J-20 5th Gen Fighter Thread VIII

siegecrossbow

General
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Self-explanatory:

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Ever since the Pelosi visit Wilsbach has been trash talking the plane. By his own admission they have had limited opportunity to assess the J-20, but based on the limited observation somehow they’ve been able to not only conclude that it is no match for US fifth gen but also that almost all the tech is stolen from US design, from just glancing at it from the cockpit. Some of the observations are beginning to sound like famous last words.

Given how other supposedly “respectable” Western military analysts of late have behaved of late I still have to give him credit for not inventing some outlandish lie like how the J-20 doesn’t have a working parachute.
 

BoraTas

Captain
Registered Member
Ever since the Pelosi visit Wilsbach has been trash talking the plane. By his own admission they have had limited opportunity to assess the J-20, but based on the limited observation somehow they’ve been able to not only conclude that it is no match for US fifth gen but also that almost all the tech is stolen from US design, from just glancing at it from the cockpit. Some of the observations are beginning to sound like famous last words.

Given how other supposedly “respectable” Western military analysts of late have behaved of late I still have to give him credit for not inventing some outlandish lie like how the J-20 doesn’t have a working parachute.
His statements are very political. Non-dominating can mean anything. The word domination means extreme overmatch. If the J-20 doesn't extremely overmatch the extant US aircraft, then the statement holds. Then look at this

"What I will tell you is if you compare just aircraft to aircraft, you take the training that our people [U.S. Air Force] get. Interoperability with [U.S.] allies and partners… the Chinese [are] probably still at a pretty big disadvantage because of the way we train, especially with [our] Korean allies and partners."

"[For the Chinese] a fight that would be China versus us [the U.S.]... that makes their math pretty easy, but if you make it China versus the U.S. plus the other countries… their math gets pretty hard to do… When I think about some of the recent exercises that we've done together with our allies and partners like Talisman Sabre, and Northern Edge, [and] Valiant Shield earlier, you know, there's some extremely high-end exercises that are happening. In the past, when we've done some of those large coalition-type exercises… the level of complexity is reduced, so that everybody can participate. We're not doing that. We're making it a high-end, if you want to play you show up and you execute."
He is marketing interoperability here, which has been political first and foremost from the start. The bold part makes no sense. The Philippines has no military to speak of. Australia is far away and has a small military. Only SK, Japan and Taiwan matter. And their fleets are overmatched by PLA to a great level. How US is "easy math" on its own but becomes "hard math" with these allies?
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
His statements are very political. Non-dominating can mean anything. The word domination means extreme overmatch. If the J-20 doesn't extremely overmatch the extant US aircraft, then the statement holds. Then look at this




He is marketing interoperability here, which has been political first and foremost from the start. The bold part makes no sense. The Philippines has no military to speak of. Australia is far away and has a small military. Only SK, Japan and Taiwan matter. And their fleets are overmatched by PLA to a great level. How US is "easy math" on its own but becomes "hard math" with these allies?
I hope this is not some misguided attempt at scaring China off from AR. Because that's the gist of what I got from last year's interview.
“China has a much more difficult military problem from the standpoint of, they have to accomplish one of the most difficult military events that you would have to do, which is an amphibious landing across 100 miles of open ocean and an air assault against a very well defended place like Taiwan — and a place that intends to defend themselves, clearly,” Wilsbach continued. “If I was them, I’d be worried. If I was a [Chinese] military commander, I’d be worried about 2027.”
 
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Maikeru

Major
Registered Member
His statements are very political. Non-dominating can mean anything. The word domination means extreme overmatch. If the J-20 doesn't extremely overmatch the extant US aircraft, then the statement holds. Then look at this




He is marketing interoperability here, which has been political first and foremost from the start. The bold part makes no sense. The Philippines has no military to speak of. Australia is far away and has a small military. Only SK, Japan and Taiwan matter. And their fleets are overmatched by PLA to a great level. How US is "easy math" on its own but becomes "hard math" with these allies?
TBH what is he expected to say? "Sorry, but our guys don't stand a chance against this beastie"?

Also, it never ceases to amaze me why some Merkins think it's a some kind of burn to say China "stole" their technology. I say, well done China's spies, you saved your country tens or hundreds of billions of $$ in development costs! It also suggests China is at least on a par with US tech. Anyway, most military technology is "stolen" somewhere down the line, I don't think there's a rule of war requiring one side not to use equipment it copied or captured from the other!

Taking the comment on its own terms:

"I don’t think that it’s a dominating aircraft at this point, compared to what we have [in terms of stealthy
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],
"

I'm not aware of any PLAAF claim that J20 would "dominate" F22/F35, it would probably stand a pretty good chance against them though, which is why the General went on to talk about training, integration, allies, etc. Also the Chief of all USAF (not just PACAF) said that the early block F22s were being retired at least in part because they weren't competitive with J20.

Anyway, "not dominant" is a fairer assessment than the "semi-stealth" sort of assessments we've seen in the past. And "at this point" means there is potential for J20 to become a "dominating aircraft" in the future (maybe pretty soon with WS15 and other imporvements).

PS: Winner of TWZ comments section: "Our technology is the best. Their technology, that they stole from us, sucks."
 
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BoraTas

Captain
Registered Member
TBH what is he expected to say? "Sorry, but our guys don't stand a chance against this beastie"?

Also, it never ceases to amaze me why some Merkins think it's a some kind of burn to say China "stole" their technology. I say, well done China's spies, you saved your country tens or hundreds of billions of $$ in development costs! It also suggests China is at least on a par with US tech. Anyway, most military technology is "stolen" somewhere down the line, I don't think there's a rule of war requiring one side not to use equipment it copied or captured from the other!

Taking the comment on its own terms:

"I don’t think that it’s a dominating aircraft at this point, compared to what we have [in terms of stealthy
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
and
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],
"

I'm not aware of any PLAAF claim that J20 would "dominate" F22/F35, it would probably stand a pretty good chance against them though, which is why the General went on to talk about training, integration, allies, etc. Also the Chief of all USAF (not just PACAF) said that the early block F22s were being retired at least in part because they weren't competitive with J20.

Anyway, "not dominant" is a fairer assessment than the "semi-stealth" sort of assessments we've seen in the past.
I don't expect such a statement. But his statement is political. And especially considering that he stated they didn't have much time to assess the aircraft in the near past, him saying all the tech was stolen is almost trolling.
 
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siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
TBH what is he expected to say? "Sorry, but our guys don't stand a chance against this beastie"?

Also, it never ceases to amaze me why some Merkins think it's a some kind of burn to say China "stole" their technology. I say, well done China's spies, you saved your country tens or hundreds of billions of $$ in development costs! It also suggests China is at least on a par with US tech. Anyway, most military technology is "stolen" somewhere down the line, I don't think there's a rule of war requiring one side not to use equipment it copied or captured from the other!

Taking the comment on its own terms:

"I don’t think that it’s a dominating aircraft at this point, compared to what we have [in terms of stealthy
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
and
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
],
"

I'm not aware of any PLAAF claim that J20 would "dominate" F22/F35, it would probably stand a pretty good chance against them though, which is why the General went on to talk about training, integration, allies, etc. Also the Chief of all USAF (not just PACAF) said that the early block F22s were being retired at least in part because they weren't competitive with J20.

Anyway, "not dominant" is a fairer assessment than the "semi-stealth" sort of assessments we've seen in the past.

Before NGAD and E-7 budget passed:
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“But we notice that they are flying it pretty well. We recently had – I wouldn’t call it an engagement – where we got relatively close to the J-20s along with our F-35s in the East China Sea, and we’re relatively impressed with the command and control associated with the J-20.
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When it gets airborne, those sensors that we rely on with the E-3 aren't really capable in the 21st century fight, especially against a platform like the [Chengdu] J-20 or something similar to that. It just can't see those platforms far enough out to be able to provide an advantage to the shooters.

After NGAD and E-7 budget passed, and AR looks very possible following the Pelosi debacle.

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“China has a much more difficult military problem from the standpoint of, they have to accomplish one of the most difficult military events that you would have to do, which is an amphibious landing across 100 miles of open ocean and an air assault against a very well defended place like Taiwan — and a place that intends to defend themselves, clearly,” Wilsbach continued. “If I was them, I’d be worried. If I was a [Chinese] military commander, I’d be worried about 2027.”
As for China’s specific military capabilities, the PACAF chief seemed unimpressed by one of Beijing’s most high-profile platforms, it’s fifth-generation J-20 stealth fighter jet, which began operating roughly a decade ago. Asked to describe his assessment of the jet, Wilsbach verbally shrugged, saying “It’s their most modern aircraft. We’ve had a limited opportunity to assess it. Seems okay. It seems okay. It’s not anything to lose a lot of sleep over, but they seem to be a building a lot of them.”

After PLAAF pilots roughed up some allied pilots a little bit with "unprofessional flying".

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Wilsbach, speaking broadly about Chinese pilots’ capabilities, said he “wouldn’t think that any of them have prowess like an American fighter pilot,” though he did not cite Chinese aviators’ skills as a safety concern.

“They are not in the same category as what we are trained to,” Wilsbach added.
 
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