antiterror13
Brigadier
I tend to believe the chance to be nuclear powered for 002 is 60%. China has mastered the nuclear technology and already start exporting the technology. I don't see why 002 is not nuclear powered
CV-18 Fujian/003 CATOBAR carrier thread
- Thread starter Jeff Head
- Start date
I tend to believe the chance to be nuclear powered for 002 is 60%. China has mastered the nuclear technology and already start exporting the technology. I don't see why 002 is not nuclear powered
We haven't heard anything about carrier #3 being nuclear-powered. I think we would have by now given that it's almost certainly already under construction. In fact I believe we have already had comments made by big shrimp to the effect of carrier #3 being conventionally-powered and not nuclear-powered. The only realistic question at this point is whether carrier #4 or #5 will be the first nuclear-powered carrier. Obviously nobody knows the answer to this question; we can all only just guess right now.
The rumours that we've had over the last few years from big shrimps are 100% adamant and consistent that 002 will not be nuclear.
PLA watching is based off rumours. In the same way that we know various characteristics about 055 and that is real, that 075 is real, that 054B is real, we also know that 002 is real, and also characteristics about 002 including that it won't be nuclear.
That's not how PLA watching works.
We rely on credible rumours and leaks to make informed estimations and form conclusions. And for the last few years, all the characteristics of 002 have been consistent that it will be a conventionally powered CATOBAR carrier that displaces about 80,000 tons or slightly less.
Insisting that 002 might be nuclear powered is fundamentally breaching the process through which PLA watching occurs because it ignores the consistent revelation of new information through big shrimps and leaks and even occasional state media which have referenced the 002 carrier directly or indirectly, all of which indicate that it will be a conventionally powered carrier and not a nuclear one.
Who are these big shrimps ? are they high ranking military officials or general people who do research and climb walls to take latest pictures of military gears ?
Intrepid
Major
People, who live with insiders and hear something.
Close but not necessarily. Many are considered insiders who have had or have some ties with either the industry or the military directly at some level, and some also happen to be wall climbers who take photos as well.
But more importantly, the respect given to them is dependent upon their track record. If they have a track record of accurate predictions then they will be taken very seriously -- it's not like anyone who claims to be an insider is automatically taken seriously of course.
Uh, yes. Kirov's two reactors power two steam turbines of 70000 hp each. And 971 sub reactor power's 43000 hp steam turbine. But of course, you know better than Russians.
Uh, yes, they are backups. Two nuclear reactors on Kirov manage 140000 shp. But of course, you know better than the guys who designed and operated them. CONAS, my ass.
OT
These flattops are already more expensive than UK can afford. Look what is happening to its National Health Service for example.
Intrepid
Major
They often have no profound knowledge, but access to insider knowledge. Their utterances must therefore be interpreted and brought into the appropriate context.
They are one but not the only source.