Guys this is going to be lengthy post. please read this.
i have read all the messages and i can understand the anger of our valuable members like
@ACuriousPLAFan @ZeEa5KPul @Tomboy and others.
first let me clear some basic points then i shall talk about WS-15 Engine..
he is the Lui Daxiang, Member of China's academy of Engineering and Father of China's Turbofan Engine industry. man has 60+ years long service in this industry. he was the biggest critics of AVIC Engine policies. and point out all the shortcomings.
''I have been dealing with aircraft engines for more than 60 years. During these 60 years, I spent half of the time in the mountains," Liu recalled''
Man appeared in China Aviation industry Conference 2022 and broke silence on many interesting things.
1. AECC fully conquered 3rd/4th Generation Aero Engines technology. and broke through the technical barrier of next gen Engine. he also present the chart to the audience.
2. by 2035 China will be the Tier1 player in Aero Engine industry.
his words are the highest authority in mainland China. nothing comes above him when it comes to gas turbine tech.
in March 2023, AECC officially announced WS-15 entered in LRIP stage. but this is interesting because this doesn't match with current state of WS-15 engine i mean we all are waiting for the full scale production. this announcement confirmed one thing, WS-15 design has frozen. it means there is no technical issue with this machine as first confirmed by Lui Daxiang then later on AECC announce..
so what is the current issue with WS-15 ?? replying below
I've been hearing good and bad news. Good news is that J-20A is going to enter service with combat units in numbers before the year is over. The bad news is that we may have another J-11B situation on our hands...
grounded is the big word. we barely have few units of J-20A with WS-15 engines. so you can say this, WS-15 production has been halted or stopped due to some problems.
when last time i was talking with my source, he was quite confident about WS-15 production will scale up this year. cute orca and Ayi too said the same thing.. but what just happened ???
there is a supply chain/components manufacturing issue with WS-15 right now. Technical bar is too high this time. you need 200+ WS-15 for enormous J-20 production. its not a cakewalk
PW/GE have global suppliers. F-135 components comes from 10 different countries.
so if WS-15 delay again, its not a big problem guys. It's very much possible that later units will have the WS-15. better to stop engine production than grounded the entire fleet later on.
Tbh, even if WS-15 do happen this year. WS-15 isn't advanced anymore, it might be considered advanced(Not even bleeding edge) when it was drawn up in the 90s but right now it's basically at the average western level of 4th generation engines. F-119 still has a higher TIT and F-135 is a distant dream. XA102/103 is supposedly going to push it even further and right now I'm doubting China's ability to keep up. Hopefully the current version of WS-15 is not based on the original spec of 1850K TIT or it truly is 遥遥落后 especially if they are still having trouble getting it into service. This of course also implicates the civilian sector, as higher TIT often means higher efficiency and from what I could find LEAP-1's TIT is around 2100K so for CJ-1000A to be atleast competitive against the LEAP-1 it'll probably need a spec similar to LEAP-1's and if they still can't even get an less advanced engine into service well you could probably think of the rest...
just relax bro.
WS-15 TIT is not 1850K.. its higher than this
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Edit - a bit delay in advanced Turbofan is absolutely a normal thing. don't you think AECC isn't working on it ?? if anyone follow my massages on this forum, WS-15 supply chain is different in comparison with WS-10/WS-20. this time AECC Shenyang went with the different set of suppliers. so scale up production of thousands of precision components is hell of a task.
100 percent agreed with
@siegecrossbow . J-50/J-36 spoiled us. Not even a little bit of bad news is unacceptable here..