Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Looks like Israel's "weak attack" cause casualties.

What now for Iran? They launched missiles at Israel because a non-Iranian (Hamas Leader) was killed in Iran here you have 4 Iranians killed due to Israeli strikes.

Also it looks like Israel took out rocket fuel production capability.

The satellite images show intact facilities. It's proof that the attack failed.
 

_killuminati_

Senior Member
Registered Member
Al-Qassam Brigades' deadly ambush

I think it should be clear by now, if it wasn't already, that normal rules of human interaction should be discarded when dealing with Israelis.

Any info on the Israeli planes themselves that participated in the strike? Do Chosen aircraft show up on this app or website?
On this service, Israel never reveals it's movements. Very rarely, it reveals government aircraft, but never military.

They all condemn the attack while simultaneously helping the US by allowing them to utilize their airspace to hit Iran.
Indeed. Sinwar pointed this out in a speech regarding Iran and Turkey, saying that Iran vocally AND physically supports us without care of sanctions; Turkey supports us vocally but not physically because they are afraid that the sanctions will end their renaissance.
_________

Last moments of Sinwar: mortally wounded a with severed hand, fighting with a stick

What now for Iran? They launched missiles at Israel because a non-Iranian (Hamas Leader) was killed in Iran here you have 4 Iranians killed due to Israeli strikes.
Iranians were killed in the embassy attack in Damascus. You found out then what happens next.

Also it looks like Israel took out rocket fuel production capability.
Nope. Doesn't look like it. It is believed Iraq possesses WMD. That's how reliable Americans are.

Is this type of activity unusual? Is it part of normal deployments, exercises or otherwise just beefing up security in relation to tensions?
It's not normal to reveal this information. Usually, there is one tanker/day flown through Iraq and one/day over the Mediterranean. Earlier today, I posted there were 5 or 6 USAF tankers around Iran alone at the same time, as well as an Italian and British tanker, indicating a huge (probably NATO) aerial presence in the region. Preparing an attack/defense.

This seems like one of those moves where media does all the attacking while no physical attack actually occurred on the ground. Like this,

CNN: Israel pounds Iran
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lol
MSM nonsense in effect,

"Largest ever strike on Iran"
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"Historic" strike on Iran
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"Historic humiliation; Iran Defenseless"
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Lol

These titles will give @SolarWarden a boner
 

kwaigonegin

Colonel
Can anyone answer why Israel’s rivals tend to prefer low-to-medium intensity longer-range conflict?

Israel seems to excel at that. Its assassinations, bombings, and missile defence are top notch.

On the other hand, in higher intensity Ukraine-style war, numbers matter far more, and in that respect Israel is outmatched more than ten to one.

From Ukraine, we’ve seen that airforces can be fairly effectively suppressed with air defence.

Wouldn’t it be better for Israel’s rivals to escalate to a full land war?
Because a full scale land war would most definitely result in a total defeat by Israel's foes.
I would argue that the IDF is much better trained and equipped to fight and win a large scale conventional war than her neighbors etc.
 

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
Because a full scale land war would most definitely result in a total defeat by Israel's foes.
I would argue that the IDF is much better trained and equipped to fight and win a large scale conventional war than her neighbors etc.
Doesnt really seem that way considering how they are faring with Hezbollah. They seem as succesful as Saudi Arabia was against the Houthis when it comes to achieving strategic and most of their tactical goals.

Air power can only get you so far if you want to achieve chances on the ground. Otherwise the US would have won Vietnam
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Doesnt really seem that way considering how they are faring with Hezbollah. They seem as succesful as Saudi Arabia was against the Houthis when it comes to achieving strategic and most of their tactical goals.

Air power can only get you so far if you want to achieve chances on the ground. Otherwise the US would have won Vietnam
I must point out that they lost 5k fixed wings in Vietnam. It was precisely because their air power was insufficient to achieve air superiority against even tiny Vietnam with 1% the GDP and 10% the population, that they lost.
 

Totoro

Major
VIP Professional
More precisely, some 3700 fixed wing manned planes were lost in Vietnam. Of which probably 2500 to 3000 to enemy fire, though i am too lazy to do a proper count. Still massive figures. Especially considering majority was lost in just a few years when US effort was at its peak.
 

Minm

Junior Member
Registered Member
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Looks like Israel's "weak attack" cause casualties.

What now for Iran? They launched missiles at Israel because a non-Iranian (Hamas Leader) was killed in Iran here you have 4 Iranians killed due to Israeli strikes.

Also it looks like Israel took out rocket fuel production capability.

If buildings working with solid fuel were hit, shouldn't there have been a large secondary explosion? But why are there no videos or photos? If there's even any damage to the buildings, it's clearly very minor. What makes you think that there was any equipment in there if clearly nothing explosive was inside?

Whatever damage there is to Iran's solid fuel production capacity, weren't the majority of the strikes on Israel carried out using liquid fuel missiles anyway?

