Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

Gatekeeper

Brigadier
Registered Member
This new version or upgraded sinodefence forum is quite annoying for me. Can't go to or return to a specific page and have to roll all the way down to go to previous or next page. Time consuming. I am living on borrowed time. LOL.
Or is there's something I don't know? Sorry I put it in this thread as I spend most time here cross-checking quotes/replies.

Agree 100%.
 

Peter TR

New Member
Registered Member
USA and WSJ lampooned and mocked China on Feb 3 as "
China Is the Real Sick Man of Asia"

USA very soon will be the "Sick man of the world"

It seems my estimates that within a month USA numbers of sick from covid19 exceeding China , South Korea, Japan and all of Europe and that in two months, as many as 20% USA be hit by covid19 very much of a gross underestimate from me.


Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

US hospitals are preparing for 96 MILLION coronavirus infections and nearly HALF A MILLION deaths, leaked documents reveal
No
Not gonna happen to both of them.
Consider previous outbreak of the fluenza A 24 (or 26?) million infected, 28000 ICU and 16000 fatalities. And US still can handle it.
For US health system they sure have the capabilities and capacity to deal with the COVID19 since only less then 500 infected cases in US.

Pray for them
 

OppositeDay

Senior Member
Registered Member
Updates on imported cases:

In the last two days Beijing had 8 new confirmed cases, 7 were imported from Italy. Two Chinese nationals returning from Italy took fever medication and lied on their health declaration forms. Criminal investigations underway.

There were many imported cases who took transfer flights after landing in China.

Chinese aviation authority needs to act fast. Require all inbound flights to have no adjacent seats occupied at the same time. This will make quarantine easier, increase travelling cost and cut down inbound passengers. International-to-domestic transfer flights should be banned. Passengers need to be quarantined as they land in China.

Also in the last three days Gansu reported 28 new imported cases from Iran. About 300 Chinese nationals were flown back from Iran on chartered flights to Lanzhou, Gansu's capital. Even if only half of the new cases were from those flights, we're looking at a 5% attack rate. Some of them were students from religious schools in Qom, other were business people from the rest of Iran. Of course not a representative sample, but it's probably not order of magnitude wrong. We still need antibodies tests but the current widely shared guesstimate is that the attack rate in Wuhan was about 1% before the lockdown, and Wuhan had the rest of China to help. Iran is lost. I feel so sorry for them.
 
Updates on imported cases:

In the last two days Beijing had 8 new confirmed cases, 7 were imported from Italy. Two Chinese nationals returning from Italy took fever medication and lied on their health declaration forms. Criminal investigations underway.

There were many imported cases who took transfer flights after landing in China.

Chinese aviation authority needs to act fast. Require all inbound flights to have no adjacent seats occupied at the same time. This will make quarantine easier, increase travelling cost and cut down inbound passengers. International-to-domestic transfer flights should be banned. Passengers need to be quarantined as they land in China.

Also in the last three days Gansu reported 28 new imported cases from Iran. About 300 Chinese nationals were flown back from Iran on chartered flights to Lanzhou, Gansu's capital. Even if only half of the new cases were from those flights, we're looking at a 5% attack rate. Some of them were students from religious schools in Qom, other were business people from the rest of Iran. Of course not a representative sample, but it's probably not order of magnitude wrong. We still need antibodies tests but the current widely shared guesstimate is that the attack rate in Wuhan was about 1% before the lockdown, and Wuhan had the rest of China to help. Iran is lost. I feel so sorry for them.
what does "attack rate" mean please
 
Top