coolieno99
Junior Member
That's a good point. Taiwan is earthquake prone. A bad one can interrupt TSMC production. That's a second reason why China should establish a domestic chip industry.
Chinese semiconductor industry
- Thread starter Hendrik_2000
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It means China has to prepare for the worst-case scenario: A technology blockade against it by the new "Eight-Nations Alliance" or in this case the D-10. This is why China has to measure its R&D spending and long term situation against not only the US but against the combined D-10 powers. It has a few partners it can also enlist, such as Russia and Pakistan.
The US will be watching whatever comes out of the 'Two Sessions' and move to counter that. So China will have to continuously update its strategy after the Biden administration completes its China policy review to adapt afterwards.
If Tom Cotton's plan actually happens, and the US totally stops exporting chips to the Middle Kingdom, China's companies will have little choice but to buy domestic chips. And that means the country's young engineers will have time and funding to become more experienced. As the Middle Kingdom graduates more engineers than all of the West, there is little doubt that China will be a dominant player in the high technology market.
The worst case scenario is the one most likely to happen.
Chinese Americans should also not be naive and prepare for worst case themselves.
They should do it right now since they have more capacity.
Chinese Americans should do what we can to maintain US-China relations at this time.
In particular, I would watch Tarun Chhabra, an Indian American who is the senior director for Technology and National Security on Biden's National Security Council. He is using his position to advocate the US to transfer AI technology to India and give job placement and training to Indians.
He also advocated using the "China threat card" to unify America.
You can find some of his papers here:
"The Left Should Play the China Card" by Tarun Chhabra
Unless 90% of manufacturing moves out of China I don’t see that happening. All that semiconductor has to be consumed somewhere.
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