I'm surprised at how well Hamas is doing against the Israelis. A bit of shock as I expected the Israelis to be on top of everything as they're known to be very good in HUMINT. But, we all know that there is no such thing as 100% security. Ignoring the conspiracy theories (i.e. Netanyahu's political scheming), someone over in the intel / security services dropped the ball.
IF Russia is behind this, then it would be the best way to retaliate against the US. But, I'm not sure how they can keep this sustained covertly. Unless the Russians are going to be blatant about their support; taking a page out of NATO's playbook. This will forever shut up Western leaders claims of Russia running out of munitions. All Western politicians will be forced to prove that they've earned their bri...err...campaign donations. And with the Hezzies itching for a rematch, Iran (and Syria) gets to kick Israel in the gonads. The next question is what will Turkey do, will they start attacking the Kurds with greater frequency? If they do, the Syrians will not join in on the festivities.
But, I share the same sentiments as
solarz. The planners must know this is a suicide mission. There's no going back to the status quo as both sides no longer accepts it. Keeping hostages is at best a temporary measure to give IDF pause in missile strikes and forces Netanyahu to commit ground troops. IF Israel is truly committed to what they've publicly stated, then we'll see a Dresden-like action. The World will not do anything about it but issue out some canned statement. In any case, I understand the Palestinian sentiments. They would rather die fighting than die with a whimper. When one lose everything, one lose it.
What are the chances Suez canal getting shut down?
Unlikely. Egypt needs the transit fees and I doubt China would ever allow it. But, if Egypt ever did that, it'll give China more ammunition in promoting their inland trade routes.