Miscellaneous News

FriedButter

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Trump's semiconductor tariff plan likely delayed, officials say​

WASHINGTON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - U.S. officials are privately saying that they might not levy long-promised semiconductor tariffs soon, potentially delaying a centerpiece of President Donald Trump’s economic agenda.

Officials relayed these messages over the last several days to stakeholders in government and private industry, according to two people with direct knowledge of the matter and a third person briefed on the conversations. A fourth person following the matter also said the administration was taking a more cautious approach to avoid provoking China. The discussions have not been previously reported.

Trump aides are taking their time on chip tariffs as they work to avoid a rupture with Beijing over trade issues, which would risk a return to a tit-for-tat trade war and disruption of the flow of critical rare earth minerals, according to two of the people.

Those people cautioned that no decision is final until the administration signs off on it, and also said that triple-digit tariffs could be imposed at any time. The sources spoke anonymously in order to recount private conversations about policy deliberations.

Trump said in August that the United States would impose a tariff of about 100% on imports of semiconductors but exempted companies that are manufacturing in the U.S. or have committed to do so.

Privately, over the last several months, Washington officials had told people that the administration would roll out the tariffs soon. That guidance has now changed as the administration has continued to debate the timing and other details.

A White House official and a Commerce Department official, asked about the discussions, disputed that the administration had adjusted its posture.

"That is not true," the White House official said, without specifying what was incorrect. "The administration remains committed to reshoring manufacturing that’s critical to our national and economic security." The Commerce official said, "There is no change in department policy regarding semiconductor 232 tariffs."

Neither one specified how soon tariffs that have been threatened since the early days of the Trump administration would be finalized, nor did they offer any other details.

TRUMP FACES PRESSURE ON CONSUMER PRICES

Any decision by the administration to slow down or narrow the scope of chip tariffs would come at a sensitive time for Trump. The Republican president is facing growing consumer angst over prices heading into the holiday shopping season.

Hiking taxes on imported semiconductors could raise consumer costs on the gadgets they power, from refrigerators to smartphones. Reuters reported in September that the Trump administration was looking at a plan that would also tax foreign electronic devices based on the number of chips in each one.

Trump rolled back tariffs on more than 200 food products last week, but he has also said that his import taxes have made no significant contribution to inflation. The U.S. government shutdown has delayed recent data on consumer prices, but inflation has been running above the Federal Reserve's target since former President Joe Biden held office.

Trump is also trying to maintain a delicate trade truce with China, a top manufacturer of both semiconductors and devices powered by them. Last month, Trump met Chinese President Xi Jinping in Busan, South Korea, and reached an agreement to set aside their trade issues, for now.

During those conversations in Korea, U.S. officials nonetheless warned their Chinese counterparts that they could take national security steps in the coming months that Beijing might find objectionable, according to two people familiar with those conversations. Trump has bet that tariffs can revive domestic factory jobs lost over decades to countries including China.

In April, the Trump administration announced investigations into imports of pharmaceuticals and semiconductors as part of a bid to impose tariffs on them, arguing that extensive reliance on their foreign production poses a national security threat.
A fourth person following the matter also said the administration was taking a more cautious approach to avoid provoking China.
During those conversations in Korea, U.S. officials nonetheless warned their Chinese counterparts that they could take national security steps in the coming months that Beijing might find objectionable

In other words, the US is on a seesaw between attacking China for “leverage” over trade negotiations while getting their skull caved in or not restarting the trade war with China. I suspect it is the former with the Americans still trying by any means necessary to get Chinese capitulation in trade negotiations. They wouldn’t be talking about Alibaba if it was the latter.
 

supercat

Colonel
Furthermore (reference below the tweet):
Between 1950 and 1980, China experienced the most rapid sustained increase in life expectancy of any population in documented global history.

An Exploration of China’s Mortality Decline under Mao: A Provincial Analysis, 1950-1980​

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The rare earth drama drags on. Now the EU has to fight the US for rare earth supplies. From the Financial Times:

EU plans minerals stockpile centre to stop US snapping up supplies​

EU industry chief says bloc is becoming ‘collateral damage’ in race to secure rare earth minerals

The EU plans to create a central body to co-ordinate the purchasing and stockpiling of critical minerals to stop the US buying up global supplies from “under our noses”, the bloc’s industry chief has said.
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Deliberately "confusing China with Japan"?
 

FriedButter

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Russia's Novatek gives deep discounts to sell sanctioned LNG to Chinese buyers, sources say​

LONDON/SINGAPORE, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Russian liquefied natural gas producer Novatek (NVTK.MM) has slashed the prices of its cargoes by 30% to 40% since August to entice Chinese buyers to purchase sanctioned gas from its Arctic LNG 2 project, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

The purchases have ended the commercial limbo for the $21-billion project, which is subject to some of the harshest sanctions the U.S. and Europe have imposed on Russia.

