner of the Azovstal Iron and Steel Works in Mariupol. The steelworks was destroyed during the long siege of the city.

According to Kiryanova, Smart Holding stopped trading in Russia after 2014.

Meanwhile, Maxym Liashko, the co-CEO of Parimatch, is equally perplexed as to why his business has been targeted. Founded in 1994 in Kyiv and now headquartered in Cyprus, the company operates under licenses issued by local regulators in Ukraine, Central Asia, Africa, the Indian subcontinent, the United Kingdom — and, until recently, in Russia and Belarus, but it immediately withdrew from those markets when Ukraine was invaded, ending franchise agreements and losing millions of dollars.

Picking up on rumors in government circles that the betting market in Ukraine would be purged of any Russian links, Parimatch bombarded authorities with letters and emails emphasizing its Ukrainian ownership and highlighting it was no longer present in the Russian market, even commissioning a report from a major American law firm, which has been read by POLITICO, to attest to that fact. Parimatch has so far donated over $40 million to war-related humanitarian causes.

Nonetheless, in March, it was sanctioned. “There was no formal communication, no explanation, and other government agencies say they can’t help because it is in the hands of the SBU and they have no competency in the matter,” an exasperated Liashko said. “Some officials refer to an SBU letter” explaining the reasons for the sanction, but “they won’t share it with us because it’s secret. That’s transparency,” he added.

POLITICO asked the SBU to comment on both cases but has received no response.

Ironically, the suspension of Parimatch’s operating license and the freezing of its assets — including winnings owed to successful gamblers — has benefitted rival Russian operators, according to Mikhailo Makaruk of InformNapalm, a volunteer investigative initiative. “The squeezing of Parimatch is destroying the legal betting market, pushing gambling underground. And Ukrainians are still betting online, but it is Russian companies that are gaining,” he said.

Makaruk worries an internal commercial war is being waged in Ukraine, affecting everything from agri-business to the country’s well-respected IT sector — and he’s not alone. As one corporate executive told POLITICO: “When the country and people need unity the most, some of the very powerful are using the cloud of war to rape businesses.”

Speaking on condition of anonymity due to fear of retaliation, the executive added: “No previous administration has accumulated so much power — basically unlimited power — and because of the war, it is untouchable in the eyes of the international community and the media.”

“Speaking out publicly is difficult because I don’t want to say anything that might endanger the war effort, but sanctioning successful companies shouldn’t be done to clear out competitors or punish somebody you don’t like,” he said.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Go ahead, ChangXin was not putting on entity list is due to the fact that it is not as advance as YMTC in its sector. It won't hurt China a bit if the US decided to put ChangXin on the entity list.
Right now China only made a recommendation to state owned companies not to use Micron products. Good luck if they put a blanket ban on sales to the whole Chinese market. Electronics producers would have to either switch Micron out of their products or not sell in China.

I would next put sanctions on sales to Chinese state owned companies using Qualcomm products. The recently discovered security leak in their SoCs is a pretty good motive.
 
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