I beg to differ about the importance of the 1st case. If more testing is done then mortality rate will decrease and often will give a rosier picture to complacent people (most common men).
Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)
- Thread starter localizer
- Start date
Jura The idiot
General
for certain governments the most important factor is a capacity of ice rinks, as in
Updated 1537 GMT (2337 HKT) March 24, 2020
Coronavirus: Milton Keynes ice rink to be temporary mortuary
- 31 March 2020
followed by a capacity of incinerators
Nyt has published an article on Trump's allegation against WHO.
PiSigma
"the engineer"
Yep. But US provides the largest funding to WHO out of all nations. Others will just have to step it up.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
It’s less the death rate and more absolute numbers of dead.
We know for a fact that only a tiny fraction of extremely likely COVID19 cases are actually tested in most western nations, with general practice of actively discouraging suspected cases from even going to hospitals unless they start developing potentially life threatening symptoms. That means western confirmed case numbers are basically worthless, especially if you want to do cross comparison analysis against Asian countries where testing is far more comprehensive.
Western attempts to boost testing is further muddying the waters in terms of statistical analysis over time.
The actual death numbers thus become the most reliable indicator of the severity of the outbreak in most western nations. Although even that is now starting to look more suspect as the scale of deaths at home and in care homes start to emerge.
Normally in NYC 20-25 people die at home each day. We are now at 200-215. Every day. For sure nearly all the increase is people w/ coronavirus. But not all are being counted that way. One reason that the official NYC covid death count--already high--is certainly an undercount.
Good for him. I still recall the accusations against Lula and the accompanied vitriolic media campaign only to be later found lies.
On a broader note: I know this is a defence forum, and many may dislike this post but I hope once this problem is solved people across the world will demand (significantly)more spending on healthcare. Please note this is expected in every country irrespective of the government it has.
Pardon my ignorance but it appears that the evidence you provided to support your previous statement seems to be contradict your assertion. You mentioned that "All epidemiological data still point China as the original location. The genomic variations still have the Chinese strains as the starting ones."
Yet the evidence you provided contradicts these assertion. Direct quotes from research paper states
1. we found that haplotypes H13 and H38 might be considered as ancestral haplotypes, and later H1 (whose descendants included all samples from the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market) was derived from the intermediate haplotype H3.
2. Neither H13 nor H38 has samples from Wuhan (Hubei)