Chinese Economics Thread

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
The findings should slap a 4 year tariff on US sorghum, starting at 30%, then 25% the second year, 20% the third year, 15% the 4th year, and be phased on by year 5 LOL

For anyone who doesn't get it, this is the exact tariff plan that Trump put on solar panels.
exactly, more efficient than going to WTO.:D And I believe it is a deliberate response to the solar panel, not a coincidence. What I enjoy of China's act is "I do without big mouthing, I smile while kicking your ass".
 
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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Tit for tat as expected via cirr
China launches anti-dumping investigation into U.S. sorghum imports

2018-02-05 09:03 CGTN Editor: Gu Liping

China has launched an anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigation into imports of sorghum grown in the U.S., the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) said in a statement on Sunday.

"This is a normal case of trade remedy investigations," said Wang Hejun, head of the ministry's Trade Remedy and Investigation Bureau.

Preliminary evidence and information found that the U.S. government had subsidized its sorghum exports, and that the volume of U.S. sorghum exported to China had increased substantially since 2013, with the prices lower than the normal value, the ministry said, noting that local producers were damaged as a result.

The ministry said it had ordered the investigation because the local industry included a large number of small growers who were unable to prepare the necessary documentation. The launch of the investigation is in accordance with the relevant laws of China and the World Trade Organization rules.

The investigation into sorghum dumping will be carried out for the period from November 1, 2016 until October 31, 2017, while an investigation of industrial injury will be from January 1, 2013 until October 31, 2017, said the ministry.

The investigation should be complete by February 4, 2019, it said, but can be extended until August 4, 2019.

Beijing's move is expected to immediately hit demand for the upcoming U.S. sorghum crop, exports of which are largely used to feed China's huge livestock sector, and could send shivers through the entire U.S. farm sector.

China is the top buyer of U.S. sorghum as well as soybeans, the US' most valuable export to the world's second-largest economy.

The US shipped 4.76 million tonnes of sorghum to China in 2017, the bulk of China's roughly five million tonnes of imports of the grain that year, and worth around 1.1 billion US dollars, according to Chinese customs data.

(With input from Reuters)

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Interesting thing is that, a recent report has shown that Brazil has overtaken US's soybean export to China. I myself would be willing to pay a bit higher price for respect. That is the beauty of competition and globalization. Nobody can blackmail others without paying the price.
 
Dissed Latin America responds to condescending Tillerson.

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Peru defends China as good trade partner after U.S. warnings

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LIMA (Reuters) - Peru’s trade minister defended China as a good trade partner on Tuesday, after U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson warned Latin American countries against excessive reliance on economic ties with the Asian powerhouse.


Peru's Foreign Trade and Tourism Minister Eduardo Ferreyros gestures to media after Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) talks during APEC Summit in Danang, Vietnam, November 9, 2017. REUTERS/Kham
Eduardo Ferreyros said Peru’s 2010 trade liberalization deal with China had allowed the Andean nation of about 30 million people to post a $2.74 billion trade surplus with Beijing last year.

“China is a good trade partner,” Ferreyros told foreign media, as Tillerson met with President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski in Lima, a stop on Tillerson’s five-nation Latin American tour. “We’re happy with the results of the trade agreement.”

The remarks were the Peruvian government’s first signal since Tillerson’s warning that it does not share Washington’s concerns about growing Chinese influence in the region.


Before kicking off his trip to Latin America on Friday, Tillerson suggested that China could become a new imperial power in the region, and accused it of deploying unfair trade practices.

“I appreciate advice, no matter where it comes from. But we’re careful with all of our trade relations,” Ferreyros said, when asked about Tillerson’s remarks.

Ferreyros also praised Peru’s trade relationship with Washington, despite a trade deficit with the United States. “I‘m not afraid of trade deficits,” Ferreyros said.

Since China first overtook the United States as Peru’s biggest trade partner in 2011, thanks mostly to its appetite for Peru’s metals exports, bilateral trade has surged and diplomatic ties have tightened.

Kuczynski, a former Wall Street banker, made a point of visiting China before any other nation on his first official trip abroad as president in 2016.

Under former president Barack Obama, the United States had hoped to counter China’s rise in the fast-growing Asia-Pacific region, which includes large parts of Latin America, with the sweeping Trans-Pacific trade deal known as the TPP.


