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HereToSeePics

Junior Member
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Registered Member
hullopilllw said:
Anybody can shed some light on what is the long term consequence of high interest rate (say >4%) for US economy ?
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This post about sums it up:
47D46BF2-A101-4C15-9F90-994B81D64E74.png

In very simplified terms, the higher rates acts like a paper shredder for money. It takes cash out of circulation(therefore out of the economy). That extra 1.1k in the above example will end up as principle/interest paid to the mortgage lender(which ultimately gets deposited with the central bank and shredded). This means 1.1k less for the buyer to spend on a new car, remodeling their home, paying for jewelry, vacations, bitcoin/stocks/NFTs, etc.

But whats similarly likely to happen is the borrower above might not be able to afford the 1.1k extra month, so they buy a cheaper home or spend less, therefore lowering bids for assets and hopefully result in lower inflation over time.

Now you can apply the same to companies trying to expand production or increase R&D by taking out business loans or other funding sources. What you ultimately have is spending dropping across the entire economy and a likely recession
 
B

Biscuits

Colonel
Registered Member
Abominable said:
That's is what it is. Western PSYOPS are busy trying to convince their populations that Russia is intending to use tactical nukes in the Ukraine. Putin hasn't once stated that as a possibility, and many Russian officials have ruled it out as a possibility. He has however in no uncertain terms warned he would nuke the west if article 5 is triggered, this is deliberately ignored or downplayed, including by many NATO trolls posting here.

So the few times Putin talks about nukes people associate it with a small tactical nuke in the Ukraine, where in actual fact they are talking about an all out nuclear war.
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I don't believe he will use nukes even if article 5 is triggered. There is no way Russia will commit national suicide so easily, not while they still have strength.

Rather, talks of nukes are a veiled threat to China that "yeah, if article 5 is called, then you better answer when we call as welll and send a million men to Europe. Cuz if you let us out to dry, we will nuke them and the world will probably end".
 
manqiangrexue

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
FairAndUnbiased said:
Question: LGBT is said to be genetic at least in part. LGBT also do not genetically reproduce so the rate of genetic appearance depends solely on the existing gene frequency in the general population, and is independent of existing LGBT population.

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If there is no major genetic shift in the US within last 20 years, how can LGBT population increase if it is indeed genetic?
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Sexual orientation is not purely genetic; it also depends on upbringing. That is called multifactorial inheritance. Sexuality is also a spectrum with thresholds rather than binary. The thresholds are influenced by culture. For example, if one were to grow up in a hyper-masculine culture, he may aggressively reject and repress any semblance of homosexuality, thus if he had a slight genetic disposition to it, he may easily repress it and be phenotypically normal. However, if he had a massive genetic disposition to homosexuality, he may still become a phenotypical homosexual simply because he is unable to repress that much genetic leaning. On the other hand, if such a person were to grow up in a very effeminate society, say fashion designer-dominant culture where 70% were actually homosexual and 25% acted in a very feminine demeanor despite being men, this person may become a phenotypical homosexual or bisexual with even a slight genetic disposition for homosexuality because he is in a surrounding that nurtures it. America's woke culture is getting more and more accepting of homosexuality so the cultural impact on the thresholds (for becoming phenotypical bisexuals and/or homosexuals) will continue to drop, causing more and more people with lower genetic disposition towards them to "come out" and embrace it rather than ignore or repress it.

Also, even if it were purely genetic, genetic conditions that typically terminate an organism's ability to reproduce are recurring nonetheless, even in genetically dominant form, because the rate of newly arisen mutations will establish the equilibrium. It does not depend on the existing genetic pool.
 
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Biscuits

Colonel
Registered Member
FairAndUnbiased said:
Question: LGBT is said to be genetic at least in part. LGBT also do not genetically reproduce so the rate of genetic appearance depends solely on the existing gene frequency in the general population, and is independent of existing LGBT population.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

If there is no major genetic shift in the US within last 20 years, how can LGBT population increase if it is indeed genetic?
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One way a certain trait can increase in a group is indeed by more people acquiring the trait.

But another way is that people always had the trait and only now because we have become better at finding it, we are seeing an increase of the incidence. The amount of people were always the same, we just got better at tracing them.

Also sexuality is like a scale, almost all people are not 100% homosexual or 100% heterosexual. For example, some man might accept another man as a partner if the man simply looks like a girl, or accept a girl that has very masculine features. Whereas another man would not accept anything that deviates from the most normal type of woman.

Depending on how society looks and what the culture values, people find different outlets for their sexuality.

If you were a guy with wide preference in ancient Greece, you'd be encouraged to find a girlish boy and become homosexual.

But a guy with the same preference in ancient China, he would be encouraged to find a masculine woman, and society would make him heterosexual.

Just as an example.
 
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gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Sinnavuuty said:
NATO develops 10-year plan for rebuilding Ukrainian military-industrial complex, says Politico. According to the media, the first meeting of Ukrainian and alliance representatives should take place next week to discuss the matter.
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You mean this?
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This article is so retarded on so many degrees it is hard to begin to debunk it. And who the heck retools an industry which is a) in the range of enemy bombing b) in the middle of a war. Retarded.
 
Sinnavuuty

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
gelgoog said:
You mean this?
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This article is so retarded on so many degrees it is hard to begin to debunk it. And who the heck retools an industry which is a) in the range of enemy bombing b) in the middle of a war. Retarded.
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This one. Even though it is incoherent, it is good to expose and I think it is valid to share this information.
 
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