National standard might be a good thing or it might not. I think more likely, one domestic player in the AI space will be the big winner and maybe a couple of smaller ones by each of the cloud service providers. The big winner looks like Biren technology right now based on the performance of their chips. I think it is more important that people who are familiar with CUDA can easily use the Chinese one. That way, companies outside of China will also be interested in using Chinese AI chips/servers. After all, Chinese companies will want to sell their GPUs abroad.
I took a look at CUDA just now and it looks very much just like C++. Looks like BirenSupa also has a c++ extension
Huawei is an interesting case actually. I haven't seen them buying into any of these promising chip companies. Inspur/Baidu are buying into/working with both BR100 and Kunlun-2. I speculate Alibaba cloud will eventually purchase BR100 also. Tencent mobile is looking to build its own chips and also invested in Enflame. Alibaba cloud developed their own server chip and also invested in Vastai technology.
Huawei doesn't look to have invested in anyone. Prior to the sanctions, it had a very robust chip making business in server and AI with Hisilicon. In fact, Kunpeng 920 is still being used widely 3 years later. Not as advanced as Alibaba's Yitian-710, but pretty good for something designed 3 years ago. They also developed their own Ascend series of AI chips. So, I can only presume that they are working hard at designing a newer more powerful AI GPU with both 12 nm and 7 nm process with their own fab or with SMIC. In many ways, Huawei has been forced to trail blaze for rest of China's semiconductor business.
There are definitely arguments for free-market and competition to sort out winners, and let the best win. I'm afraid that's probably not the best strategy for China now in this industry.
First of all, China is a laggard in this industry and Chinese companies are not pioneers in this industry. They are all trying to desperately catch up. There is simply no time to experiment with the different models and sort out the winning ecosystems and winners. The US has demonstrated the model and road forward.
Secondly, China's strength is in her large market and potential large-scale applications. Quickly getting to some kind of industry standard will help grow the market and form the positive feedback loop a lot more quickly. Also a more or less unified standard will also reduce the wasteful investment in marketing and sales of each company's own ecosystem, so they can more focus on performance and other technical criteria. This actually helps pick the winners quicker.
Lastly, Chinese companies are not particularly experienced or well-known in setting industry standards and collaborating among themselves. Yet this is the area China and Chinese companies need to learn quickly in order to develop alternative technology ecosystems to compete with the US, not just in GPU or even in semiconductor. I'm not talking about national standards as in imposed by government, which don't always work well, particularly in new or emerging industries. It's more about industry standards set and adopted by partners and competitors in an industry. In that case, it doesn't even have to be one standard. Companies can form competing standards. In this particular case, the benefits of domestic companies collaborate to develop the industry and expand the downstream applications far outweighs the those from free-for-all competition with its attendant cost and inefficiencies.