While President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the TPP upon taking office, the 11 remaining signatories, including Peru and Japan, have struck a similar deal that they plan to sign without the United States in March.

Tillerson, who left Peru for Colombia on Tuesday, said on Monday that Trump was open to evaluating the benefits of the United States joining the so-called TPP-11 pact in the future, which Ferreyros called “a good sign.”

All countries in the Asia-Pacific region, including China, were welcome to join TPP-11, Ferreyros said. “But the deal has closed and countries that want to join obviously can’t renegotiate the whole agreement,” he added.

Reporting By Marco Aquino, Writing By Mitra Taj, Editing by Rosalba O'Brien
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Dissed Latin America responds to condescending Tillerson.

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Peru defends China as good trade partner after U.S. warnings

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LIMA (Reuters) - Peru’s trade minister defended China as a good trade partner on Tuesday, after U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson warned Latin American countries against excessive reliance on economic ties with the Asian powerhouse.


Peru's Foreign Trade and Tourism Minister Eduardo Ferreyros gestures to media after Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) talks during APEC Summit in Danang, Vietnam, November 9, 2017. REUTERS/Kham
Eduardo Ferreyros said Peru’s 2010 trade liberalization deal with China had allowed the Andean nation of about 30 million people to post a $2.74 billion trade surplus with Beijing last year.

“China is a good trade partner,” Ferreyros told foreign media, as Tillerson met with President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski in Lima, a stop on Tillerson’s five-nation Latin American tour. “We’re happy with the results of the trade agreement.”

The remarks were the Peruvian government’s first signal since Tillerson’s warning that it does not share Washington’s concerns about growing Chinese influence in the region.


Before kicking off his trip to Latin America on Friday, Tillerson suggested that China could become a new imperial power in the region, and accused it of deploying unfair trade practices.

“I appreciate advice, no matter where it comes from. But we’re careful with all of our trade relations,” Ferreyros said, when asked about Tillerson’s remarks.

Ferreyros also praised Peru’s trade relationship with Washington, despite a trade deficit with the United States. “I‘m not afraid of trade deficits,” Ferreyros said.

Since China first overtook the United States as Peru’s biggest trade partner in 2011, thanks mostly to its appetite for Peru’s metals exports, bilateral trade has surged and diplomatic ties have tightened.

Kuczynski, a former Wall Street banker, made a point of visiting China before any other nation on his first official trip abroad as president in 2016.

Under former president Barack Obama, the United States had hoped to counter China’s rise in the fast-growing Asia-Pacific region, which includes large parts of Latin America, with the sweeping Trans-Pacific trade deal known as the TPP.


While President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the TPP upon taking office, the 11 remaining signatories, including Peru and Japan, have struck a similar deal that they plan to sign without the United States in March.

Tillerson, who left Peru for Colombia on Tuesday, said on Monday that Trump was open to evaluating the benefits of the United States joining the so-called TPP-11 pact in the future, which Ferreyros called “a good sign.”

All countries in the Asia-Pacific region, including China, were welcome to join TPP-11, Ferreyros said. “But the deal has closed and countries that want to join obviously can’t renegotiate the whole agreement,” he added.

Reporting By Marco Aquino, Writing By Mitra Taj, Editing by Rosalba O'Brien

Very bold of them to take a clear stance when a better option would be to play one power against another.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Very bold of them to take a clear stance when a better option would be to play one power against another.
They were probably outraged by Tillerson's suggestion that Latino countries weren't fit to make their own decisions and Trump's obvious discrimination and hatred towards Latinos.

Besides, getting economically cozy with the US only sets you up for economic blackmail and sanctions, as the US has always demonstrated. It also didn't sound like Tillerson went armed with any cards to make a counter offer and compete economically with China; it seemed he was just telling Peru to stop dealing with China cus it's making the US feel uncomfortable.
 
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Mcsweeney

Junior Member
European success started when Marco Polo came back with a bunch of Chinese inventions to build the West. It is China's determination, hard work, intelligence and resilience that made them successful today. European economy revolves around China today. Sorry but China today will never adapt to your fake democracy and Judeo-Christian values that you hold so dear and worry that a rising China will end it.

