Sure it shows capability. But flying a target drone doesn’t do anything. Taiwan can continue to be a sovereign nation and China is now a warmonger that is up to no good.
Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
- Thread starter sndef888
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I was one of those who urged the CCP to do nothing much, since the US still has the upper hand (this is the bitter truth). However, what's the point of making these crazy statements about "red lines" when it was all exposed as huff? Rhetoric should match reality.
Brave foreign policy is about as successful as values based foreign policy. Unemotional, rational salami slicing is winning the game
AFAIK, no. However for full UN membership, UNSC members can veto it
Because it's domestic theater. China is dealing with several existential problems right now, so getting people in line about the Taiwan question is good theater.
Imo a small nuclear test (<10kt) that only destroys the airport (while Pelosi's there) is a good non-escalatory option. Taipei would be irradiated a little, and that would be China's low level calibrated response. They couldn't test any of the strategic warheads at full yield, but oh well.
That's insufficient. They already know about the SRBMs and IRBMs.
It demonstrates that China is willing and able to shoot down flying objects in Taiwan. Being a warmonger is better than being weak. Too bad it has come to those choices but it is what it is thanks to prior decisions.
There's a good western saying. Fortune favors the bold. If you are not brave, then others will not follow you. The reason Anglo Saxons have so many followers is because they are brave. When Argentina took Falklands islands, the UK fought. By contrast, China would not have fought in that circumstance.
escobar
Brigadier
Another theory: Maybe Chinese government want Pelosi to go to Taiwan because objectively speaking, CN gov incentivized this outcome
Observer status are voted upon by the General Assembly via a resolution. So China can’t veto it. And yes, the numerical advantage is there presently. However we know the US has many ways to “convince” those countries to support their cause.
I agree with no 2, but the timing is also determined by the US as well. I also partially agree with no 1. Yes the West will basically commit suicide if they do that, but an attack from China upon a UN member will break down the trust between China and other smaller nations since it shows China doesn’t adhere to international law. The economic damage will most likely not occur, but the political damage will be extremely high.
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