good questionWhen would CXMT release LPDDR5X?
good question
looks like 2025. They need to put D1z (aka G4 technology) into production before they can get here. But since Samsung just got here a year ago, CXMT getting here by 2025 is not bad at all
Although looks like they announced the product back in late 2021
so imo, it goes something like this
validation with Xiaomi/Transsion this year on LPDDR5
mass production in Q2 with G3 tech
mass production later in 2024 with G4 tech
mass production in 2nd half of 2025 with 16/18GB LPDDR5x and D1z
And that's good enough to go into medium end smart phones probably or even Huawei phones if they are desperate
By then, domestic tools are also good enough so they don't need to be concerned about sanctions
imo, the big challenge is just using domestic tools to do D1z process. That's a pretty tall order for AMEC. Since they claim the tools are getting verified right now.Well IMO the real problem for CXMT is that the LPDDR5 demand will be way higher than what they can supply.
Juts for reference all current , , and even all the chips but the 8 series (i.e. 4, 6 and 7 series) use LPDDR4x or LPDDR5 memory. Only the very high end Snapdragon 8 and Mediatek Dimensity moved to LPDDR5x.
The big issue for CXMT, YMTC and SMIC at the moment is to ramp up production of their current advanced nodes. They will easily sell all advanced chips they are able to produce, at least for the foreseeable future.
Ramp up production is the huge and very hard challenge for them considering that also exports of ASML DUVi machines starting 2024 will be limited and that the largest part of the domestic replacement for other kind of equipment is currently still in validation phase for advanced nodes below 28nm.
Apart from lithography, that is a (big) separated topic, Chinese SME have conquered 28nm in 2023. It will take them the whole 2024 and IMHO also 2025 to move down to 7nm for volume production.