Washington is seeking to block the flow of oil and gas revenue to Kremlin coffers as U.S. President Donald Trump ratchets up pressure on Moscow to end its war in Ukraine. The White House has also threatened action against countries that continue to buy Russian energy exports.

But China, a longtime ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, opposes Western sanctions.

Cracking down on Chinese entities flouting them could prove tricky. Washington only last month struck a delicate truce in its trade war with Beijing, and one senior industry source said enforcing the measures could jeopardise U.S. ambitions of doing its own LNG deals with China.

DEEP DISCOUNTS DRAW CHINESE BUYERS TO PUTIN-LINKED PROJECT

Novatek, which is co-owned by some of Putin's closest allies, started producing LNG at the plant in December 2023. But it failed to sell a single cargo until August this year, when it slashed prices for Chinese buyers.

The gas producer sold its first cargo, which was delivered on August 28, at a discount of $3 to $4 to the Asian benchmark LNG price of around $11 per mmBtu, according to an industry source familiar with the deal.

For subsequent deliveries - there have been 14 in total since August – Chinese buyers continued to receive steep discounts of around 30% to 40%, a second source familiar with the deals said.

That means cargoes are selling at $28 million to $32 million, well below their market value of over $44 million.

The prices of the cargoes have not been previously reported. Reuters has been unable to ascertain the names of the Chinese companies that bought them.

Novatek did not respond to a Reuters request for comment.

WASHINGTON NOT ENFORCING ITS SANCTIONS

Much of Moscow's oil and gas is not directly subject to Western sanctions. And China is the world's biggest buyer of its energy exports.

Trump's predecessor President Joe Biden, however, imposed specific sanctions on Arctic LNG 2 as well as related entities and vessels soon after it began operations in December 2023.

French partner TotalEnergies (TTEF.PA) subsequently walked away from the project, though two of China's largest energy firms - China National Petroleum Corp and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938.SS) - remained, each with a 10% stake.

The sanctions have also derailed Russian hopes of acquiring a fleet of Arc7 ice-class tankers to make year-round deliveries.

Until August, without a buyer, cargoes from the project floated at sea or were transferred to storage units, costing Novatek millions of dollars, according to traders.

Trump has made ending the war in Ukraine a foreign policy priority. And to pressure Moscow to negotiate, he has broadened U.S. sanctions targeting Russian energy, pressed allies to do the same, and threatened countries buying Russian exports, including India, with steep tariffs.

So far, however, Washington has not moved to punish Chinese entities involved in the Arctic LNG 2 purchases.

"They are pressuring their allies to stop importing Russian gas or LNG. But they are not implementing their own sanctions on Arctic LNG 2," said Anne-Sophie Corbeau, a researcher at Columbia University's Center on Global Energy Policy.

The White House did not respond to a Reuters request for comment, asking if the administration was concerned by the LNG purchases and if there were any efforts under way to discourage or prevent the transactions.

China's government has approved the purchases, said the two Beijing-based senior industry sources. And the Chinese business registration portal shows the Beihai LNG Terminal in southern China, to which the cargoes are being delivered, is run by state-owned energy infrastructure monopoly PipeChina.

When asked if the government gave guidance over the imports or if it was concerned Washington might impose sanctions on PipeChina, which runs most of the country's oil and gas infrastructure, the office of the foreign ministry spokesperson did not directly comment but reiterated China's opposition to unilateral sanctions and "long-arm jurisdiction".

"Energy cooperation between China and Russia is normal economic and trade cooperation beneficial to both countries' people," the spokesperson's office said.

BEIHAI BECOMES CHINA'S DEDICATED RUSSIAN LNG IMPORT TERMINAL

Prior to August, Beihai, a mid-sized terminal, had been used to import gas from various sources and companies, including eight U.S. LNG cargoes in 2024.

But since August, PipeChina has refused to grant other companies access to Beihai, which has effectively become a dedicated entry point for Russian gas, said a third Chinese source, a trader with direct knowledge of the matter.

The UK government imposed sanctions on Beihai in October.
PipeChina did not respond to requests for comment.

Complicating matters, Trump, who has repeatedly integrated American energy exports into trade deals with partners seeking to reduce U.S. tariff burdens, has voiced his desire to sell more LNG to China.

The United States would find it difficult to sanction PipeChina as that would also block U.S. gas sales, a Western energy executive, who sells gas into China, told Reuters.

China has not imported any U.S. LNG since February due to tariffs imposed during the trade war between the world's two largest economies.
At a discount of $3 to $4 to the Asian benchmark LNG price of around $11 per mmBtu
Chinese buyers continued to receive steep discounts of around 30% to 40%,
That means cargoes are selling at $28 million to $32 million, well below their market value of over $44 million.

So up to $200 million in savings since August for China. Unlike the Europeans buying definitely Indian energy.
 
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