cabbageman
New Member
tphuang:
If you do work in IT industry, then you should know the cost of increasing dependability. Costs increase exponentially as dependability requirement increases. There is also an obvious tradeoff between dependability and performance. All system must deal with reliability, but that doesn't mean the reliability requirements are all the same. Some companies even choose systems with low reliability that are always available, as long as system failures could be repaired quickly and no data are damaged. Military combat units usually could not opt for that path. Overall, military tends to emphasize dependability because they have no choices in the matter, while commercial industries could choose differently according to industry and sizes. Your example doesn't change the overall trend.
I don't know where you get the information that JF-17 would have datalink capability equivalent of Link 16. But anyway, you still don't get the resource allocation. Everything is cheaper doesn't mean datalinks are free. Since other things are cheaper too, the money you spend on J-7 datalink could still be invested elsewhere effectively.
You could certainly question my credentials. But on Internet, you wouldn't know if a pig is typing the keyboard. I'm not going to reveal any personal information on the net to “prove” anything. If you believe I have no credibility, so be it. State your concern, and everyone else could see.
crobato:
I could say the same thing about your belief on age and pilot selection, you don't even have any examples. "Pilot performance matters" and "There are different skill levels for pilots" are really common sense rules.
Compare a regular commercial jet and a military jet, you would find that the military counterpart has all the same basic requirements and more. No one expects a Boeing 747 to have the same datalink requirement as F-15.
Chinese defense industry has its share of corruption and inefficiency. The resource allocation problem doesn't change even if Chinese systems are cheaper than US.
Defender doesn't have ground control and AWACS exclusively. Attacker would not light up fighter radars when they could limit emission and rely on AWACS themselves.
At 100-200 km, it's relatively easy to disengage. But once you get much closer, it depends on speed, height, and other performance factors. Turning around could mean that you are setting yourself up to be killed. If the enemy don't try to illuminate the target early on and use your radar blind spots, it's not so easy to know when you are detected.
A lot of air combat kills occurred when enemies died without even knowing someone fired shots at them. But not all situations are like that, you have to go prepared.
Depends on combat condition. Against enemy with AWACS on the open sea, J-7s will not do well. J-7s are most useful when there are no other means of generating high sortie rates. PLA's new fighters made that a nonissue.
If you do work in IT industry, then you should know the cost of increasing dependability. Costs increase exponentially as dependability requirement increases. There is also an obvious tradeoff between dependability and performance. All system must deal with reliability, but that doesn't mean the reliability requirements are all the same. Some companies even choose systems with low reliability that are always available, as long as system failures could be repaired quickly and no data are damaged. Military combat units usually could not opt for that path. Overall, military tends to emphasize dependability because they have no choices in the matter, while commercial industries could choose differently according to industry and sizes. Your example doesn't change the overall trend.
I don't know where you get the information that JF-17 would have datalink capability equivalent of Link 16. But anyway, you still don't get the resource allocation. Everything is cheaper doesn't mean datalinks are free. Since other things are cheaper too, the money you spend on J-7 datalink could still be invested elsewhere effectively.
You could certainly question my credentials. But on Internet, you wouldn't know if a pig is typing the keyboard. I'm not going to reveal any personal information on the net to “prove” anything. If you believe I have no credibility, so be it. State your concern, and everyone else could see.
crobato:
I could say the same thing about your belief on age and pilot selection, you don't even have any examples. "Pilot performance matters" and "There are different skill levels for pilots" are really common sense rules.
Compare a regular commercial jet and a military jet, you would find that the military counterpart has all the same basic requirements and more. No one expects a Boeing 747 to have the same datalink requirement as F-15.
Chinese defense industry has its share of corruption and inefficiency. The resource allocation problem doesn't change even if Chinese systems are cheaper than US.
AIM-7 has advertised range of 50km or more, but Israel war experience has shown that the Sparrow is effective only within 16km. It's true BVR weapons aren't as great as some people think, but they do have longer range than IR missiles.crobato said:But generally BVR is overrated. I remember in AFM, someone pulled a list of "BVR" kills by using the number of AIM-7 and AIM-120 misisle kills in the last 20 years or so. I forgot to ask them just how many are actually done in truly medium to maximum ranges.
I forget who said it, "Real combat is military's equivalent of market effect in business." PLAAF has more to worry than some of the other combat proven air forces.crobato said:Everyone had problems with BVR tactics, because mainly BVR isn't that proven outside of scripted exercises and totally unequal situations. Let us ask ourselves how effective a 'wall' of fighters coming into enemy air territory with their radars lighted hunting for targets. Their very presence would already have alerted the enemy, which would actually detect them first before they could on their intended targets. The enemy could approach them in radar silence, flying low for terrain masking, directed by ground countrol or AWACs, and mount passive IR attacks.
Defender doesn't have ground control and AWACS exclusively. Attacker would not light up fighter radars when they could limit emission and rely on AWACS themselves.
There are always countermeasures and counter-countermeasures for everything.crobato said:One of the problems of BVR is that technology is also working hard to degrade it as much as technology is trying to improve it. ECM, countermeasures, RCS reduction measures.
But the worst thing about BVR is that it sacrifices the element of surprise. The best anti BVR tactic is once you are detected, is to turn tail and away from the shooter. The key to beating BVR is to extend the flight time and distance of the missile. By moving away, this would force missiles to expend the fuel.
At 100-200 km, it's relatively easy to disengage. But once you get much closer, it depends on speed, height, and other performance factors. Turning around could mean that you are setting yourself up to be killed. If the enemy don't try to illuminate the target early on and use your radar blind spots, it's not so easy to know when you are detected.
Other than true stealth aircrafts, it's usually not that simple. If you are attacking a high value target like AWACS or engage in multiple aircraft air combat, there are many variables. To get into position, you could use a sweep, pincer, or drag. Enemy could disperse horizontally, vertically, or mixed. If enemy has mixed formation, they could send heavy fighters for BVR attack first and allow light fighters to engage WVR, or they could use heavy fighters as a mini-AWACS and send light fighter ahead for combination attack.crobato said:Some of the so called BVR tactics aren't as BVR as one would think. Guided by AWACS, a fighter would come within missile NEZ of the target without his radars on, suddenly light his radars up, try to get a fast lock and shoot the missile. There isn't much difference in doing that with an IR missile.
A lot of air combat kills occurred when enemies died without even knowing someone fired shots at them. But not all situations are like that, you have to go prepared.
crobato said:In my opinion, let's assume China tangles a regional power (not the US), the J-7s would probably get more kills than the J-8II, and the J-8II would also resort to passive attacks. I think for outdated planes, the J-7G is more cost effective than the J-8F. But because of "conventional wisdom" about BVR, along with the range, payload and radar advantages, the J-8II will last longer in PLAAF service than the J-7.
Depends on combat condition. Against enemy with AWACS on the open sea, J-7s will not do well. J-7s are most useful when there are no other means of generating high sortie rates. PLA's new fighters made that a nonissue.