I don't know why you bash Christianity in almost every post, but it's a joke if you think EUROPE is all about "Judeo-Christian values". Christianity is almost completely dead in Europe. It's extremely left wing ie contrary to Christian morality; there was a survey done where the majority of French people don't think adultery is that bad. Even people who identify as Christians don't take it seriously at all and rarely go to church.
 

supercat

Major
The most important aspect of this article is that it offers some interesting rebuttal against Michael Pettis' claim about China's GDP growth. Michael Pettis is one of the most famous China pessimist.

China’s economic gloom merchants
By
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Markedly slower growth and imminent financial crisis have been the common dual predictions for China over the past decade. China’s growth has indeed slowed from its unsustainable breakneck pace in the two decades before the 2007–08 global crisis, but since then has settled down to a steady 6–7% per year, two or three times as fast as advanced economies.

Keeping growth going through and since the downturn has, however, required a big increase in domestic credit, raising the risk of a financial crisis. Can China continue to confound the pundits?

This depends on the intertwined but distinct issues of growth and financial stability.

Let’s start with growth. Michael Pettis, a professor at Peking University, has been perhaps the most vocal and persistent pessimist. In 2012, when China’s growth had already slowed to around its current pace,
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magazine that China’s annual GDP growth this decade would “barely break 3%”. The decade is not quite over yet, but it’s looking like a clear win for The Economist.

If you are at risk of losing a bet,
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.
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. Unlike many others, he doesn’t dispute China’s GDP data as such. Instead, he notes that this only records “national output”. He says that much of this output growth has been wasted on unproductive investment, which should be written off. Pettis says that in market economies this happens, reducing GDP growth through lower profits.

This, however, exaggerates the difference between Chinese and Western GDP. China is hardly alone in unproductive investment and tardy recognition of poor investment. And if we
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for poor assets, consistency requires that we revalue assets whose price has risen: housing booms would produce spectacular growth in GDP.

In practice, the imperfect answer is that good projects boost GDP over time through higher output and stronger profits, while bad projects erode GDP. Pettis’s argument is only one more reason why GDP is an imperfect measure of living standards. That acknowledged, it’s hard to offer a much better measure. It’s harder still to see how his estimate of current (corrected) growth of 1–2% could reflect China’s reality.

Pessimism about China’s financial sector probably peaked more than two years ago, with
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of an imminent and massive financial collapse, resulting in a long recession. Although he’s a smart and innovative economist, this was a miscall.

Since then,
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has levelled out, but the more comprehensive “total social financing”, including non-bank intermediation and government debt, is
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250% of GDP and still rising. This is
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, but is high for a developing economy and has grown much too fast.

Grenville%20China%20Graph%202.png


Thus
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remains pessimistic: “International experience suggests that China’s credit growth is on a dangerous trajectory, with increasing risks of a disruptive adjustment and/or a marked growth slowdown”.

But China’s credit situation is different from other countries. It has little external debt, big foreign exchange reserves, and capital controls, so won’t have a crisis like the 1997 Asian crisis. The main overextended borrowers are state-owned enterprises (SOEs) which have mainly borrowed from state-owned banks, so the situation’s “in-house”, and hence easier to restructure. Government debt is modest, allowing fiscal space to soften a crisis. Unlike the 1997 Asian and 2008 global crises, Chinese authorities know in advance that there is a problem and are taking action. China could (and probably will) have a period of painful adjustment as policy stabilises the high debt levels, but a major meltdown seems unlikely.

What does all this mean for policy? The thrust of the Pettis’s argument is that China is saving too much. His answer is to encourage consumption. This makes sense and shouldn’t be too hard: most governments have to wrestle with the opposite and more intractable problem of keeping the public happy while restraining consumption.

Pettis is surely too pessimistic about investment opportunities, recalling China’s
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. One of the characteristics of heavy infrastructure is that it is sensible to build excess capacity initially: think of the Sydney Harbour Bridge, which reached capacity thirty years after construction. New Yorkers wish the
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had been built ahead of demand when it was first proposed in 1919.

China has an opportunity to restrain credit without harming growth by limiting SOE borrowing, which was responsible for 60% of the rise in corporate debt from 2008 to 2016. The SOEs produce only 15–20% of industrial output. The special focus should be on the “zombie” SOEs, which account for nearly 15% of corporate debt. The often-mentioned rise in the ratio of credit-to-growth should be read as a positive rather than a negative: cutting back credit growth shouldn’t damage growth much.

