JF-17/FC-1 Fighter Aircraft thread
- Thread starter johnqh
- Start date
Every single subsystem can be replaced. The only question is how much of the aircraft would have to be replaced to do that. This is exactly how China cloned its Flankers.
As for "nod": I expect Pakistan to have contractually secured the rights to export the aircraft. China may have reserved the right to restrict sale of certain types of sub-systems (e.g. AESA radars, EW systems) which would restrict the sale of the most capable variant of the aircraft but I expect it is obliged to provide or enable the use of substitutes. I don't think it is possible for a country that had to go through the acrobatics of ROSE program to ever agree to strategic international cooperation on such crucial system without having secured those fundamental rights. JF-17 is too important to not have the option for flexible export.
Also, Chinese position is of secondary importance. The primary interest is that of Turkey and Turkey would be pressuring Azerbaijan to cancel the deal if it wasn't aligned with its interests. In political terms Azerbaijan's relationship with Turkey is arguably closer than Pakistan's relationship to China and they have similar defensive foundation. Pakistan needs China to balance India's potential. Azerbaijan needs Turkey to balance both Russia and Iran. Long-term strategic goals of Azerbaijan which include establishing direct land route to Nakchivan are contradictory to that of Iran which has significant Azeri population. Azerbaijan can afford to lose support of China but it can't afford to lose support of Turkey so it will always prioritize the interest of Turkey.
US is completely irrelevant here. Israel is also irrelevant. Israeli cooperation with Azerbaijan is the consequence of Azerbaijan's positon towards Iran. It's simply a mutually beneficial arrangement. Azerbaijan gets access to Israeli technology and expertise while Israel gets access to territory on the other side of Iran. The main reason why Israel works with Georgia and Azerbaijan is to maintain access to Iranian territory.
Why wouldn't he be? He got to sit in a cockpit of a modern fighter jet and pretend to be a pilot.
On a more serious note:
Even Blk 2 to replace Su-25 is a giant leap in capabilities. Currently Azerbaijan has 1 squadron of MiG-29A and 2-3 squadrons of old Su-25. This is symbolic air power. MiG-29 has no medium or long range ARH capability and no air-to-ground capability and Su-25 are CAS planes with limited air-to-ground.
Azerbaijan buying JF-17 Blk 3 turns it into a local air power. If they replace their jets 1:1 as media reports indicate ("50 on order") then Azerbaijan will not only completely dominate Armenia, but also maintain pace with Iranian Su-35 and will become an obstacle to Russian air force in case of an internal conflict in the Caucasus. If the deal for ~3 squadrons is confirmed it means it's a question of time before Azerbaijan proper and Nakchivan are reconnected by a land bridge.
Turkey will support it because it means direct route for energy infrastructure without problematic Georgia which leans either pro-Russian or pro-US/EU unlike Azerbaijan which is pro-Turkey.
This is not a reasonable view. Argentina has always been an impossible market and Argentinian authorities have never stated anything confirming their intention to purchase the aircraft. You should know that media claims and online discourse are not credible sources unless proven otherwise.
Contrary to what many anti-western ideologues claim South America is not an anti-American region. It is a polarised region with pro-American and anti-American factions having roughly comparable strength. The natural state of Latin American politics is chaotic oscillation between pro-US and anti-US factions.
This means that any time that US security interests are threatened there is usually sufficient potential to derail problematic deals, even when anti-US faction is in power. And historically the only countries that has used Soviet equipment did so after 1991 when they were sold out by former Soviet republics e.g. Peru.
Argentina specifically is not an anti-American country. It's policy towards Falkland Islands is directed against the UK, not the US. Argentina claims Falklands as part of "de-colonization" which is a process that the US explicitly supported as instrumental to its own imperialist strategy. Both American and Soviet empires were built with "anti-imperialist" and "anti-colonial" policies targeting existing empires.
The decision to buy Chinese equipment with potential to challenge status quo not only in the Falklands but also in any conflict against Chile would turn upside-down entire balance of power in the region. Neither US, UK, Chile or Brazil would agree to it. Argentina is a basket case and all the above like it that way.
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This is a "best of a bad lot" situation for Turkey since they also have a similarly capable aircraft whose armed version is 3-4 years away from being export-ready. What really prevents its export to Azerbaijan though is the fact that its powered by the F404 engine and TEI is too occupied with Kaan's engine and has no intention to develop an F404 replacement for Hürjet.
Previously they were also trying to procure M346s so even if both M346s and JF-17 don't offer the same capabilities and have the same roles, it would be a nice overlap if the JF-17Bs get used extensively for trainings (even though it's not an ideal solution).
I don't think Turkish AAMs are going to get integrated due to the whole "Chinese Radar thing".
Which one? the original SOM-A/B1/B2/C1/C2 is a SCALP equivalent in a sense, whereas the SOM-J is a more optimized missile that was designed for internal carriage on the F-35 and was to be marketed together with Lockmart to the F-35 user base.
SOM-J is the one you're thinking of but Azerbaijan only has the original SOM missile.
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Som-a/b is a 620kg weapon.
SCALP is 1300 kg.
They're essentially in two different weight and capabilities classes.
Som-j is even smaller(though not that much) indeed, it's more of jsm competition (twice the warhead, less fuel).
P.s. 3-4 years for hurjet is impossible. It could be possible if it would've followed super aggressive kfx testing plan, but it's but a single prototype.