ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

D

Dolcevita

Major
SampanViking said:
Hi Delft
I have been following the very same pages.
Lets look at the reverse in Al-Sin.
Is this an actual fight back by ISIS and simply them forcing their way out of the cauldron before it closes?
Either way I guess this is an illustration of the limitations of the SAA capabilites, which are that the air cover cannot be everywhere at once and clearly the border areas are the priorities at the moment (and rightly so for very obvious reasons). It also shows I think just how critical the battle is for ISIS and just how much they are prepared to spend to keep the gap open. Could cost them very dear if they fail!

The news of the Kurds pushing out of Afrin both East and South is very interesting with the clear inference that the rebels groups in the region and very close to full collapse!
Months of continual and unrelenting damage now starting to tell?
Click to expand...


Reports just out that Shamer and Barlehiya are now controlled by SAA, Also as you mentioned, Al-Sin on controlled by ISIS after a counter-attack. Only significant town left before cauldron closes is Soran if reports are to be trusted. Lots on activities in this area.
 
Last edited:
D

delft

Brigadier
SampanViking said:
The news of the Kurds pushing out of Afrin both East and South is very interesting with the clear inference that the rebels groups in the region and very close to full collapse!
Months of continual and unrelenting damage now starting to tell?
Click to expand...
It also illustrates that the Kurds in Afrin and SAA are now close friends.
The Russians could easily accept that the Kurds were excluded from the Geneva conference as they knew this offensive was coming. When the conference reconvenes, perhaps on February 25, the participants are likely to include them.
 
SampanViking

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
delft said:
It also illustrates that the Kurds in Afrin and SAA are now close friends.
The Russians could easily accept that the Kurds were excluded from the Geneva conference as they knew this offensive was coming. When the conference reconvenes, perhaps on February 25, the participants are likely to include them.
Click to expand...

I am aware that Russia has been supplying arms to the Kurds, especially in Afrin.
My best guess in this is that both Moscow and Damascus have judged that a Kurduish buffer between Turkey and SAA controlled territory is the best practical option. It means that Govt forces do not need to approach certain border regions, do not need to interdict particular groups of refugee and it means that if Turkey does make an incursion into Northern Syria, they will be fighting the Kurds (very unpopular eventuality with other NATO nations) and not mixing it directly with the SAA or Russians.

What I mean by this, is that the Western Reportage has had the preconditions of RTP writ large all over it, especially given Turkey is making the refugees sit on the Syrian side of the border. I have little doubt that if the SAA tried to push all the way north to the border, RTP would be used as an excuse to intervene. It will be impossible for this argument to be used in relation to a Kurdish advance.

Dolcevita said:
Reports just out that Shamer and Barlehiya are now controlled by SAA, Also as you mentioned, Al-Sin on controlled by ISIS after a counter-attack. Only significant town left before cauldron closes is Soran if reports are to be trusted. Lots on activities in this area.
Click to expand...

Interesting to hear this; especially about Barlehiya (maps I have been viewing have shown Shamer as govt for some time (maybe not fully controlled until today?)
Not able to see any news of this (edmaps posted by Jura earlier today shows as still contested) so would be very grateful if you did have a link.
 
D

Dolcevita

Major
SampanViking said:
Interesting to hear this; especially about Barlehiya (maps I have been viewing have shown Shamer as govt for some time (maybe not fully controlled until today?)
Not able to see any news of this (edmaps posted by Jura earlier today shows as still contested) so would be very grateful if you did have a link.
Click to expand...

I use the map in
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
This map constantly changes though, I just checked it shows Barlehiya under SAA control. Unfortunately, it now shows Shamir under ISIS control.

Also shows Kurds on offensive at MInag Air Base and Deyr Dzahmal.
 
Last edited:
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
Homs, Syria now:
324181_800.jpg
(found in Russian Internet)
 
FORBIN

FORBIN

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Not the first pic i see with a city in this area almost completely destroyed !
Seems Berlin 45 or some others cities during WW II.

It is not a true war, with true Armies not real front etc... a true war doing damages also big or even more in more short times but this begins to make long as it lasts there.

But Bro allow me to ask :) suprising by your very big activity here, why o_O
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
breaking news in Russian Internet is
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

seven ISIL members were caught in Ural region yesterday, in
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

who were preparing attacks in Russia and intended to go to fight to Syria afterwards (that's why I'm posting here); they were led by a Turkish citizen, some of them are Russian citizens, some others of Central Asia countries ... that's what ФСБ says
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
FORBIN said:
...

But Bro allow me to ask :) suprising by your very big activity here, why o_O
Click to expand...

LOL bro I don't know, I started right after the Russian intervention (in October took Top Poster from you hahaha to my complete surprise, sorry :) and just kept posting ... but no, I have no connection to Syria whatsoever if this is what you meant
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
FORBIN said:
View attachment 24867
Click to expand...
33 strikes against Ramadi reported now, while

Wednesday at 7:25 AM
Jura said:
I see (and retyping quickly) "ISF CONTINUE TO CLEAR RAMADI
40 Coalition strikes supported the Iraqi security forces
(ISF) moving into the eastern suburbs of Ramadi as ISF
reported clearing the city center of ISIL forces."

is this text outdated, or the victory, which I recall was predicted to happen in 72 hours, somehow hasn't come yet?

Dec 23, 2015
Click to expand...
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top