Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
Israel bombed the airways of the airports. Local reports say both Aleppo & Damascus airports are out of service till they are repaired.

Kevork Almassian, Founder of Syrian Analysis

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Iranian FM was on his way there and his plane had already turned around by a fair time before Israeli attack.

What was Israel hoping to achieve with this? If that was meant to scare Iran, it probably achieved the opposite since Iran seemed to have known in advance.

At this rate, it won't just be Hezbollah going in, it will be all of Iran and possibly more random nations.
 

Johnlee

New Member
Registered Member
Iranian FM was on his way there and his plane had already turned around by a fair time before Israeli attack.

What was Israel hoping to achieve with this? If that was meant to scare Iran, it probably achieved the opposite since Iran seemed to have known in advance.

At this rate, it won't just be Hezbollah going in, it will be all of Iran and possibly more random nations.
the US plan may be to destroy middle east via instigating a regional war and cut off China's bri routes plus energy source before fighting China in the TW/SCS and mainland etc... However I doubt this will work and it's another case of biting off more than they can chew, likely for the final time this time
 

ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
the US plan may be to destroy middle east via instigating a regional war and cut off China's bri routes plus energy source before fighting China in the TW/SCS and mainland etc... However I doubt this will work and it's another case of biting off more than they can chew, likely for the final time this time
BRI is all about Russia and the former Soviet Republic, that huge landmass add economic and strategic depth for the Chinese. The Inclusion of the middle east is an added bonus. What the US wanted is to prevent the formation of Eurasian integration, that is their pet project to pull Europe out of a possible union. The Ukraine War and the sabotage of the Nord Stream 2 is the result of that policy, But the main player are the Chinese and the Russian, they provide the anchor and stability to make the Eurasian dream possible, there is synergy between the Eurasian Economic Union and BRI, they complement each other and the American can't do anything. The futility of their action is shown by their reckless and sometime stupid policy to stem the tide.
 

drowingfish

Junior Member
Registered Member
at this point its pretty obvious this will be a long war. Israel's wartime cabinet is already in power, it won't just opt for a couple of weeks in power. its also the largest mobilization in decades, might as well put all the men to good use to ensure they don't have to do this again in 10 years. likely a lengthy siege and bomb campaign followed by ground incursion and clearance operation, perhaps even occupation. theoretically if israel occupies gaza again they can argue that they are at war as long as there is one hamas fighter alive. that way bibi gets to keep his wartime powers for a long time.

at this point i expect israel to be fighting for as long as America lets them, which could be a long time since they have so many friends in washington.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
at this point its pretty obvious this will be a long war. Israel's wartime cabinet is already in power, it won't just opt for a couple of weeks in power. its also the largest mobilization in decades, might as well put all the men to good use to ensure they don't have to do this again in 10 years. likely a lengthy siege and bomb campaign followed by ground incursion and clearance operation, perhaps even occupation. theoretically if israel occupies gaza again they can argue that they are at war as long as there is one hamas fighter alive. that way bibi gets to keep his wartime powers for a long time.

at this point i expect israel to be fighting for as long as America lets them, which could be a long time since they have so many friends in washington.
How is that even economically and politically viable for Israel? That prospect hinges on the unlimited, unconditional support of America which will always be there regardless of which party is in power. But America is undergoing a massive debt which according to some experts is highly unsustainable with interest to the debt alone runs in the hundreds of billions.
Are the Arab countries within the region simply going to accept their fellow Muslims to their fate and expect their respective population to be okay with the mass killings of their fellow Muslims? I find that highly dubious and not credible based on history that religion play in that part of the world. Iran is certainly not going to miss an opportunity to take the leadership role that's left vacated by Arab governments lead by KSA by becoming blind, dumb, deaf, and mute with the realities for the millions of Palestinians. They may even inadvertently create a much more radicalized population that's more sophisticated and geopolitically attuned to the histories of their countries due to the exposure and ubiquitous use of social media.
 

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
at this point its pretty obvious this will be a long war.

its also the largest mobilization in decades
These two aspects are a bit contradictory and it's something that I don't get. Israel is mobilizing an unsustainable percentage of their population. During the Yom Kippur War Israel ran out of war supplies within two weeks and had to be sustained by massive US resupply effort in
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, Soviet did likewise for the Arabs. This time around Israel is mobilizing an even bigger force. Even if at the moment they are not yet moving forward with group operation that many troops being active is eating up supplies at high rate. If this becomes a long war it won't be sustainable unless US again undertake a massive resupply effort. But weather the will and capability is still there after year and half of supplying Ukraine is unknown.
 
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