When great powers like China or Russia talks with this "submissive tone", it is quite different from smaller nations doing it. It is a kind of doublespeak. They know that they have the strength to hurt the West if they have to. But they still extend their hand out like gentlemen to give peace a chance. When the West or India slaps that hand away, at least they can turn to everyone else and say that its wasn't them who wanted to escalate the fight.I hate the submissive tone the Chinese gov always uses in these statements. It makes them sound like a Joshua Wong-looking Asian nerd in high school trying to befriend the white jocks.
A bit more would be nice, to signal deterrence internally.It is strategy.
Full support of Russia means:
1. Ukraine is overhelmed rather quickly and will become Russian territory.
2. The EU and US stop bleeding on that fight.
3. Ukraine is eliminated as a point of contention that would prevent future Russo-Western reconciliation. Being the main power supplier in Europe, measures will begin to slowly reconnect the Russian and Western European economies. Only active fires prevent common desires from being explored.
4. EU and US focus on trying to bring down China.
Support of Russia enough to prevent it from losing to NATO+Ukraine but well short of full support means:
1. Ukraine remains fighting without progress.
2. The EU and US have to keep bleeding resources on that unwinnable situation.
3. Ukraine remains in the long term, an impassable obstacle to prevent any future Russian president from cozying up to NATO.
4. EU and US scared to piss off China too much or China turns on the tap, increasing support for Russia incrementally, causing the West slow political pain.
I'd like to see China send Russia train-loads of weapons for Russia to destroy every Western hope in Ukraine within a week, dealing them a collective total defeat. I'd like to laugh in the face of every EU politician, Baerbock, Wonderlying, the balding German president whose name escapes me at this moment, for ever saying that the fight for Ukraine is the embodiment of democracy and that it would deter the PRC from taking the ROC. But I'm convinced seeing these evidences laid out here on this forum that it is in China's best interest to draw this out. After all, Putin only became a loyal Chinese ally after the war where he needed us most. Before that, he was trying to join NATO. The best insurance policy to keep Russia in the Sinosphere is their active need of China, not some retrospective gratitude after we deliver to them a decisive victory.
Current messaging does not inspire confidence.
As I said before: not a single joule of big dick energy.
Xi may have assessed that there are too many internal traitors and saboteurs to go all in. This is the time to neutralize them, if only the courage to do so is found. Otherwise they will sabotage China forever.
making war is not an easy thing, nor something one should take lightly. Once war begins, gone will be any chance of reconciliation for at least a generation. If there is to be war, it must necessarily be a war to conquer the five eyes. Anything less than that is a waste of good Chinese lives. The logistics to take North America for instance do not yet exist…yet.I hate the submissive tone the Chinese gov always uses in these statements. It makes them sound like a Joshua Wong-looking Asian nerd in high school trying to befriend the white jocks.
Xi hasn't learned his lesson at all. You don't try to show restraint and hesitance. The west sees it as a weakness, not maturity.Xi may have assessed that there are too many internal traitors and saboteurs to go all in. This is the time to neutralize them, if only the courage to do so is found. Otherwise they will sabotage China forever.
To Americans, who is now more likely to win presidential election in USA? I've seen polymarket bets % and Dotard is more likely to win based on this. How reliable is that data?
WTF are all these crazy takes about Xi's message to friendly CEOs of China in US. This message was in Xi's letter and he writes to or speaks at the gala dinner of the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations every year. There is absolutely no reason to read the tea leaves here, China is just telling the US business community we won't go banning and sanctioning every western company, everyone can make money together. The National Committee on U.S.-China Relations pushed for the normalization of US-PRC in the old days, no need to act hostile to them.Current messaging does not inspire confidence.
As I said before: not a single joule of big dick energy.
It's not just about this latest speech. It's a series of patterns. His visit to San Francisco was pointless.WTF are all these crazy takes about Xi's message to friendly CEOs of China in US. This message was in Xi's letter and he writes to or speaks at the gala dinner of the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations every year. There is absolutely no reason to read the tea leaves here, China is just telling the US business community we won't go banning and sanctioning every western company, everyone can make money together. The National Committee on U.S.-China Relations pushed for the normalization of US-PRC in the old days, no need to act hostile to them.
The live stream video of the gala and some speeches
What appeasement? Saying that the US and China can be friends? LOL Why? Western leaders can lie to us every time they open their mouths but Xi has to wear his heart on his sleeve? He has to tell Americans point blank that there is nothing but confrontation between China and the US for the coming decades? Only Kim Jong Un talks like that. China can say whatever seems gentlemanly just as they do while the redouble our efforts to crush them in the tech war, the econ war, and prepare to do so if they dare engage in a hot war. That's the "appeasement" they get. Speak softly but carry a big stick.Xi hasn't learned his lesson at all. You don't try to show restraint and hesitance. The west sees it as a weakness, not maturity.
Ask Russia, Muslim world how showing restraint and hesitance were treated by the west.
I don't know what Xi is trying to accomplish with these statements. Or either he's simply bluffing. Because at some point china will have to reunify Taiwan by force and the US will intervene.
US and china can never be friends in the coming decades. The reason is Taiwan.
Xi needs to accept the reality and stop with these appeasements. Putin is openly supplying weapons to anti-western forces across the world and that is already having an effect.
I don't even think Xi will arm Iran if Iran gets invaded by US.