Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
Peter TR said:
No
Not gonna happen to both of them.
Consider previous outbreak of the fluenza A 24 (or 26?) million infected, 28000 ICU and 16000 fatalities. And US still can handle it.
For US health system they sure have the capabilities and capacity to deal with the COVID19 since only less then 500 infected cases in US.

Pray for them
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inspired me to look up the initial Chinese data; Jan 29, 2020
what I called the first day (Jan19 in China) had the reported number of confirmed cases: 198, and that's pretty much where the US is today (March 7), with 213 according to
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2nd day (Jan20 in China) 291
3rd day (Jan21 in China) 440
4th day (Jan22 in China) 571
5th day (Jan23 in China) 830
6th day (Jan24 in China) 1287
8th day (Jan26 in China) 2744
9th day (Jan27 in China) 4515
11th day (Jan 29 in China) 6061

no problem if those numbers were inaccurate, or if I misstyped or whatever, still it's going to be interesting to follow the differences

EDIT of course I doubt there'll be any strong government interventions in the US of the type there're in China
 
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Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
in Italy Feb 22, 2020
Jura said:
...
Via Corriere della Sera:
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.

• Trenord ordered the closure of the Codogno, Maleo and Casalpusterlengo stations in compliance with the Lombardy Region ordinance on Coronavirus. Following the provision, the Milan-Piacenza trains will not make the 3 stops and the railway services between Pavia and Codogno and between Cremona and Codogno are suspended. The measure is active from Saturday until further notice.
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and at that time they had 79 confirmed cases according to
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then
150
227
320
445
650
888
1128
1694
2036
2502
3855
4636
5883 today
 
vincent

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Jura said:
the poster later explained that, but s/he apparently exaggerated by claiming (Today at 6:17 PM post) "the attack rate in Wuhan was about 1% before the lockdown" as Wuhan is ten plus million people, so it'd mean 100k plus infected Jan. 24
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The initial numbers are inaccurate because there weren’t enough tests done. Look at how many cases South Korea discovered once they have started to do mass testing
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
vincent said:
The initial numbers are inaccurate because there weren’t enough tests done. Look at how many cases South Korea discovered once they have started to do mass testing
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had you read my post, you might've noticed I've said the member "exaggerated" (the thing is even now there isn't 1% of Wuhan population infected, is it?)
 
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