Chinese UCAV/CCA/flying wing drones (ISR, A2A, A2G) thread

Tomboy

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I am aware that J-6 had been retired. Converting them for target drones make a lot of sense, since you want your drone to behave like a fighter aircraft. I am just pondering the large scale conversion of these aircrafts into combat drones and how they would be used in times of war.
No you misunderstood, J-6 drones are already retired.
 

bsdnf

Junior Member
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Has anyone seen the debut of J-6w? Here is one article with a write up. A while back, there were discussions on this forum about J-6 conversion. The downside is significant.
1. they use airfield which is a valuable resource (compared to other uavs which are shot into the air)
2. The cost of conversion could go up to hundreds of thousands. This compares unfavorably to other suicide drones.
3. Maintenance and storage in peace time is much more demanding compared to other drone.

Yet, the Chinese military decided to go ahead and make the conversion. Most people speculate that this is not a one time suicide drone, but an unmanned reusable bomb truck. What are your thoughts about the merits of such a conversion?

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J-6/J-7 unmanned variants were originally developed as target drones, with exhibition panels noting that J-6 unmanned target drones first flew as early as 1995.

For instance, the J-10's certification tests involved firing upon J-7 target drones. According to Yankee's previous live broadcast, the PLAAF conducted a large-scale air-to-air missile target shooting test during the period before and after the new syllabus was formulated (2016-2017), and depleted the entire inventory of the basic J-7 variant. The performance of imported and domestically produced air-to-air ammunition was re-measured according to PLA standards,

The so-called J-6/J-7 unmanned versions, conceived as kamikaze munitions over a decade ago when the PLA still lacked affordable long-range strike capabilities, now appear largely unnecessary. Not to mention converting it into a reusable version
 
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tamsen_ikard

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J-6/J-7 unmanned variants were originally developed as target drones, with exhibition panels noting that J-6 unmanned target drones first flew as early as 1995.

For instance, the J-10's certification tests involved firing upon J-7 target drones. According to Yankee's previous live broadcast, the PLAAF conducted a large-scale air-to-air missile target shooting test during the period before and after the new syllabus was formulated (2016-2017), and depleted the entire inventory of the basic J-7 variant. The performance of imported and domestically produced air-to-air ammunition was re-measured according to PLA standards,

The so-called J-6/J-7 unmanned versions, conceived as kamikaze munitions over a decade ago when the PLA still lacked affordable long-range strike capabilities, now appear largely unnecessary. Not to mention converting it into a reusable version
J-6, J-7 are better suitable as Manned backup reserve fighters in the bone yard. They already have a cockpit and rated for manned flight. In a full scale attrition warfare, they will be useful as fighters if China's premier fighters are depleted.

Using them as drones after extensive conversion is costly and not the best use of these planes. Better produce newer drones with better fuel efficiency and other characteristics.
 

bsdnf

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J-6, J-7 are better suitable as Manned backup reserve fighters in the bone yard. They already have a cockpit and rated for manned flight. In a full scale attrition warfare, they will be useful as fighters if China's premier fighters are depleted.

Using them as drones after extensive conversion is costly and not the best use of these planes. Better produce newer drones with better fuel efficiency and other characteristics.
“In a full scale attrition warfare, they will be useful as fighters if China's premier fighters are depleted.”

NO
 

tphuang

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Sure, but considering fighting a comprehensive high intensity westpac conflict would be a more pressing priority for the PLA to master for now, and the more pressing threat/relevance of US capabilities in 2IC than in Alaska, those sort of missions would be more of a luxury for observers at this stage to consider relative to 2IC missions, no?
I think you can have a system that will likely have 90% of their mission set within 2IC, but because they do offer the ability to do further than that, then I would consider that as an asset for the additional missions. For most Chinese systems coming into service now, vast majority of their mission and targeting will be within 2IC.

But there is a difference between assets that can only do with 2IC vs ones that can go further

GJ-X could likely even replace most of H-6's job of striking second island chain targets.
I think that will be replaced by a combination of assets, since they will have numerous platforms like J-36s and CCAs that can do those missions also.


It's not just likely, but certainly the case.

In fact, the GJ-11/21's estimated payload capacity celling is only ~2 tons, which is much less than the JH-7A's ~8 tons. Needless to say, the constrains due keeping a VLO profile being a paramount requirement for the GJ-11/21 is a key role here (as the JH-7 isn't really concerned about stealth, after all) - But the JH-7 is also somewhat larger than the GJ-11/21.

