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- Thread starter bd popeye
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Contrary to West's delusions, this is the number 1 lesson that China will take from this war:
10000 (3000 minimum) nuclear warheads and we are ready to go
To your first point, I think China is getting another data point to confirm what they have known for a while. If anything, there is no illusion in Chinese leadership, from Oct. 1st 1949 to this date. This is yet another reality show to the Chinese leadership, similar to USSR collapsing.
To your second point, maintaining nuclear deterrence is an extremely expensive undertaking, even to countries like China and US. China survived under Chairman Mao when China had a few primitive nukes. There is no reason to believe otherwise, when China can build hundreds of "wind turbines" in a few years.
Besides, as I know so well about Chinese "humility", when PLA says 200, it would very likely have 400 or even 600 in their pockets. So I never worry about lack of deterrence. I only worry about the other side so liberally believing what they believe and starting to bluff China on deterrence.
Here is my judgment. China and US are already at MAD level. One can argue US has far more or advanced. But the essence of MAD is critical threshold. Above that, there is no point of arguing who has what or how many.
So yes, I expect 3000 would be close to the ballpark in the near future. 10000 is absolutely no. Chinese have survived over 4000 years. Chinese have enough wisdom to survive going forward.
AssassinsMace
Lieutenant General
As what we've seen over soy beans, farmers grow only what they're going to sell meaning they take orders and grow accordingly for the next harvest. The world doesn't grow max crops of everything the Earth is capable of for them to then charge China bought the majority of it hoarding it for themselves. Yes the Chinese must give up their food and starve and sacrifice their lives so Europeans can stay alive. That's the order of things. The Christians claim they're the ones feeding and preventing Chinese from starving. Are they using the same go-to excuse that China is pointing a gun to their heads forcing them to send all the food China is hoarding to divert responsibility from themselves? Why don't the US, Australia, and Canada that complain China is not buying their agricultural goods and instead sending it to all the countries that are starving? Are they not doing it because they're making no money from it...?
‘Sanction proof’ Russia showing signs of stress
In recent years, alone accounted for 35-40% of the federal budget revenue and made up 60% of Russian exports. The European Parliament has already passed a demanding an embargo on Russian imports of fossil fuels.As Europe joins the US and Canada, the united West will mount pressure on China – thus eliminating Russia’s hopes that can replace those of the West.
How soon this economic shock will result in political change is anybody’s guess. But eventually, Putin will run out of resources to pay his soldiers, propagandists, mercenaries and policemen to keep the increasingly unhappy Russians in check.
It's way too soon to say to say anything about the impact of EU potential Russian gas import bans.
Guriev left Russia on 30 April 2013 after a "frightening and humiliating interrogation" as government investigators searched his office and secured 5 years of his emails due to his activities in a panel of economical experts who critically assessed Russian position in the Yukos case. In 2015 Vladimir Putin denied that Guriev's departure "could have been related to any activities of the authorities".
One use for gas that doesn't require end user distribution is gas to liquids or gas to chemicals plants. Once liquid fuel or chemical it can be distributed via conventional liquid fuel network.
As I said it before. Yeah the frogs believe they are slicing the salami. Meanwhile, China is boiling the water.