Maybe Turkey's exist strategy is to make sure northern Syria does not fall in the hand of Kurds. That is all they care?
To guarantee that, Turkey will take and hold northern Syria until Syria stabilize and hand over to the future Syrian government, likely to make a bargain with it? Just like Israel holding Golan Height without outright annexation?
As I see it, Turkey/Erdogan initially expected to replace Assad with a pro-Turkey person therefor keep Kurds in check. After realizing that won't work (surely it won't work, what was he smoking
), Erdogan flips side and can accept whoever to rule Syria so long as that whoever is able to keep Syria in one piece with Kurds in firm hand.The stupidity of Erdogan is that he has more ego than cards in his hand. Once again, as I said, punching above his weight class. He essentially destroyed the only regime that he can negotiate to secure Turkey's own survival (territory integrity). The good thing for Turkey is that, Erdogan is smart enough to realize the reality and made the flip before it is too late. But I am still skeptical about him due to his past behavior, he may flip again at the earliest sign of "returning" opportunity for his "Sultanate".
Last edited:
