I predicted that Russia and Israel are bound to be collide in Syria. They have polar opposite interests in the country
Let's see where it leads to.
Let's see where it leads to.
The ARP can't afford to look weak; you know how it is with these strongman, authoritarian, dictatorial regimes. If that happens they'll have no choice but to double down (or risk losing mandate of burger).if the USA ends up losing a lot of personnel as a result, also a net benefit to humanity
Previously it was not made explicit weather 黄岩岛 is an island (per Chinese name) and therefore had 12nm territorial water around it or a shoal (per English name), which did not.View attachment 140201
"China declares modest new baselines around contested Scarborough Shoal, enclosing a much smaller strategic area than previously feared"
What you think? Was there a change from before?
Question, i read this unclos section recently:Previously it was not made explicit weather 黄岩岛 is an island (per Chinese name) and therefore had 12nm territorial water around it or a shoal (per English name), which did not.
By explicitly announcing 黄岩岛 has a territorial baseline means this is also a declaration that the area within 12nm of the baseline is Chinese territorial waters and entering without permission or under innocent passage is a violation of Chinese sovereignty, with all the consequences that implies.
Neither 9 dash line nor Taiwan Strait are territorial waters (outside of actual territorial waters within 12nm of landmass in those zones), instead they are Chinese EEZ and innocent transit rule doesn't apply.
I'm pretty sure in Taiwan Straits case, even post reunification the parts of the strait that's more than 12nm away from land is still EEZ and allows innocent passage, despite what the article says. Shipping people can always argue "going around Taiwan is not 'similar convenience'".Question, i read this unclos section recently:
"Article38
Right of transit passage
1. In straits referred to in article 37, all ships and aircraft enjoy the right of transit passage, which shall not be impeded; except that, if the strait is formed by an island of a State bordering the strait and its mainland, transit passage shall not apply if there exists seaward of the island a route through the high seas or through an exclusive economic zone of similar convenience with respect to navigational and hydrographical characteristics. "
It still follow the baseline?
Thanks.