There's recent quote from bruce wright saying the US conventional planes will have difficulties in penetrating Chinese airdefense. It will requires the stealth planes. So, for those who mentions wild weasel, and planes /w ECM,I don't think they can do it.
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Wright noted the Air Force's fleet is older than ever before.
The average age of the F-15 fighters, for example, is about 24 years, while that of the KC-135 Stratotanker, a mid-air refueling plane that is a key element in the Air Force's ability to conduct long-range missions, is 46 years.
Wright, who was at this air base on Japan's southern island of Okinawa to meet with local commanding officers, said the improvement in Chinese air defenses has made China's airspace "difficult if not impossible" to penetrate with the kind of U.S. fighters — F-15s and F-16s — now deployed in Japan.
Doing so would require the F-22 or the Joint Strike Fighter, which both have stealth capabilities. The Air Force sent a dozen F-22s to Japan earlier this year, but only for a temporary deployment. It has no plans to bring more here permanently.
The Joint Strike Fighter, or F-35, is not yet combat-ready.
Keep in mind Wright is a USAF PACCOM bean counter-meaning he has his own "domain" to secure funding for. PACCOM AF is in a sorry state right now with 30yrs+ F-15Cs and F-16s based at Misawa and elsewhere that make frequent rotations to Iraq for CAS.
Penetrating PRC airspace is very difficult with F-15Cs and F-16s in the presence of HQ-10/S-300PMU-2 or any other modern variants w/o EF-18 SH support yet not entirely impossble as the PRC has relatively few modern SAM systems in relation to area and operates a point defense of vital areas ie. Taiwan Strait, Beijing etc. meaning you just fly in over Hong Kong or from Yunnan or anywhere else where Air Defense is relatively sporadic and easy to jam/kill.
And then again nobody was planning to do so anyway except with F-22s and B-2s (at night).