Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)
- Thread starter phrozenflame
- Start date
With the way the terrain and fortifications in Lebanon are, I don't think this israeli "blitz" will have the intial success Barbarossa had.
Israel's goal is to 'mow the grass' that includes bombing Lebenon to oblivion.
It's hard to keep entire society convinced forever that everyone else is sub-human if no enemies remain. Zionism today survives and thrives on cycle of violence.
Israel don't have that ability lol.
They could do it on Gaza because it is an incredibly little place, but the whole of Lebanon not only is far, far bigger with way more cities and buildings.
Hezbollah also very much has the ability to strike back at Israeli mitary bases, including airbases.
Also, it is doubtful that Israel even has enough munitions to even do a repeat of Gaza bombing in the shorter time frame (a yearish).
Mostly likely, Israel will act first but if they do go first instead of Hezbollah, they are not going to get much worldwide sympathy when they get struck back and given how most of the region knows just how weak their air defenses are based on their performance in fending off the Iranian strike a few months ago, I wonder how many days the Israel air defense will last given the limited stockpiles of cash, weapons and manpower. The iron dome can only do so much and weapons have only advanced from the time that the Iron dome is the end all and be all in the region
It is very likely that IDF will go into Lebanon.
If they don't, well, Hezbollah will continue attacking northern Israel with drones and missiles.
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Which is mostly in response to the situation in Gaza (right or wrong isn’t the point, but it was stated as part of the motive for the attacks if one believes it or not). Still as long as Hezbollah keeps up these attacks into Israel and atrophy the defenses in the north of Israel, this will certainly not have a very positive affect on the economy or the military capability of Israel moving forward. The longer this continues, the more unstable the political climate in Israel will become which could end up pushing Israel down further on the path to a failed state. Netanyahu and by extension his backers are running out of time.
Gotta hand it to Netanyahu, he would rather decimate Israel's global standing and diplomacy, drag the US with them, and weaken the country to the point it could eventually go the way of Rhodesia, all to avoid going to jail. I guess running away to another country with no extradition treaties is passe.
Can't go to jail if the country that wants to jail you doesn't exist anymore.
Can't go to jail if the country that wants to jail you doesn't exist anymore.