Miscellaneous News

pmc

Colonel
Registered Member
South American countries lack the grit to conduct asymmetric warfare in the face of an overwhelming disadvantage. In some sense, it was beaten out of them during the Cold War, as hardcore guerillas like Che Guevara and his band were hunted down & executed. But in another sense, there's just not a sufficiently powerful ideological force within South America to oppose American hegemony - they've more or less accepted it and have found a niche within it, with the eventual hope of a Latino demographic take-over of the US in place of any military resistance.
I have read Latino demographic is now below replacement level. US is designed for where high achiever are overcompensated and any economic decline will impact latino demographic worse. This Covid did to hispanic.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Contrast that with the Middle East, where despite being at even more of a disadvantage vs. Western militaries, Islamic insurgents were able to consistently pose a problem for the US military. Decades after the US began its campaign to "democratize" the Middle-East, we see the Taliban return to power in Afghanistan, and the rest of the US's "nation-building" projects descending into irrelevance. The shift to a more "use Arabs to fight Arabs" strategy, under Trump and Biden, was, in this sense, out of necessity - the US recognized that it couldn't just pull off a simple military victory.

South America is clearly not the Middle East, and expecting South Americans to fight like Arabs or even Iranians is just not practical. China's ability to guarantee security in the region is effectively zero. You can't seriously defend people who won't seriously defend themselves.
lol. how can you ignore Soft Power. which is only comes from Royal Families. Afghans of all sheds have that connections. even these Houthis who are on opposite end are saved by Oman.
 

siegecrossbow

Field Marshall
Staff member
Super Moderator
This year, I remain particularly concerned about Japan's potential pursuit of nuclear weapons and the United States' annexation of Greenland. Even if countries like Venezuela and Colombia were to fall under U.S. control, the impact would be extremely limited.

Japan's move toward nuclear armament will trigger comprehensive political and military tensions, or even conflict, across East Asia. Meanwhile, Trump's annexation of Greenland would reshape the entire European landscape. Many European nations may then alter their policies of relying on U.S. protection. Furthermore, U.S. ownership of Greenland would exert a degree of long-term global military influence that could constrain China and Russia.

No they won’t. As long as the elites still have incriminating evidence of ritualistic pedophilia safely held in the CIA database they won’t do a thing even if all of EU is annexed.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
It doesn't stop at venezuela, Trump wants Colombia, Cuba, Mexico, Canada and Greenland too. Yes, it is becoming scary.

Maybe history is different this time. Maybe US is not collapsing like what we are told. Maybe US will rule the world for hundreds of more years like some dynasty.
Invading a country to kidnap its president is as much a sign of American military domination in its own backyard as it is a sign of American desperation and frustration that it cannot reverse the trend of being overtaken by China. If the US had any options left to get what it wanted, it wouldn't have done this, and yet the limited operation, at this point, does not seem to have achieved anything because Venezuela is now run by a vice president who vows to continue opposing the US. The US truly fears getting bogged down in another drawn out invasion/conflict that will divert it further from its attempts to keep pace with China.
US rules the world with brute force and military. U.S don't need manufacturer of everything. They only need military manufacturers to keep producing stuff.
Brute military force is buttressed by technology; technology is buttressed by the economy. When building from the economy up, technological development will lag economic development and military development will lag technological development. When rotting, the military will lose potency after the technological edge is lost, which will happen after the economy is weakened. In other words with an economy and innovative engine outcompeted by China, the US cannot maintain military dominance; it's just that the effects haven't reached the end yet.
 

dingyibvs

Senior Member
Unified DPRK would have its sea lanes and land borders controlled by China. They do not have a choice but to work with China. The only other way they can go is surrender to US and Japan, but after fighting a unification war, they could not. China could have kept DPRK under control even easier than Vietnam since Kim Il Sung spent much of his life in China.

How often in Korean peninsula's history has there been an unified nation?
 

dingyibvs

Senior Member
With the way venezuela war going on and israel getting greenlight to strike iran, it also makes me somewhat worry about the future. If they are successfully turn those countries into their puppets they might have more influence then they are right now. Plus it shows that usa still rule the world. They have the mightiest force in the world. This will give more motivation to taiwanese to be more resistance than before.

A puppet isn't created in an one off event. It's something that requires continued investment. The Afghan puppet collapsed as soon as the investment stopped, for example. The US didn't just develop the capability to oust Maduro this year, it hadn't done so because it either wasn't worth the investment needed or the necessary draw down on investments elsewhere. We'll have to watch to see over the next few years how much the US ends up investing in Venezuela, how much and where it invests less elsewhere, and what the return on investment will be.
 

MortyandRick

Senior Member
Registered Member
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Venezuela is the fourth-biggest recipient of loans from Chinese official lenders, receiving about $106bn in commitments between 2000 and 2023, according to AidData, a research institute at William and Mary University in Virginia. In 2024, Venezuela’s debts to China were thought to total about $10bn.

On Monday, China’s top financial regulator asked major lenders to report their exposure to Venezuela, reported Bloomberg, citing unnamed sources.



If this is true, that means China's intelligence agencies missed the boat and did not anticipate this at all? Why ask lenders to do it now? Did the Chinese leadership think trump was bluffing? They must have made contingencies? If not, then that's really disheartening.
 

CMP

Captain
Registered Member
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Venezuela is the fourth-biggest recipient of loans from Chinese official lenders, receiving about $106bn in commitments between 2000 and 2023, according to AidData, a research institute at William and Mary University in Virginia. In 2024, Venezuela’s debts to China were thought to total about $10bn.

On Monday, China’s top financial regulator asked major lenders to report their exposure to Venezuela, reported Bloomberg, citing unnamed sources.



If this is true, that means China's intelligence agencies missed the boat and did not anticipate this at all? Why ask lenders to do it now? Did the Chinese leadership think trump was bluffing? They must have made contingencies? If not, then that's really disheartening.
Do you think Maduro himself is the government as a whole? The existing regime and central bank is still in place. If they default on existing obligations, they will have a financial crash.
 
Top