Climate Change and Renewable Energy News and Discussion

tphuang

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Just to show the improving competitiveness of Chinese firm. I found another one that has been winning contracts that that is
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(SH600522)

just won two new contracts on in Europe and one domestically
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In Europe, it is for Orsted Wind Power's Baltica 2 project and the contract is worth 1.209B RMB for 275kV submarine cable

and the other one is domestic
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for 968m RMB for 220kV cable near Guangdong

This is after winning a major submarine contract with Brazil
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And Mexican oil & gas field in February
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they also won contracts with Saudi Arabia, Malaysia & Myanmar

Basically as we get more of these offshore wind projects domestically, there just more of these domestic players that are finding their way to more lucrative international contracts.
another one of these from Orient cable in the Orsted wind power's Baltica 2 project. This one is for 66kV submarine cable, so chinese companies are providing all the 66 and 275kV cable for that project

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1、东方电缆公告将作为供应商向Baltica 2海上风电项目提供整个风场66kV海缆及配套附件,合同总金额近3.5亿元人民币。公司此前一季报公告签署Inch Cape海风(1.1GW)输出缆供应前期工程协议,顺利完成型式实验后将另行签订合同成为输出缆供应商。我们认为本次订单再次验证公司作为海缆龙头的全球竞争力。
2、同时,更重要的在于,我们认为今年以来国内海缆、管桩企业海外海风大单陆续落地一定程度验证了目前海外海风快速发展的拐点:
1)欧洲:主要国家规划2030年海风超130GW,对应未来年均新增10+GW(22年新增2.5GW);近几年主要国家在海风政策方面积极推进,其中英国CfD招标从2年一次改为1年一次,法国2025年开始每年组织至少2GW的海风拍卖(现在每年1GW)且项目周期大幅缩短,丹麦2023年将推出9GW的海风招标,荷兰首次出现“负补贴”条款等;从相关项目梳理看,预计欧洲最晚26年将迎来并网拐点,当年新增有望超10GW。
2)美国:规划2030年海风30GW,对应未来年均新增3-4GW(22年尚无海风);美国PTC、ITC税收抵免优惠仍在延续,并且海风项目已经启动,22年在建海风项目约0.9GW;从相关项目梳理看,预计美国25年将迎来并网拐点,当年新增有望超3GW。
3)此前,东南亚新兴市场国家或地区也均提出可观的海风规划,部分地区项目启动较快,预计也将贡献未来海外海风市场增量。
3、考虑到海外海风一般建设周期较长,项目若需25/26年建成并网,预计23/24年将启动招标以及陆续交付,因此23年开始有望迎来订单拐点,23-25年迎来产品交付拐点;在海外供应链产能紧张背景下,国内海风产业链头部企业有望实现海外出口放量。继续推荐与海风相关的海缆、管桩环节,具备大兆瓦产品的铸锻件以及风机龙头
keep in mind this is just for 1.1GW of wind power. so as Europe expand its offshore wind production, there will be a lot of opportunities like this for Chinese firms
 

tacoburger

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There's really only two ways to get a massive amount of energy storage cheaply and easily. Pumped hydro, which is heavily location and water dependent and which China is already investing heavily in. And piggybacking off the population's fleet of EVs.

An EV is a 30-60 kwh battery just waiting to be used, compound that by a few million times and you got a battery that can rival that of pumped hydro. Especially since most EVs don't see much use during the afternoon/evening/night, that's when demand is the highest, most people mainly use their cars for travelling to work. Someone drives back home from home, plugs their EV into the outlet and the grid takes a tiny slip of electricity from the millions of EVs all doing the same to smooth out the supply bottoming out from solar as the sun sets. Or in the middle of the night if there's a disruption in the wind. Or in the middle of the afternoon if there's a sudden demand surge due to a heatwave or something.

The issue is that you need policies in place to get people to allow for their EV to double as a backup battery, education that using a EV like this isn't going to badly degrade the battery life and technology for vehicle to grid charging and smart systems to control the supply and demand while also ensuring that someone's EV doesn't get drained right before someone's morning commute to work.

And of course you can easily run your house off your EV if the power goes out, it can double as battery pack. Or can be used to power electronics if you're out in a rural area. Hell, in rural areas this will be a godsend, with solar, you can create your own mircogrid and not worry about the grid supply anymore. It's one of the biggest benefits from a large chunk of the country switching to EVs.

