ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)
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Jura The idiot
General
Wednesday at 4:37 PM
Government pushing up and down since then:
- animation
- the most recent maps I found
-
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Jura The idiot
General
The latest edmap of the North Aleppo region
One of the more interesting things I have noticed over the last few days, is the confluence in commentary from numerous sources; with very mixed sympathies, about the possible consequences of what we are seeing.
This has been a conflict remarkably missing detail about the disposition of forces on either side. It seems however that the rebels have concentrated many thousands of its fighters in the Aleppo suburbs and that ISIS has also deployed many thousands of its fighters into the Rayyan bulge.
This would explain why the progress of the Syrian Army on the ground has appeared so slow since September. In effect it has been locked into a war of attrition along largely fixed lines and where any kind of advance is a major development, as it means that the other side has suffered very significant losses to enable it to happen.
The commentary is that both forces are now facing likely government encirclement and that once achieved, both rebel and ISIS fighters will be unable to prevent annihilation, resulting in the Syrian Government securing Aleppo and its environs for good and possibly even marking the deciding battle of the entire war and achieving the final end at staggering speed, which will be all the more surprising, given how slow movement has dragged for so many months.
If this is the case, then it would explain why Damascus and Moscow started a strategy that has seemed so counter intuitive, in so many ways. It would also explain the increasingly shrill narratives coming out of Western Capitals, NATO and Turkey this evening.
One of the more interesting things I have noticed over the last few days, is the confluence in commentary from numerous sources; with very mixed sympathies, about the possible consequences of what we are seeing.
This has been a conflict remarkably missing detail about the disposition of forces on either side. It seems however that the rebels have concentrated many thousands of its fighters in the Aleppo suburbs and that ISIS has also deployed many thousands of its fighters into the Rayyan bulge.
This would explain why the progress of the Syrian Army on the ground has appeared so slow since September. In effect it has been locked into a war of attrition along largely fixed lines and where any kind of advance is a major development, as it means that the other side has suffered very significant losses to enable it to happen.
The commentary is that both forces are now facing likely government encirclement and that once achieved, both rebel and ISIS fighters will be unable to prevent annihilation, resulting in the Syrian Government securing Aleppo and its environs for good and possibly even marking the deciding battle of the entire war and achieving the final end at staggering speed, which will be all the more surprising, given how slow movement has dragged for so many months.
If this is the case, then it would explain why Damascus and Moscow started a strategy that has seemed so counter intuitive, in so many ways. It would also explain the increasingly shrill narratives coming out of Western Capitals, NATO and Turkey this evening.
Jura The idiot
General
before I go back to maps 
some talking
Thursday at 5:21 PM
Iranian press noticed
Russia: Saudi Troops Deployment in Syria Means War
(I checked the translation of the statement from EDIT just the type of reporting
plus, now related to
Ban blames Russia for collapse of Syria talks
(for example he called upon Resolution 2254 (2015)
chapter 13)
some talkingThursday at 5:21 PM
and yesterday, related to
Iranian press noticed
Russia: Saudi Troops Deployment in Syria Means War
(I checked the translation of the statement from EDIT just the type of reporting
plus, now related to
Ban blames Russia for collapse of Syria talks
(for example he called upon Resolution 2254 (2015)
chapter 13)
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Jura The idiot
General
add one more (at first I noticed in Russian Internet ):before I go back to maps
...
Kerry: Russian bombs killing women and children 'in large numbers'
source is CNN:
EDIT
one more:
What happens next in Aleppo will shape Europe’s future
source is The Guardian:
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Jura The idiot
General
now several sources say most recently Ratyan was taken by Government Forces, which also pulled MLRS:...
...
plus I found a vid reportedly showing a Russian air-support in Ratyan (Rebels' held place in mid-bottom on the maps above):
...
Russian Flanker and SU-3X Thread: Videos, Pictures, News, Views
Thread:
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/ru...pictures-news-views.t6909/page-32#post-387650
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Jura The idiot
General
LOL delft at first I was a little bit annoyed by your post (how could you possibly have known which gun I had seen: I didn't post a link), then by the typo in your link (it's Msta), but ... you're probably right LOL!
When there are so may moderate and less moderate terrorists to hit it seems strange that bombs should be wasted on women and children. I even saw recently a reference to helicopters dropping barrel bombs. At the current stage of play those helicopters are too busy supporting the advance of the army and the local volunteers. But I also saw today in a Dutch newspaper ( ) a remark that it is now too dangerous for Western journalists to go into Syria from Turkey.
No word about elections except a few among the comments. Assad is to be eliminated by the negotiations and the threat of the military might of the Saudi, Qatari and Turks sponsored mercenaries. They now suffer from the lack of support among the Syrian population as well as from the bombs of the Russian air force.