Miscellaneous News

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Russia is now using bitcoin, just in case they are banned from using swift.
No they are not.
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"The Bank of Russia has no plans to soften its stance on cryptocurrency regulation. Russia’s central bank has put together bills that prohibit the issuance, circulation, and possession of cryptocurrencies in Russia, with violations leading to fines, Vedomosti writes. According to the Governor of the Bank of Russia Elvira Nabiullina, the compromise option proposed by the Ministry of Finance - the concept of legalizing cryptocurrencies - does not stop their risks."

Hmm, Taiwan authority to sanction Russia:
"Putin, no more Pineapple for you!"
Actually a lot of Russian chips are manufactured by TSMC. In 28nm or 16nm process.

But the talk that these sanctions will impact the Russian military is bullshit. Russian military chips are manufactured in Russia.

At one time in late 1990s and early 2000s the Russian MIC used foreign sourced chips, including US chips, on export aircraft. For example in Indian Su-30MKI. But they were never used in Russian Federation bought aircraft.

Those other chips made by TSMC are used in government civilian servers, consumer TV set top boxes, and the like.
Other sanctions on those Russian companies, similar to the ones they threatened SMIC with though, could impact Russian military chip production. But I suspect these Russian companies could source a lot of those products, like materials and photoresist, from China and they could likely service the machines themselves by making their own parts. They are still using KrF.

Even if for whatever reason the production in Russia became impossible it should have no impact on current aircraft production plans for the next years. Given you have to order chips in lots of at least thousands of units and the Russians make like a couple dozen aircraft a year just do the math as to when they will exhaust their chip stockpile. They should have enough chips in stock. It is possible to respin and fab new chips in 18 months. These could easily be fabbed in China if Taiwan does not want to do it.

Russia has had plans to make their own 300mm 28nm fab for several years. It is a good thing they never bothered doing it.
The US could sanction their suppliers and grind production down making the investment useless. This way Russia can buy an all Chinese tools semi fab once the Chinese 28nm fab for Huawei becomes operational. They will just replicate it. The Russian Federation has always had great relations with Huawei. Huawei's first international expansion was to Russia. They are building the Russian 5G network. Huawei has hired thousands of telecoms engineers in Russia and they have huge R&D facilities there.

Russia also has high technical expertise and lots of engineering talent so they could easily improve on Chinese tools or even make their own. It is just that there are not enough economies of scale in Russian semi industry to justify that investment. But I could easily see Russia do counter sanctions on US if they hit their semi industry.

If the US cut Russia from semi fab materials, Russia is the world's largest producer of sapphire crystals. These are used by the US in military and space chips for rad hard applications. The US also uses silicon-on-sapphire to make GPS chips for military and civilian applications. Imagine Russia puts sanctions on sales of sapphire crystal exports to US based Peregrine Semiconductor for example.
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The US would then be forced to import alternative, much more worse quality, smaller sapphire crystals from Japan.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
This way Russia can buy an all Chinese tools semi fab once the Chinese 28nm fab
Chips manufacturing is a strategic asset. What is Russia going to offer for acquiring such a strategic ability?

Don't forget that domestic IC equipment companies are all fully booked with Chinese customers.

I hope China doesn't export such extremely-high value equipment to Russia until tgey provide something equivalent (not money) in return.


Huawei's first international expansion was to Russia. They are building the Russian 5G network. Huawei has hired thousands of telecoms engineers in Russia and they have huge R&D facilities there.
Yes, Huawei already provides benefits to Russia by doing all these things. Its a win-win. Its not like Russia is doing a favour to Huawei for allowing it to set up 5G networks and gaining thousands engineers.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
I am pretty sure the Russo-Chinese collaboration in radio-electronics will improve tremendously with the sanctions.
Some people don't know about it, but Russia has a lot of experience with laser technology for example.
They were going head to head with the US in the 1980s when they were doing SDI. Russia has since developed Peresvet. This is a laser which can blind orbiting imaging satellites from the ground.

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It is one of Russia's most secret weapons.

Russia has also made its own laser fusion research facility. Similar to the US NIF or French Laser Megajoule. These facilities can be used to test nuclear weapons designs, like hydrogen fusion bombs, without making ground tests.
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It is the largest such facility in the world.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Another amazing article from Global Times
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GT Voice: Russia-Ukraine conflict forebodes heavy loss for Europe
No matter how some European countries like France and Germany want to pursue political independence for the EU, it is likely that they will have to follow the US-led NATO after the Russia-Ukraine tussle has evolved to a military conflict.
Also, a conflict on the European continent will undoubtedly deal a blow to European economy, which has displayed signs of recovery from the pandemic since the beginning of the year. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine would easily derail the recovery.
And the conflict will bring a string of unexpected consequences. One of the direct impacts of the military conflict in Europe will be capital outflow from the European markets to the US, which is expected to partially alleviate the pressure facing the Federal Reserve, which is mulling raising interest rates to curb surging inflation in the US.
Meanwhile, the US-led sanctions on Russia mean that many European countries will have to rely on the expensive LNG to be provided by the US. Of course, as oil and gas prices keep rising, inflation in European countries will be exacerbated.


US masterstroke
It seems that the US could be the only party that stands to benefit from the situation. Not only will it no longer have to worry about the operation of the Nord Stream 2 which would squeeze the market space of US LNG in European market, but it will also be able to gain an even bigger market share for its LNG that is priced at 20 to 30 percent higher compared with Russia's natural gas.
 

windsclouds2030

Senior Member
Registered Member
From the Black Sea to the East Med, do not poke The Russian Bear (24 FEB 2022)

By Pepe Escobar, posted with the author’s permission and cross-posted with The Cradle.

This is what happens when a bunch of ragged hyenas, jackals and tiny rodents poke The Bear: a new geopolitical order is born in breathtaking speed.

From a dramatic meeting of the Russian Security Council to a history lesson delivered by President Putin and the subsequent birth of the Baby Twins – the People’s Republics of Donetsk and Luhansk – all the way to their appeal to President Putin to intervene militarily to expel the NATO-backed Ukrainian bombing-and-shelling forces from Donbass, it was a seamless process.

The (nuclear) straw that (nearly) broke the Bear’s back – and forced its paws to pounce – was Zelensky the Comedian, back from the Russophobia-drenched Munich Security Conference where he was hailed like a Messiah, saying that the 1994 Budapest memorandum should be revised and Ukraine should be nuclear-rearmed.

That would be the equivalent of a nuclear Mexico south of the Hegemon.

Putin immediately turned Responsibility to Protect (R2P) upside down: an American concept invented to launch wars in MENA (remember Libya?) was retrofitted to stop a slow-motion genocide in Donbass.


So it was Get Out – Or Else. “Or else” came as rolling thunder: the Kremlin and the Russian Ministry of Defense were not bluffing. Timed to the end of Putin’s speech announcing the operation, the Russians decapitated with precision missiles everything that mattered in terms of the Ukrainian military in just one hour: Air Force, Navy, airfields, bridges, command and control centers, the whole Turkish Bayraktar drone fleet.

And it was not only Russian raw power. It was the artillery of one of the Baby Twins, the DPR, that hit the HQ of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Donbass, which actually housed the entire Ukrainian military command. This means that the Ukrainian General Staff instantly lost control of all its troops.

The water supply to Crimea was instantly re-established. Humanitarian corridors were set up for the deserters. “Remnants” now include mostly surviving Azov batallion Nazis, mercenaries trained by the usual Blackwater/Academi suspects, and a bunch of Salafi-jihadis.

We could soon witness the birth of an independent Novorossiya – east of the Dnieper, south along Sea of Azov/Black Sea, the way it was when attached to Ukraine by Lenin in 1922. But now totally aligned with Russia, and providing a land bridge to Transnistria.

Ukraine, of course, would lose any access to the Black Sea. History loves playing tricks: what was a “gift” to Ukraine in 1922 may become a parting gift a hundred years later.

So the rules have changed. Drastically. The Hegemon is naked. The new deal starts with turning the post-Cold War set-up in Eastern Europe completely upside down. The East Med will be next. The Bear is back, baby. Hear him roar.
. . .
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