Yet, of course, this is not to say that the JH-7A doesn't come with downsides, either - For instance, those way larger payload capacity introduces greater drag (thus reduced combat range and radius) on the JH-7A, something which the GJ-11/21 doesn't really need to worry about.
Not really a direct replacement, since J-15/16 do a bunch of those roles, but GJ-11/21 can certainly do some of that.

One thing GJ-21 can do for example is fly off Type 076 from SCS and strike Darwin. That's not really something you can do very well right now with H-6K let alone JH-7A, since stealth factor is so much greater
 

tamsen_ikard

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“In a full scale attrition warfare, they will be useful as fighters if China's premier fighters are depleted.”

?
A country should always have backups. In ww2, 10 of thousands of planes were shotdown. 2000 planes that PLA has right now are a small number. A surprise attack could deplete them, there could be a new technology that the enemy came up with that could make existing planes easier to shoot down. Many worse case scenarios may happen.

Russia is only alive in the Ukraine war because they had backups in terms of their older tanks, artillery and other weapon systems in storage.
 

Deino

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J-6, J-7 are better suitable as Manned backup reserve fighters in the bone yard. They already have a cockpit and rated for manned flight. In a full scale attrition warfare, they will be useful as fighters if China's premier fighters are depleted.

Using them as drones after extensive conversion is costly and not the best use of these planes. Better produce newer drones with better fuel efficiency and other characteristics.


Can you finally start THINKING and stop posting constantly such nonsense?? It's not only embarrassing but just annoying!
 

bsdnf

Junior Member
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A country should always have backups. In ww2, 10 of thousands of planes were shotdown. 2000 planes that PLA has right now are a small number. A surprise attack could deplete them, there could be a new technology that the enemy came up with that could make existing planes easier to shoot down. Many worse case scenarios may happen.

Russia is only alive in the Ukraine war because they had backups in terms of their older tanks, artillery and other weapon systems in storage.
PLAAF is not the Ukrainian Air Force with some pilots but no aircraft. If things get so bad to the point that they run out of prime fighters, and production capacity can't keep up (unimaginable), then relaunching old, poorly maintained, and nearly useless J-6s and J-7s won't solve any problem.

It's a sheer waste of pilot lives.
 

tamsen_ikard

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PLAAF is not the Ukrainian Air Force. If things get so bad that they run out of prime fighters, and production capacity can't keep up, then relaunching old, poorly maintained, and nearly useless J-6s and J-7s won't solve the problem.

It's a sheer waste of pilot lives.

I wonder why US and Russia both keep thousands of old fighters in storage then. They still keep ww2 era tanks and other weapons in storage. US brought back the WW2 era Iowa class, modernized them with cruise missiles and then used them in the Gulf war. US always keeps a reserve fleet of really old ships as backups.

Maybe because they DO think about Plan B, Plan C?

Yes, those storage planes and other vehicles are slowly depleted as target drones, while newer retired planes are then put in storage. But there are always a few thousand planes are in storage as backups.

Having no backup plan is the dumb move. Recent attack by Israel on Iran and Ukrainian attack on Russian bombers should have proven that by now. Even the most full-proof security systems could be compromised. Attack could come from completely unforeseen directions. If you don't have any backup and rely on just your active force, you could be severely depleted in a surprise attack.

Anyways, we are moving away from the thread topic, which is Chinese UAVs and UCAVs.
 

zyklon

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The uncertainty of those terms are a bit undermined by the initial question of whether that Lockheed project is even unmanned to begin with, or whether it had flown.

I think your overall argument would have been stronger if the specific example wasn't referenced at all, but that may just be me.

I get where you're coming from and appreciate the input! :)

A great deal of uncertainty persists, but there's a reasonable amount of consensus on the general contours of the Lockheed program in question. TBF, the situation isn't too different from certain classified Chinese aviation programs prior to the emergence of photos or satellite imagery.

Aviation Week's Steve Trimble — who tends to be a reasonably informed, experienced and sound commentator on such matters — actually chimed in last month on their podcast.

Not trying to get too off topic, but if anyone is curious: the transcript can be found
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.

If the argument is that there are classified programs on both sides, and that one or more classified programs of the US may represent (at minimum) a medium range stealthy strike UCAV, I think that's a reasonable position to take, but I wouldn't go much further than that.

TBH, I referenced and
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Lockheed's near billion dollar quarterly loss from the program in question largely to see if it'll disarm certain audiences here who might get "skeptical" about a reasonable take when it's applied to the "wrong" country.
 
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