Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Other than China, other countries simply don't test every person within a single day to catch every infected person. This allows the virus to mutate and attenuate outside China and people get fed up and don't bother about it anymore after some years from now. Humans are not the master of this planet. Mother Nature is. And it does appear Mother Nature shows humanity who is boss.
Humans are not the master of this planet.
Nobody said that and nobody is doing like that, so stop straw man tactic.
BTW, neither is virus the master of this planet.

Mother Nature is.
We don't need you to tell the obvious.

And it does appear Mother Nature shows humanity who is boss.
Mother Nature is only watching which one of her creations is going to win over the other, human or virus.

Don't use the word "Mother Nature" in the same way as God. Respecting Nature law is not a religion. Science is not a religion. Any animal (human included) will NOT stay idle in front of disasters, that is the Natural law. Natural law does NOT favor anybody (active or passive), it does not choose, it only reward the one who survived at last. Everything is up to one to act.
 

Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Other than China, other countries simply don't test every person within a single day to catch every infected person. This allows the virus to mutate and attenuate outside China and people get fed up and don't bother about it anymore after some years from now. Humans are not the master of this planet. Mother Nature is. And it does appear Mother Nature shows humanity who is boss.

It's not the total volume of daily tests, but the positivity rate that determines under-counting of cases. Positivity rate is the proportion of all tests that comes back positive. A 5% positivity rate is considered 'TOO high'.

  • A nation as large as China has only have 160 million total tests over 2 year period, and a less than 0.001% positivity rate because there is only 5000 prevalent cases over 2 year period and the disease is virtually non-existent right now.
  • Compared to a nation as large as India with over 560 million total tests over a 2 year period, but has a 1.8% positivity rate because there is over 32 million prevalent cases over 2 year period and the virus is alive and thriving in India right now.

Yes, you are correct that during the incubation period, the virus can thrive and mutate before signs and symptoms appear, and can be contagious during this incubation phase (mean 6 days, range 2-14 days). So yea, that's a good point.
 
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JSChineseTiger

New Member
Registered Member
It's not the total volume of daily tests, but the positivity rate that determines under-counting of cases. Positivity rate is the proportion of all tests that comes back positive. A 5% positivity rate is considered 'TOO high'.

  • A nation as large as China has only have 160 million total tests over 2 year period, and a less than 0.001% positivity rate because there is only 5000 prevalent cases over 2 year period and the disease is virtually non-existent right now.
  • Compared to a nation as large as India with over 560 million total tests over a 2 year period, but has a 1.8% positivity rate because there is over 32 million prevalent cases over 2 year period and the virus is alive and thriving in India right now.

Yes, you are correct that during the incubation period, the virus can thrive and mutate before signs and symptoms appear, and can be contagious during this incubation phase (mean 6 days, range 2-14 days). So yea, that's a good point.

Considering most of the covid cases theses days (especially with the new variants) are asymptomatic (indeed, at least 60 percent of rhinovirus infection is asympomatic), you cannot assume the same rules apply to the first covid strain which does not exist. It's going to be very hard to catch
 
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JSChineseTiger

New Member
Registered Member
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