COMAC C919
- Thread starter Deino
- Start date
asif iqbal
Lieutenant General
3 units delivered last year and maybe they will manage more this year in 2024
it is highly unlikely they will get to 150 x C919 by 2028
it was only 1 year ago that the 100th x ARJ-21 was delivered and first commercial flight was Summer of 2016
10+ units of C919 will be deliver this year as per the source.
ARJ-21 has 48 units annual capacity if needed. we just cannot compare C919 with ARJ-21.
Assembly line of C919 currently expanding. the new production facility will be one of the largest and most advance in the world. COMAC has completely different plans for C919..
To reach 150 by 2028 requires doubling each year (8 in 2024, 16 in 2025, 32 in 2026, 64 in 2027, 128 in 2028) which is ambitious but plausible. Worker proficiency and training all along the parts supply chain/maintenance/pilots sounds daunting as this is brand new thus no reservoir of skilled people. Perhaps the ARJ-21 has served its purpose and the line will cease after a couple more years and transition to the shortened C919?
They are gonna choke off the engine supply long before C-919 reaches triple digits.
COMAC don't care ..
CJ-1000 entered in supply chain. after 2025 you will see CJ1000 mounted on C919 wings for further testing..
doesn't work that way. Airlines when placing orders, make decision on engine also. If Leap-1C becomes unavailable, then Airlines will have to make additional adjustments to accommodate new engine type which requires a new engine support team. That will automatically slow down the delivery speed. Even if we assume airlines are 100% willing to switch to the new engine type.
The goal of CJ1000A is having a viable second option so that C919 doesn't easily face sanctions
Scaling up production to 150 by 2028 is doable, but a herculean task.
agreed with your point.
but to enter in lucrative commercial turbofan industry, first step has to be taken. i know process will be painful financially and slow down the delivery speed. AECC goal is to become world class manufacturer of commercial turbofan engines by 2035. so COMAC has to support. there is no other option.
CJ-1000A is not second option what i have heard from my source. LEAP engine will fully replace as soon as possible.
true that. not an easy task. i think 70+ units by then.