H-20 bomber (with H-X, JH-XX)

SinoSoldier

Colonel
I wonder which one out of LRS-B, PAK-DA and H-Xwill make its maiden flight first...

To be fair, it would seem that the H-X is further along in development than the other bombers (although we don't have much information regarding the PAK-DA). The LRS-B contract has not yet been awarded and it would take at least a couple of years after that before a prototype can be worked on. If the recent rumor is true and that parts are indeed being manufactured for the first prototype, then we might be looking at potentially a year or so, at most, before the first unit takes flight (i.e. late 2016).
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
To be fair, it would seem that the H-X is further along in development than the other bombers (although we don't have much information regarding the PAK-DA). The LRS-B contract has not yet been awarded and it would take at least a couple of years after that before a prototype can be worked on. If the recent rumor is true and that parts are indeed being manufactured for the first prototype, then we might be looking at potentially a year or so, at most, before the first unit takes flight (i.e. late 2016).

Who knows.

Beginning to fabricate parts still leaves a long time to construct the plane itself. I'd be surprised if H-X flies by late 2016. Maybe 2017.

There have been consistent rumours of LRS-B contenders flying their own in house demonstrators, and as a PLA watching forum we don't really have up to date information on Russian military developments.

The game is still open, I think
 

TerraN_EmpirE

Tyrant King
It's a Wait and see game. We have heard the hype from the PRC and the Russians but the track record is not that great, The US is more of a Guarantee that it will produce one after that?
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
It's a Wait and see game. We have heard the hype from the PRC and the Russians but the track record is not that great, The US is more of a Guarantee that it will produce one after that?

Not sure about the Russians, but I think China's track record for these kind of projects is quite good. J-XX/J-20, Y-XX/Y-20, were all fairly important and high profile projects with long term dribs and drabs of rumours that turned out to be fairly accurate.

I'd place H-X rumours at a similar stage to where the rumours of J-XX were circa 2007 or 2008.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
More important is the question of how big it is. I'm still betting on a "regional bomber" suitable for operating throughout the first and second island chains, rather than a true intercontinental strategic bomber.

Rumours from the last few years are unchanged in claiming 4 WS-10s without afterburner, which would definitely put it in B-2 intercontinental weight class, but it might change.

More interesting is that the latest LRS-B discussion suggests a bomber smaller than B-2, possibly only half its size, powered by a pair of F135s. That would make it more of a regional bomber than an intercontinental bomber -- or OTOH it could mean an intercontinental bomber but with a meanignfully smaller payload than a B-2.


I'm also interested in whether the project for the supersonic capable stealthy bomber concept (from SAC?) has been shelved or not, because it appeared to have been the size of a regional bomber
 
Top