I have to admit that all the measurement estimates and displacement implications over the last several months kind of surprised me. At the beginning, the images were all blurry so there could be large margin of errors in estimates. But the pictures are getting much clearer lately ...
003 was supposed to be China's Kitty Hawk equivalent: conventional CATOBAR, 80,000-ton -ish, maybe not quite as large, but it's at least the aspiration. But the measurements appear to have gradually bumped it up to past Kitty and towards Nimitz. That's a bit baffling and interesting.
Early rumors had it that the standard displacement of 003 would be somewhere like 68,000 tons, not quite Kitty size, but close. It's a realistic size, given the likely constraint of the power plant (improved version from Liaoning and Shandong).
Don't know how to make of it. Did China just make significant progress in the power plant? Is it because the EMALS system is much larger than the corresponding steamed catapult such that you have to enlarge the deck size and therefore the displacement? Yes, the speed may be sacrificed a bit.
Guess we'll see.
To be fair, the Kitty Hawk is still some 17 meters shorter than the Nimitz class at waterline, and a 0.8m difference in beam at waterline as well, which, combined with the nuclear propulsion of the Nimitz class and associated shielding, would likely lend to the difference in displacement between the Kitty Hawk and Nimitz classes.
In the case of 003, while in some parameters it may approach the Nimitz class in dimensions (possibly flight deck width in some respects), by all accounts it will still be slightly shorter (Kitty Hawk length), likely a slightly narrower beam at waterline (0.5-0.8m?), and also remain conventionally powered.
Take all of that together, I could see 003 being maybe slightly heavier than your average Kitty Hawk class carrier but still credibly some 10,000-15,000 tons lighter than a Nimitz/Ford CVN.
.... but this isn't to say that 003 will be small or that a displacement of some 85,000+ tons would be a disappointment.
I remember years ago when there was the rumour that 003 might only displace 70,000 tons full, but looking at the ship now, that number seems quite unrealistically low.