J-20 5th Generation Fighter VII

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by78

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tphuang

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Okay, so they are basically up to 75 J-20s a year if we anticipate a few more produced for this batch. That's crazy high and way more than the optimistic 45 to 50 a year that I had projected earlier this year. Basically 1.5 per line per month and 4 lines -> 6 a month. I didn't anticipate them to reach this rate until like 2027. This should significantly lower the cost of J-20 production.

Also, it means China is procuring more J-20s a year than America is procuring F-35s
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Unbelievable, they might get to close to 100 a year if they can add another production line and further optimize the production line. We are still in Nov, so they will probably get to 190 J-20s by the end of this year and close to 350 by the end of 2024 and 500+ by end of 2026.

Amazing what they can done once WS-10C production got ramped up.
 

guyueyunfan

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Okay, so they are basically up to 75 J-20s a year if we anticipate a few more produced for this batch. That's crazy high and way more than the optimistic 45 to 50 a year that I had projected earlier this year. Basically 1.5 per line per month and 4 lines -> 6 a month. I didn't anticipate them to reach this rate until like 2027. This should significantly lower the cost of J-20 production.

Also, it means China is procuring more J-20s a year than America is procuring F-35s
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Unbelievable, they might get to close to 100 a year if they can add another production line and further optimize the production line. We are still in Nov, so they will probably get to 190 J-20s by the end of this year and close to 350 by the end of 2024 and 500+ by end of 2026.

Amazing what they can done once WS-10C production got ramped up.
Aren't they using WS-10C,or you mean WS-15?
 

ougoah

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Indeed it's not been mentioned on this forum as far as I know that WS-10 production rate has scaled up so well. It went from supplying only upgraded J-11B and new J-16s to now supplying: J-20 (seems to be PLA's main fighter production line now), J-10C, J-16, and J-16D.

Somehow they are making on average nearly 1 WS-10 engine per day. You have to remember that spares are also bought and produced. Can imagine how many production lines are making WS-10 components to achieve a rate approaching 1 engine per day averaged out throughout a year.

And some internet Indians and Anglos still to this day do not believe China has even made a working F110 class low bypass turbofan. LOL. 12+ years in service f*ckers! On three separate platforms and possibly others.

Also hear some Indians still use the line "China bought Su-35 so J-20 is rubbish". China is building nearly as many J-20s per month as China has purchased Su-35 ... ever... back in the 2010s no less lol.

oh and ... those J-20 engine photos look amazing. The surface build quality is also second to none it seems. F-35 being the only one that comes close... not even F-22 feature this level of surface worksmanship.
 

sunnymaxi

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Rumor has it that the demand for WS-10 is so high that Liming has outsourced components to other firms in AVIC.
its not like that. Shenyang's components suppliers have increase production by many folds in 2021. as WS-20 production begun too.

both WS-10 and WS-20 have same suppliers in most of components.

it took Shenyang 5 years to build pulse assembly line. so a single unit of engine production time reduced by 2/3
 
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