I find the western cope that Iran is humiliated because it's helpless in the face of Israeli attacks funny. While we don't know the percentage of Israeli drones and missiles that got shot down in Iran, we do have videos of Iranian missile after missile penetrating Israeli defences and impacting Jewish terrorist training camps. Israel looked helpless in the face of an Iranian attack
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Can anyone answer why Israel’s rivals tend to prefer low-to-medium intensity longer-range conflict?

Israel seems to excel at that. Its assassinations, bombings, and missile defence are top notch.

On the other hand, in higher intensity Ukraine-style war, numbers matter far more, and in that respect Israel is outmatched more than ten to one.

From Ukraine, we’ve seen that airforces can be fairly effectively suppressed with air defence.

Wouldn’t it be better for Israel’s rivals to escalate to a full land war?

Because in a full land war, the outcome won’t be decided on the battlefield. Even if the Arab armies wins overwhelming total victory against the IDF and wipes it out, all that would achieve is trigger Israeli nuclear attacks to delete said Arab armies and then threaten their capitals with a similar fate if they won’t back down.

Even if the Arabs manages to endure and/or neutralise the Israeli nuclear card, all that would achieve is trigger the direct entry of America into the war.

The Arabs recognise Israel as an American appendage in the ME, thus there can be no total victory against Israel without first being able to defeat or deter America, and that is frankly beyond all their combined might. So why even bother?

This is why Iran isn’t as desperate for nuclear breakout as one would have thought they would be. Since having nukes would paradoxically make them much more vulnerable, as that nuclear card would give the rest of the ME hope that total victory against Israel is finally attainable. That will very likely trigger them to push for such a war, which would be incredibly easy to do with the way Israel behaves. Then the entire ME’s hopes and dreams rests on Iran basically doing nuclear MAD with Israel, putting Iran in a no-win scenario of either being more hated than Israel by the rest of the ME and internal strife and possible revolution if it bottles it; or it goes out in a nuclear blaze of glory to rid the ME of Israel.

Instead, a much more survivable plan for Iran is to wait for America to attack China, at that point, win or loose, America will no longer have the power to intervene. Then, if Iran announces nuclear breakout, it can have a much greater chance of being able to deter nuclear attack by Israel and/or America, and make a conventional victory possible.
 

Index

Senior Member
Registered Member
Yes, things with brics and the Arabs are going too well for Iran to risk everything on war. But 4 killed is too much to do nothing. Simply expanding the size of the missile attacks is not going to be productive. But maybe killing a few Jewish terrorists in the Golan heights or the west bank might be an appropriate reaction. Maybe they can even extract some compensation from the Arabs in return for not reacting too strongly. For Iran it would probably be better to quietly increase uranium enrichment without reacting militarily. Sadly countries in the region put saving face above all else
Iran's decision to not censor casualties means there will be a retaliation, and they're looking to escalate.
Because in a full land war, the outcome won’t be decided on the battlefield. Even if the Arab armies wins overwhelming total victory against the IDF and wipes it out, all that would achieve is trigger Israeli nuclear attacks to delete said Arab armies and then threaten their capitals with a similar fate if they won’t back down.
Nuclear use by small powers are not a real concern, because the large nuclear powers will deter them, as it's a matter of global/national survival to them.

1 guy with just a dozen nukes and old delivery systems using them on the battlefield (and getting no direct consequence for it) = anyone with just a few nukes will now use them against anyone without.

Same reason why south African apartheidists didn't blow their nukes despite what they viewed as armed subhumans descending on all their civilians and their own army was helpless.

The reason Iran doesn't go to conventional large scale war is more simple. Iran by itself might have escalation dominance against Israel, but if America goes into the war, America has escalation dominance over Iran. So the more they wait out US, the less risk of complications.

And also, Iran receives constant shipments of weapons which they need for a porcupine strategy.
 

obj 705A

Junior Member
Registered Member
50 injured in a run-over at a bus station north of Tel Aviv

The Israeli ambulance confirmed that 50 Israelis were injured, 15 of them seriously, on Sunday in a truck crash into a bus station near Glilot, north of Tel Aviv, amid speculation that the incident was carried out on a "nationalistic" basis, which is what the Israeli police say when the Palestinian resistance carries out such operations. The Israeli police said that the truck crashed into a bus near a passenger station next to the Glilot military base, noting that civilians opened fire on the driver of the truck that crashed into the bus and passengers at the station in the Glilot area, without adding information about his fate.

The Israeli Army Radio confirmed, quoting eyewitnesses, that a large number of the injured were soldiers who were on their way to their military bases.

Israel Hayom reported that after the attack, the driver got out of the truck carrying a knife.

The security source added that the perpetrator is likely to be a Palestinian from East Jerusalem, without confirming his identity yet.

Meanwhile, journalist Elias Karam quoted Israeli Channel 12 as saying that the perpetrator is a young Palestinian man from the city of Qalansawe, located within the Green Line, and holds the blue ID issued by the Israeli authorities.

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