Thanks for explaining this even more detailed ... however it even surpasses my description since it makes the situation even more complicate ... and that all for what an overall production run ??
As of today, from what's been confirmed or "promised,"
LCA AF Mk1 = 40 (ordered)
LCA AF Mk1 Trainer = 16 (expected soon)
LCA AF Mk2 = 83 (promised)
N-LCA Mk1 Trainer = 8 (ordered)
N-LCA Mk1 = 0 (no requirement)
N-LCA Mk2 = 45 (promised)
Total = 192
There may eventually be follow-on orders for the trainers and the Mk2 versions. The Mk1 single seat versions will not see more orders.
So the numbers ordered are fine. By the time HAL builds that many at 16/year, it's going to be 12-15 years. In case the Mk2 is a success, HAL may be able to push production by 8 more.
Don't get me wrong and even if all these changes, updates, modernizations and so on can easily explained step by step, I have that strange feeling that this project will surely be seen in retrospect as a great achievement for India but I'm also sure some future will also raise their eyebrows and question why oh why it all happened this way !
Thanks again,
Deino
I am a critic of the LCA program, however I'm not against completing the full development of the LCA program as a whole. I am only a critic against forced induction.
As of a year ago, the total cost of the project was just $1.1 Billion for 15 TDs, prototypes and LSPs. So the program itself is not expensive and is helping create a vast pool of talent for future projects. When the LCA program started, the design pool the ADA had access to was very small, just a few dozen. Now they are in the thousands. It makes sense to experiment with the LCA in as many ways as possible before embarking on a more expensive AMCA program simply because the costs involved are low and the program's failure will not cripple either the air force or the navy. Making mistakes in the LCA program would mean avoiding the same mistakes in the AMCA program.