If's it's not two people sleeping at the wheel at the same time and not software error then there's a 3rd, even more intriguing possibility. The fact that USN have been unusually quite at this incident makes it even more interesting. Recall when USS Connecticut banged into something USN fairly quickly came out and said it hit some underwater object, before the sub was even back to Guam. Here it took more than 24 hours before the USN would even admit the aircraft is in the water, and were it not for the leaked video and photos people would have zero idea about the nature of the incident and would probably still be guessing mainly that an arrestor wire snapped. Even now we still don't know weather or not the carrier itself sustained any damage or how the deck crew were injured.
Perhaps the pilot was spooked by something while in the air, making him perform worse than usual at landing time, ala Cougar in Top Gun. I recall there were some big PLAAF incursions into the Taiwan ADIZ at the same time.
If some pilots in Eastern Theater Command gets Level Two or Level One commendations for “completing mission in January 2022” then we have indirect confirmation.