There has been several mentios of british MP's now planing official trips to Taiwan. As expected, the visits will only escalate unless China takes actions one way or another.
This is ineffective because the average person doesn't hear about it. Something that only the rulers know is not as effective as something that both average person and rulers know.Speaking of which, are there any further news on the closure of airspace above the Taiwan Strait? From when until when would the closure of the airspace be conducted?
Most importantly, is that news real at all?
Who and where said this?After careful analysis, China now has the right time, place and people. I'm afraid it's really going to fight this time!
仔细分析了下,现在中国天时,地利,人和都已具备,这次怕是真要打了!
There's no benefit in dick measuring by holding captive a decrepit ghoul. If Pelosi is there, it makes America involved, its better for America not to be involved, as the chances of escalation is lower.Never. She will not be able to leave Taiwan.
She will pass away while on Taiwanese land, when Taiwan has already belonged to China.
It's a one-way ticket for Pelosi.
This raises an interesting question: China would also like to have extensive training for targets beyond Taiwan throughout the first and second island chains for the same reason. Would it be realistic to expect exercises like this near Guam in the future?Too much emotion in this thread. Mods should take some actions.
It's pretty clear now that China's planned response all along has been an immediate large-scale, surround-the-island military exercise right after Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan. This is actually a well thought out response, demonstrating both the restraint to such a symbolic but rather meaningless provocation and the strength of military power sending a signal that China can take over Taiwan if necessary.
China has never said anything close to shooting down Pelosi's plane or even intercepting her plane. But clearly, it has managed the PR extremely poorly, raising the expectation of many that some direct face-off between Chinese and US militaries is likely. I had my doubts that such dramatic measures were in the cards, given the non-military nature of her visit and the (non-)deployment of Chinese naval and air force around Taiwan. In the end, I was almost convinced that the Chinese would at least do some interception regardless if they would eventually let her land in Taiwan or not, because of all the fury, bluster and hysteria emitting from various Chinese channels, official or unofficial ones (after all, it is hardly unprecedented that Chinese military aircraft intercept foreign military aircraft). The resulting impression is that China is all bark but no bite. This, again, demonstrates the poor skills of managing public perceptions by China.
A couple of years ago, I said on SDF that China would need large-scale, joint-operation exercises around Taiwan to simulate the invasion of Taiwan. It's hard to do that during normal times. An occasion like now affords such an opportunity. China needs to do this for the necessary training, particularly in a near-real environment, every once in a while. This kind of exercises will also serve the purpose of desensitizing Taiwan and other countries, until the time comes to convert such exercise into real operation.
China has the military strength to gain the upper hand against the US forces deployed or based nearby around Taiwan now. But it would be extremely unwise to seek a direct military confrontation for this visit. It will take a lot more to get there, individually or cumulatively. But I have no doubt this incident will have long-lasting consequences.
Are you gonna post your analysis?After careful analysis, China now has the right time, place and people. I'm afraid it's really going to fight this time!
仔细分析了下,现在中国天时,地利,人和都已具备,这次怕是真要打了!
Hong Kong 2019 was also an embarrassment. China had issued plenty of serious threats back then, too.Definitely people are too emotional about "national embarrassment" or whatever. Yes, definitely it is an embarrassment (for now)
But looking at what has happened in the US in the last few years, riot in the capital, dozens of kids murdered in a single incident, a million dead from disease, yet the government doesn't give 2 serious craps about it.
Honestly, my favourite response would be if they had hacked Paul Pelosi and had some dirty laundry on him. This sort of stuff just sends western media into a frenzy. It would also discredit his wife and suddenly it just looks like shaking hands with another crooked Washington dealer.
If Xi stays or not its for the people to decide after the current political sessions finish.No, you should fuck off this forum; every person can lash out when angry but it takes a wise leader to know and stick to the most rational and beneficial plan, especially with a horde of angry imbecile keyboard warriors biting at his toe nails and ass hairs like you.
While the US isn't going to just collapse, it is declining in comparison to China and its shit-stirring on the global stage is akin to the death throes of an animal with a fatal wound. Never will you see one more lively and some can say that since it is moving more that when it was just sitting there eating, it must be stronger. It is clear to everyone here that this is the US playing its last useless cards just to piss people off because the only country making real progress in the global race is China.
This is basically the gist of it, although it is not an invasion, just reinforcing Taiwan island against foreign aggression. But I don't believe the PLA will go as far as to destroy all the ROC at once. Instead, it will only be a few islands, which will help China fortify the straits in the long term.Just as how Russia was moving in military hardware under the guise of "routine exercises", China is also doing the same thing, they will continue their "routine exercises" till enough military hardware has been put in place for an invasion.