Chinese semiconductor industry

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siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
One has to be careful about following the theory of comparative advantage too greatly, although given their populations it is to a certain extent understandable, but if the Netherlands, a smaller country population wise than them has ASML, why don't they themselves also have more prominence with regards to semiconductor manufacturing equipment? That is in part of rhetorical question since your comment than I am tagging actually answers it...

You answered your own question. Why doesn’t Holland run the whole process themselves? Why do they only make DUV/EUV but not the light source, chemicals, etc.
 

phrozenflame

Junior Member
Registered Member
It truly is hilarious how the United States have actually been the ones to motivate Chinese companies to localise and increase R&D when the Chinese government has been trying for years. All the moves to limit free trade in this sector have been initiated by the United States, exposing their lack of confidence. At this point every semiconductor company must realise that the future of the free market lies not with USA but with China. The fact that US and European companies fear new restrictions by the US Government rather than any Chinese policy says everything.
That what they did after Tianmen on Chinese defense industry in a way. Now it's gone past Europeans and just few years behind Americans as opposed to 3 decades in 1990s.
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
Decent article, thoughts anyone?

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Just my 2 cents, it was a good history lesson, as that was what happened in my understanding of things.

Of how Intel was basically the industry, then the industry evolved and that is why Intel was no longer the Intel everyone always knew. There were other major players now who were better at what they did.

The guy always wrote sharp articles, and here the scratch guy emphasizes the trailing edge.

There is a huge market for mature chips, and that is booming. China is right in the center of that action.

What the article does not delve into, is the rationale or possible outcomes of China not having the best chips, will that be enough for the US to maintain a lead over China in AI for example?

On that point, the scratch guy might have to say something that people do not want to hear.

He cannot say that, or even raise that possibility, in case subscribers start to cancel their subscriptions.

:D

Look at the breath of that article, he talked about everything, except for the meat of the sanctions, their declared goal of the US government.

Clearly, the scratch guy avoided that.

But, in a way, he kind of suggests the question. He probably has an opinion, will not share it.

Wonder why?! Ha!

:oops:
 

caudaceus

Senior Member
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Topazchen

Junior Member
Registered Member
Just my 2 cents, it was a good history lesson, as that was what happened in my understanding of things.

Of how Intel was basically the industry, then the industry evolved and that is why Intel was no longer the Intel everyone always knew. There were other major players now who were better at what they did.

The guy always wrote sharp articles, and here the scratch guy emphasizes the trailing edge.

There is a huge market for mature chips, and that is booming. China is right in the center of that action.

What the article does not delve into, is the rationale or possible outcomes of China not having the best chips, will that be enough for the US to maintain a lead over China in AI for example?

On that point, the scratch guy might have to say something that people do not want to hear.

He cannot say that, or even raise that possibility, in case subscribers start to cancel their subscriptions.

:D

Look at the breath of that article, he talked about everything, except for the meat of the sanctions, their declared goal of the US government.

Clearly, the scratch guy avoided that.

But, in a way, he kind of suggests the question. He probably has an opinion, will not share it.

Wonder why?! Ha!

:oops:
To be fair to him, he is even suggesting that getting to the bleeding edge won't be hard for China like it was for the rest.

He acknowledges that catch up is easier than pushing the frontier and if you have an unlimited amount of money like China, it's only a matter of time.
 

tokenanalyst

Brigadier
Registered Member
Just my 2 cents, it was a good history lesson, as that was what happened in my understanding of things.

Of how Intel was basically the industry, then the industry evolved and that is why Intel was no longer the Intel everyone always knew. There were other major players now who were better at what they did.

The guy always wrote sharp articles, and here the scratch guy emphasizes the trailing edge.

There is a huge market for mature chips, and that is booming. China is right in the center of that action.

What the article does not delve into, is the rationale or possible outcomes of not having the best chips, will that be enough for the US to maintain a lead over China in AI for example?

On that point, the scratch guy might have to say something that people do not want to hear.

He cannot say that, or even raise that possibility, in case subscribers start to cancel their subscriptions.

:D

Look at the breath of that article, he talked about everything, except for the meat of the sanctions, their declared goal of the US government.

Clearly, the scratch guy avoided that.

But, in a way, he kind of suggests the question. He probably has an opinion, will not share it.

Wonder why?! Ha!

:oops:
People usually don't understand why the Chinese are obsessed with this "trailing edge nodes", the goverment do not just want China to make chips, they want China to make chips with their own tools. That was a goal even before the trade war.

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The point is that most of China SME is rated to 28nm, in some cases more advanced, so if China wants its semiconductor equipment industry to advance they need to invest in fabs that could use those equipment. So SME companies make money, debug-verify their tools and advance to the next level. 28nm is basically a training node for Chinese toolmakers.

If China started to invest on developing advanced nodes in bulk, they will have to do it with foreign tools even more than today. So is counterproductive to their goals and more now that the US goverment is in stupid mode again.
 

tokenanalyst

Brigadier
Registered Member
Just curious actually, do China have some semiconductor coordinating body that connecting everybody from tool makers, designers, universities to government?

Something like sematech or Japanese MITI their coordination seems very strong.
Yeah various groups, some from the goverment and other from alliances that semiconductor equipment companies do among themselves to cut cost of R&D and avoid duplicative work.
 

ZeEa5KPul

Colonel
Registered Member
Industry sources said that China's top foundry SMIC and other domestic peers are expected to stay put at the 28nm chip era as their R&D momentum is being greatly deterred by the US restrictions on China-bound exports of advanced manufacturing equipment and related software tools and services.
"Industry sources." We know better, don't we.
 
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