Chinese semiconductor industry

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PopularScience

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btw Inspur is the big one here. I'm surprised no one has commented on it. I actually thought they already got sanctioned from back a couple of years ago
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but maybe the shipment resumed and they are under even tighter microscope now?
Either way, they have been pretty aggressive in working at bringing domestic CPU/GPU players to their platform in the past couple of years. Just not sure if there is enough volume production there to satisfy their needs.

I saw Loongson stock up over 6% today despite being put on the entity list.
Clearly, people see LS as a big winner here with orders from both Inspur and other Chinese tech giants that are likely to get sanctioned at some point
It was Sugon that got sanctioned. Now it’s Inspur turn. But I doubt that they will stop selling cpu to Inspur.

Sugon still selling Intel/Amd server after the sanctioned.

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And sales is growing.

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european_guy

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btw Inspur is the big one here. I'm surprised no one has commented on it. I actually thought they already got sanctioned from back a couple of years ago
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The clear target here is the Chinese cloud and AI market. I wrote just yesterday that Intel and friends are a long term liability. Longson and others could replace Intel somehow, but the problem is the volume. I'm not sure SMIC can produce enough CPU for the explosive and growing Chinese market.

Eventually Chinese IC designers like Longson, Pythium, etc may just focus on the server market and tape out CPU customized for datacenters, and leave the PC and consumer market to Intel and AMD, so to optimize the return from the not so big wafer volume by SMIC in the advanced nodes.

Consumer PC market will be the last one to be attacked by US, because numbers are big and startegically is not so critical like the cloud and AI.
 

Franklin

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Does anyone have a clue what the remaining problems are with the SMEE SA800 machine's and how long it would take to resolve them.
 

tphuang

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The clear target here is the Chinese cloud and AI market. I wrote just yesterday that Intel and friends are a long term liability. Longson and others could replace Intel somehow, but the problem is the volume. I'm not sure SMIC can produce enough CPU for the explosive and growing Chinese market.

Eventually Chinese IC designers like Longson, Pythium, etc may just focus on the server market and tape out CPU customized for datacenters, and leave the PC and consumer market to Intel and AMD, so to optimize the return from the not so big wafer volume by SMIC in the advanced nodes.

Consumer PC market will be the last one to be attacked by US, because numbers are big and startegically is not so critical like the cloud and AI.
I've done this calculation several times already. There is plenty of SMIC capacity for server/desktop CPUs and AI GPUs. And even if it's not enough, they will get there as they qualify more domestic SMEs and source 2nd 2nd hand AMAT/Lam equipment. One big issue is that AI GPUs require probably 7nm production and it's unclear to me if SMIC has mastered the yield on complex 7nm chips. I'm going to assume no unless I see evidence otherwise.

Another thing to keep in mind is that Hygon/Zhaoxin CPUs are still being produced by TSMC IIRC, so it's not like SMIC even has full lock on it. And on top of that, all the non-entity list tech companies can still get their chip design manufactured by TSMC and Samsung. So, what they need to do is to fast track all the server CPUs they need for the next 2 years.
Everything in China hinges on one thing. When can SMEE deliver the SSA800 28nm DUV machine's and how fast can China improve on it going forwards.
absolutely not, they will probably have enough ASML DUVi for their SN2 expansion. What they currently lack is all those AMAT/Lam equipment. I assume they are trying to source it right now and qualifying other SMEs
China have enough asml DUVi.
exactly, we will find out soon what their production capability is.
 
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