COMAC C919

gullible

Junior Member
???

COMAC had been traditionally cautious. Its aircraft are flight tested 5000 hours as opposed to the 3000 of Airbus or Boeing.

Compared to the military programs like J-16, J-20, Y-20, J-35 (once accepted) it is immensely careful and deliberate.

The fact they are aiming for a ramp up in production is they are finally confident things could be mass produced. It also means that the domestic engine is near.
have any cj1000a engines flight tested with c919 yet? if they did it might take some time to instill confidence for mass production.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
Did you even read the article?



Yeah, they are planning to produce 50 jets this year, with production capacity of 75 planes. In January, that target was 30 planes with a production capacity of 50 planes.


Considering that COMAC only produced 13 c919 in 2024, if they do manage to produce 50 planes this year, that's a 400% increase. Not to mention that since they have only delivered two planes in the first 3 months of this year, so the bulk of the production will be during the 2nd half of the year. And they are clearly rushing production, since their own plans just 3 months ago had them declaring that they would be targeting 30 planes this year. What changed in the last 3 months that could have allowed them to naturally grow their production target by 60% without sacrificing quality?

Imagine if Airbus or Boeing, or anyone that makes any complex machine really, had announced that they were increasing production by 400% in year. Anyone would be concerned, let alone in an industry where safety is Number 1 and even a single crash and ruin reputations for more than a decade. There's no Chinese magic at work here, COMAC is going to get that new increased target the same way any business does, cutting corners and increased shifts.
Sometimes it’s not haste but confidence. Cost of bad product is extremely high in commercial aviation and companies aren’t stupid.
 

antwerpery

Junior Member
Registered Member
and companies aren’t stupid.
Tell that to Boeing.
Sometimes it’s not haste but confidence.
And again, their previous target was 30 planes a year, that was in January. Did something change in the last 3 months for them to revise their production targets upwards by so much? Did a new factory appear out of thin air? Did supply chain magically get less complicated under Trump's tariffs?

It's pretty simple here, in January Comac leadership looked at all the current state of their supply chain and production lines and went "Our target is 30 planes a year". So unless there's new production lines, new supply chains, or Comac somehow got their hands on thousands of experienced and trained engineers in 3 months, the only way to get more production is to push the existing production lines and workers to their limits. Unless Comac somehow grossly misjudged what their new production lines were capable of in January. And even then, going from 13 planes a year, to 50 planes a year is unprecedented. You don't move that fast without some hiccups.

They probably won't hit their target, but rushing production is what got Boeing into their current situation. Comac is still quite new at this too, they don't nearly have the experience of Airbus and Boeing. And again, safely above all.
 

THX 1138

Junior Member
Registered Member
Considering that COMAC only produced 13 c919 in 2024, if they do manage to produce 50 planes this year, that's a 400% increase.

Imagine if Airbus or Boeing, or anyone that makes any complex machine really, had announced that they were increasing production by 400% in year. Anyone would be concerned, let alone in an industry where safety is Number 1 and even a single crash and ruin reputations for more than a decade.



According to
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
, these were the first 4 years of A320 deliveries from Airbus

Year​
Delivery​
1988​
16​
1989​
58​
1990​
58​
1991​
119​

So C919 jumping from 13 last year to 50 next year isn't out of line.

But there are other risks that come with COMAC ramping up C919 production. When they were building 5 to 10 planes per year, it was only mildly concerning to the U.S. Sanctioning COMAC to stop the production of 5 to 10 planes hardly seems worth the trouble.

But if the production rate is 50, it would be downright alarming for the U.S. Especially since every C919 built comes at the expense of Boeing, not Airbus. Increasing the C919 production rate will increase the likelihood of the U.S. stopping COMAC from receiving LEAP engines.

High C919 production rates is risky, unless the CJ-1000A is very close to certification.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
Tell that to Boeing.

Chinese regulators aren’t like American regulators.

They probably won't hit their target, but rushing production is what got Boeing into their current situation. Comac is still quite new at this too, they don't nearly have the experience of Airbus and Boeing. And again, safely above all.
No, what got Boeing into their current predicament was extremely sloppy and lax product development and production management practices for the sake of *cost cutting*. It has nothing to do with production speed.
 

lcloo

Captain
Saw a news reporting yesterday that 27 countries have recognised certificate of air worthiness of C919, including Canada, Brazil, New Zealand, Australia and Russia. No full list was disclosed but I believe all ASEAN (probably minus Philippines) countries are in the list.

However, we still need affirmative announcement from COMAC to be sure.
 

antiterror13

Brigadier
Saw a news reporting yesterday that 27 countries have recognised certificate of air worthiness of C919, including Canada, Brazil, New Zealand, Australia and Russia. No full list was disclosed but I believe all ASEAN (probably minus Philippines) countries are in the list.

However, we still need affirmative announcement from COMAC to be sure.

Any links? I tried google, but no luck
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
According to
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
, these were the first 4 years of A320 deliveries from Airbus

Year​
Delivery​
1988​
16​
1989​
58​
1990​
58​
1991​
119​

So C919 jumping from 13 last year to 50 next year isn't out of line.

But there are other risks that come with COMAC ramping up C919 production. When they were building 5 to 10 planes per year, it was only mildly concerning to the U.S. Sanctioning COMAC to stop the production of 5 to 10 planes hardly seems worth the trouble.

But if the production rate is 50, it would be downright alarming for the U.S. Especially since every C919 built comes at the expense of Boeing, not Airbus. Increasing the C919 production rate will increase the likelihood of the U.S. stopping COMAC from receiving LEAP engines.

High C919 production rates is risky, unless the CJ-1000A is very close to certification.


The B737 and A320s are at 400-500 per year, and they have production backlogs beyond 2030.

So I don't think 50-75 C919 per year will trigger anything.
 
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