Anyone have any data on how well China is doing on those front? Is there any cities that already allow for EVs to feed their power back into the grid when the grid needs the extra power? Is there any large scale policy supporting this?
 

dingyibvs

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As the cost of renewables continue to decrease, I still think it makes sense to build a East to West canal using desalinated water. The water would be pumped against the gradient during the day and late night, which acts as energy storage and thus solving the intermittency issue. It can also be released for household/industrial consumption, thus solving the water shortage issue. It can also receive diverted water from natural rivers, thus solving the flooding issue.

China has already built massive canals, this should be a feasible project.
 

FairAndUnbiased

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As the cost of renewables continue to decrease, I still think it makes sense to build a East to West canal using desalinated water. The water would be pumped against the gradient during the day and late night, which acts as energy storage and thus solving the intermittency issue. It can also be released for household/industrial consumption, thus solving the water shortage issue. It can also receive diverted water from natural rivers, thus solving the flooding issue.

China has already built massive canals, this should be a feasible project.
Desalination is indeed also an energy storage mechanism.
 

tphuang

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Mingyang's new plant in Jilin has produced its first turbine. Looks like they are just producing onshore 6.25MW class turbines here

刘英杰在仪式上致辞,他说,近年来,松原市始终坚持将
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转化为产业优势,以
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产业为主线,深度融入“陆上风光三峡”“氢动吉林”、国家级清洁能源基地建设等重大战略,发挥风光电资源优势,抢抓新能源产业“风口”,到“十四五”期末,全市新能源装机达到1600万千瓦,其中风电1100万千瓦,光伏500万千瓦。
Looks like Jilin area has pretty big ambitions with wind/solar & hydrogen. It anticipates to install 11GW wind & 5GW solar by the end of 十四五
 

tphuang

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Price of solar grade silicon material continue to drop
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looks like the high production capacity has managed to force this down

at the same time, polysilicon wafers will also drop
you can see the table at the bottom of that link. Longi has just 15% margin in this unit in 2022 and Jinko just 10% margin

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Currently, the domestic prices are dropping to the 130 to 150k RMB/t range, but this could drop as low as 70 to 80k/ton by next year. And they will still be profitable. The cut-throatness of Chinese clean energy is impressive.

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Also the Polysilicon wafer prices are dropping a lot, so the productions are cutting back also.
It's kind of interesting that China has just so much solar capacity now that the demand is not necessarily catching up. If we look at the last post, the actual production at Longi is far below the capacity. Everyone is going for vertical integration and expansion
 

tphuang

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Guofu hydrogen energy has signed agreement with South Africa solar energy company to setup green hydrogen/ammonia production base there. Or at least set up some kind of production supply chain for that. Aiming for 1 GW of electrolyzers order a year

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Sany has also managed to sign a wind/solar/hydrogen/ESS/ammonia in one project in Qinghai

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SPIC hs giend agreement with Yantai gov't for the world's first 100k level e-methanol project. (I don't agree that it's the first such project)
双方达成共识共同规划建设年产50万吨高端绿色甲醇生产项目,建成后每年直接消纳约75万吨二氧化碳,每年间接减排约220万吨二氧化碳,相当于1500平方公里森林每年吸收的二氧化碳,以25年计共减排约5500万吨二氧化碳,本次计划首期投资建设20万吨绿色甲醇产能。
project will involve building a production of 500kt of green methanol when completed. The first phase of plan is for 200kt of capacity

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Inner Mongolia signed a deal where 2GW of wind power will produce 500kt of methanol. 14B RMB investment
在会议现场签约的项目有:淖尔天润巴彦淖尔市200万千瓦风电制氢制50万吨甲醇项目金额140亿元;准格尔大路工业园绿电捕捉二氧化碳项目金额23亿元;绿电耦合水电解制氢设备智能化运营平台及高动态响应性超高温电解制储氢技术研发应用示范项目签约10亿元;氢能产业生态合作协议氢能汽车购销协议项目金额10亿元。氢燃料电池生产制造项目金额2亿元。
also has a ultra high temp electrolysis hydrogen storage tech of 1B RMB and another billion for hydrogen vehicle related tech and 200m RMB for fuel cell manufacturing
remains to be seen how that market works out

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This was already announced before, but now they've officially signed the agreement for delivery of 15 1000NM3/h electrolyzers from Longi to 大安项目
 
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