Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)

manqiangrexue said:

They're counting on Russia being too busy to serve them their just desserts.

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More like they struck Syria as retaliation because they couldn't go for Iran for whatever reason, but made a fatal mistake.

Russia hasn't decreased it's activity overseas just because of the Ukraine war. They don't even need to fight officially to make life for Israel much worse. Theres a too large power gap, unless US goes all in on the ground for Israel.

It all depends on if there were any Russian casualties. I'm not counting out that it could be a resistance psyop to get/justify Kremlin funding/support.

escobar said:

Interceptions over Jordan

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Most of that looks like discarded stages burning up on re-entry.

Most impressive video I’ve seen so far of the sheer density of BMs fired at Israel, together with over a dozen of interceptions:

Factor of resolution as 30cm is limit for commercial satellite imagery and American government satellites can do 10cm per pixel/dot. Plausible some damage will not show up when of very small size such as 1cm or less, though such can be very destructive if for example electronic components are hit. For commercial satellite imagery it may not even show small craters from cluster munitions.

For all we know some of those planes could be riddled with fragments.

plawolf said:

Most of that looks like discarded stages burning up on re-entry.

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My guess is that those missiles were intercepted before they came into camera view and what we see is their breakup in atmosphere. In the beginning of the video you can see Arrow interceptors being launched and disappearing from view to the left, so the actual points of intercept are not visible.

Zichan said:

My guess is that those missiles were intercepted before they came into camera view and what we see is their breakup in atmosphere. In the beginning of the video you can see Arrow interceptors being launched and disappearing from view to the left, so the actual points of intercept are not visible.

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Intercepted debris that follows its paths and hits the intended target in Israel, really?.

Some images are starting to become available, at least one hangar in Nevatim got a direct hit

tokenanalyst said:

Well is not going to be a walk in the park for Israel in Lebanon.

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I wonder where are all those guys a few days ago saying Hezbollah has shown worse performance then hamas and has taken a hit to their reputation after all those pager attacks on civilians and on their top leadership. This is just the first ambush on Israeli forces and they lose 8 guys. The only thing Israel is good for is carrying out terrorist attacks on civilians and shooting Palestinian kids in the heads. When it comes to fighting a somewhat semi professional army they get their asses handed to them.

I wonder what's Israel's response gonna be, Bibi promised overwhelming retaliation and Iran promised the next escalation will involve civilian targets, we can use our imagination as to what those targets might entail. It seems to me unless Israel can completely annihilate Iran's missile force, the next escalation will incur steep price for Israel regardless of the damage they inflict on Iran, man I' love to be a fly in IDF war room now.

And US appears to be staying out of it so far, they're playing the "Iran missile strike is a complete failure so we saw no need to get involved" script. So as far as I can see, Israel will have to solo at least the next escalation on their own.

I do have a nagging worry this thing might go nuclear.....

sheogorath said:

Intercepted debris that follows its paths and hits the intended target in Israel, really?.

Some images are starting to become available, at least one hangar in Nevatim got a direct hit

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841718564824420404

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If you paid attention, you would realize that video was filmed in Jordan.

Nobody is denying that many missiles got through. Heck in that very video, at least half continued on their way to Israel.

sheogorath said:

Intercepted debris that follows its paths and hits the intended target in Israel, really?.

Some images are starting to become available, at least one hangar in Nevatim got a direct hit

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1841718564824420404

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More image emerging:

This one here is interesting, because it shows the same aera as Planet Labs but there are clear differences between the aircraft:


I'm not convinced all those red circles show impact though.