They are a metal processing company.Does it use Western/US IP?
They are a metal processing company.Does it use Western/US IP?
The Japanese government is not the US one. If the Japanese government institutes a licensing scheme where they have to vet each purchase it is highly unlikely they will ever grant any licenses.I predict Japan may institute requiring licenses for wide range of semi exports but then follow the US lead of approving all the license applications. US approves 94% of licenses to export to China.
The largest Chinese semiconductor fabs all have significant Chinese government state capital in them. Be it capital from state owned companies or investment funds from local governments. All it takes is a directive from the central government not to buy this or that product and its sales will tank. The directive does not even need to be made public. Pretty much like what happened to Boeing aircraft.What I am saying and this is what ASML CEO Sr. Peter Wennink is trying to warn people is that once Chinese semiconductor equipment, materials and software companies capacity increase and become dominant players in the Chinese semiconductor industry, the barriers of entry for foreign companies are going to become a lot higher, the Chinese goverment will want to protect their nascent companies, in the near future could be probably that these semi companies will have to beg their respective goverment to allow them sell the stuff that the Chinese companies hasn't mastered yet. Basically a sell your best or nothing scenario.
And those barriers could be even higher when goverment subsidies are involved.
US commerce dept vets every single purchase that requires a license and grants 94% of export licenses. So I doubt Japan will approve 0% because that would cede all market share to Netherlands which will leverage all the loopholes and tricks to stay inside China market, just like US companies are doing. All Japan has to do is review it, and if it has no military end-user or Xinjiang slave labor, then it'll likely gets approved just like in US.The Japanese government is not the US one. If the Japanese government institutes a licensing scheme where they have to vet each purchase it is highly unlikely they will ever grant any licenses.
This is the press Q&A from their commerce ministry.The Japanese government is not the US one. If the Japanese government institutes a licensing scheme where they have to vet each purchase it is highly unlikely they will ever grant any licenses.
The largest Chinese semiconductor fabs all have significant Chinese government state capital in them. Be it capital from state owned companies or investment funds from local governments. All it takes is a directive from the central government not to buy this or that product and its sales will tank. The direct does not even need to be made public. Pretty much like what happened to Boeing aircraft.
This answer my own question Nikon only offer two types of immersion scanners while ASML offer 6.This is the press Q&A from their commerce ministry.
Semiconductor manufacturing equipment export control
Q: I would like to ask about export regulations. The United States has strengthened export controls by naming China, but is this something that China is in mind?
A: Regarding the measures taken this time, I have been exchanging opinions with allies and comrades, including the United States and the Netherlands. is to be introduced.
I think each country has its own judgment on the content. It is not intended to be in line with or follow the US measures taken in October last year, but the content of the measures is different. Japan's recent measures are to add exports to all regions to the list of control targets, and do not focus on specific countries. Since we will strengthen confirmation of whether there is any concern about military use, we will implement strict export controls.
Q: I am also concerned with the export control of semiconductor manufacturing. Individual permits will also be required in the future if the ministerial decree comes into effect. Although it is for China, individual permission is also required. China is currently proceeding with the development of semiconductors in its own country, but what kind of points will be focused on for China when this individual license is granted in the future?
Also, about 30% of Japan's exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment come from China.
A: First of all, most of the 160 or so countries and regions around the world are not subject to blanket licenses for the items to be implemented this time, so China, as you pointed out, is included in this 160 countries and regions. Although it is included, it does not have a specific country in mind, so we will look at whether there is a risk of military diversion. Since it is limited to extremely advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment, it is not an embargo, but rather a control, so if there is no risk of diversion for military purposes, exports can be made as usual. Therefore, we would like to rigorously look at whether or not there is a risk of military diversion, and we are communicating with various companies about the overall impact of your indications, but overall the impact on domestic companies. Although we recognize that it is limited, we would like to communicate firmly with related companies.
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They say is mostly extreme advance and Digitimes says is mostly for EUV and 3DNAND but they included the dying Nikon immersion scanners line of products, although Nikon similar to ASML has various models different from the Dutch they didn't specify which models. A contradiction on its own.