Of course, restructuring SOEs and reining in local governments present vexed political challenges. The IMF’s suggestion that China should accept lower growth rates in order to limit debt growth seems to be mistaken logic. If a key reform is to restructure SOEs, slower growth will make this more painful, and therefore less likely. Fiscal expansion could soften the restructure. China should be able to maintain the 6–7% growth of recent years as it deepens capital and moves towards the technological frontier.

At some stage, probably a decade or more away, China will run into the same growth-constraining factors that slowed Japan and South Korea. But not yet.

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Equation

Lieutenant General
I don't know why you bash Christianity in almost every post, but it's a joke if you think EUROPE is all about "Judeo-Christian values". Christianity is almost completely dead in Europe. It's extremely left wing ie contrary to Christian morality; there was a survey done where the majority of French people don't think adultery is that bad. Even people who identify as Christians don't take it seriously at all and rarely go to church.

Ever heard of the Crusade, colonialism, slavery, and today's regime change policies? It's the not the Christian people that I have a problem with, it's some of the elite establishments and institutions that's trying to rule the world through "God and Christ the Savior" that has caused a lot of historical wars, atrocities, and major human right violations.
 
now I read
China's LONGi announces solar manufacturing unit for India
2018-02-06 15:33 GMT+8
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Solar cell makers LONGi has announced it will set up the first Chinese solar manufacturing plant in India with an investment of 309 million US dollars.

The company plans to invest 240 million dollars in actual construction costs and 68 million US dollars in working capital. The plant will be located in the southeastern state of Andhra Pradesh and will manufacture 1 GW solar PV that will include 500 MW of cells and 500 MW of modules.

Max Xia, strategy and global marketing director of LONGi Solar Technology Co. Ltd said, said manufacturing is likely to start next year.

Addressing a press conference in Beijing on Tuesday, he said India is a rapidly growing solar market, and that per unit cost, solar power generation is one of the lowest in the world.

“We had planned our investment around two years ago, but a bar on overseas investment delayed our project,” Xia added.

The company is also mindful that India plans to open a bid for 20 gigawatts, the world’s largest solar tender, that will require prospective companies to have local partners or manufacturing plants.

The government also plans to install 175 GW of renewable energy by 2022.

“India is already China’s biggest market for solar products by sale value," Frank Shang, LONGi’s chief strategy officer said. "During 2017, China exports accounted for 24.1 percent of India’s solar products, with sales growth seen in both cells and modules."

LONGi is the world’s largest monocrystalline solar wafer maker. Monocrystalline silicon panels are known for better efficiency when compared to the multicrystalline silicon, widely used globally in setting up solar power projects.

When it was announced last month that the US had slapped 30 percent tariffs on imported panels, it emerged that India is also planning a similar move. Government is planning to impose a 70 percent duty on imported solar panels to protect local manufacturers.

“We respect the national government's decision to impose duties to protect local jobs. But solar energy needs a global consensus and free trade to curb pollution,” Xia told CGTN.

He added that rising pollution in India, especially in New Delhi, calls for large-scale generation of green energy to control emissions.

LONGi officials pointed out India should provide incentives for the green energy sector as it already has the lowest per unit generation of solar power. At present India generates one watt of solar power at 3-5 cents kW/hr and China produces the same at 5-7 cents kW/hr.

“Labor cost is still cheap in India and time is ripe for framing policies to boost green energy,” Xia said.
 
now I read
China calls on foreign enterprises to follow basic ground rules
Xinhua| 2018-02-07 20:28:32
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China on Wednesday called on foreign enterprises to follow basic ground rules, after Mercedes-Benz apologized for putting a poster with quotes from the Dalai Lama on its Instagram account.

"Correcting one's mistakes is a fundamental basis for one to behave and do business," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Geng Shuang said Wednesday at a daily press briefing.

This year marks the 40th anniversary of China's reform and opening up. And cooperation with foreign enterprises over the past 40 years is not only beneficial to China, but also brings huge profits to foreign companies, said Geng.

China will continue to cooperate with foreign enterprises and hope that they will follow basic ground rules, he added.
 
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