Not to go off topic too much but are there USAF F-35 physically stationed in any of the East Asian bases for the long term?
I mean, visual tracking is inconsistent and isn't exactly precise enough. Not to mention how are those optical satellites supposed to get height information of the target?Can satellite track and lock on to stealth targets then to have missile guide to it? This is a good option rather than putting ISR planes at risk. ISR planes have a limited range too
Small sound recording stations intalled everywhere on first and second island chain and arround airfields could do the trick of monitoring movements, liftoffs and types of aircrafts 24hours a day without a lot of processing and cost. It could even surpass satellites to track stealth aircraft. You can determine kill zones and send J-20 for interception.Can satellite track and lock on to stealth targets then to have missile guide to it? This is a good option rather than putting ISR planes at risk. ISR planes have a limited range too
I don't know any. There is an F-22 squadron in rotational deployment in Kadena. It was brought there after multiple F-15 squadrons got pulled back. There are also 2 more F-35B squadrons by the USMC. No permanent USAF F-35s.Not to go off topic too much but are there USAF F-35 physically stationed in any of the East Asian bases for the long term?
Not that it can't happenCan satellite track and lock on to stealth targets then to have missile guide to it? This is a good option rather than putting ISR planes at risk. ISR planes have a limited range too
An Ultra large aperture array will require crazy amount of power. Sounds to me like a very theoretical simulation with very far off applications.Not that it can't happen
The problem is visible spectrum and IR track is too dependent on weather and time. At any acceptable level of detection performance, you are going to have a tiny FoV for any practical satellite. Then there are problems with persistence.
So you might get to track a few aircraft from their take-off if you have good persistence over its area of operation.
You need radars on satellites. Radars have a good range at good volume scanning rates. But looking downward comes with problems here. This is an emerging tech. And China is indeed working on it. You can find many research articles like this:
I don't think it is right to underestimate American F-35 counts. Sure the base limit how many can be deployed at once, but if there are loss there can still be replacement. Hence all of American F-35 should be accounted, PLA is just not fighting all of them at once.61? Didn't LockMart mentioned about reaching an annual production rate of ~150 F-35s this year?
2035 is more than a decade away.
I'd make that F-35 number to 500, since it does look like Japan, South Korea and Australia are gearing up for war with China with ever increasing "defense" spendings. Coupled with the ever expanding presence of the US military in the IndoPac region, I believe the number of 5th-gen fighters that China has to face against by 2035 could go up to 1000-1200.
Even so, if Patch's information is accurate, i.e. Chengdu can reach 100 airframes this year and maintain similar production rate for the coming years at the very least, then China is perfectly capable of operating the same numbers of 5th-gen fighters as their Japanese, South Korean and Australian counterparts with the J-20 by 2025/2026, and these countries plus the Murican F-35s in the IndoPac region by 2031/2032.
Adding that if the J-35 and/or J-31 can enter service and serial production by 2025-2027 - Plus assuming that Shenyang is capable of building 50 J-35s and/or J-31s from 2027 onwards - Then China can move that 1000-1200 5th-gen fighters-goal forward to 2029/2030.
Though, we can only hope that China manages to catch up with the US in terms of introducing 6th-gen fighters into active service, which are expected in the first half of the 2030s.
Is there any data on the maintenance of the J-20?I don't think it is right to underestimate American F-35 counts. Sure the base limit how many can be deployed at once, but if there are loss there can still be replacement. Hence all of American F-35 should be accounted, PLA is just not fighting all of them at once.