Disagree.
The lines are very close (presumably) because it's a weighted average and China is more than 80% of East Asia by population. So it's actually East Asia's line following China's line. China's is higher than the rest of East Asia, but still below the replacement rate.
Sure, and there's more room for policy changes. After all, if a limit of two children is applied to everyone, that's still fertility. But judging from the situation in other countries, achieving any substantial increase will be difficult.
On demographic policy, it would be hard to describe China's leadership as responsive.
C'mon, you talk about Europe.
A lot of opinions in that post.
First, this is China:
This is also China:
China is both First World and Third World. Taking the average of those two extremes presents a very misleading picture. Sure, people in Shanghai and Beijing will not want more than one or two kids, but what about people in Guizhou, Shanxi, or Anhui?
You think the Chinese government is not responsive on demographics? They've been following a careful plan for years, if not decades now. What do you think the HSR, so-called "ghost" cities, and now the OBOR, are about? If you haven't made the link between all those policies and initiatives, then you haven't been paying attention.
As for immigration, it is happening already:
At least the village is zombie proof. They are probably self sufficient other than in modern medicine.Yes they are going to school though the govenment build boarding apartment for the student down in the valley and they are given small stipend for books, stationery, food, clothing too if I am not wrong and free boarding But maybe some of the kid prefer home. It is free 9 years education I think they should jack it up to 15 years of free education like in Tibet and Xinjiang
They did install ladder steel to this village and provide telephone and internet service some of them become internet celebrity gy detailing their life in the village
China's first medical drone delivers essential supplies to 'cliff village'
2017-12-20 12:53
chinadaily.com.cn Editor: Gu Liping
China's Province, on Dec 14
A video shot recently shows a drone carrying medical supplies landing in the mountaintop village Atuleer in Liangshan Yi autonomous prefecture, Southwest China's Sichuan province.
The medical drone delivery service, the first of its kind in the country, jointly launched by China's second-largest e-commerce website JD, and China Siyuan Foundation for Poverty Alleviation, has been started to help deliver essential medical supplies to villagers in Atuleer.
The village, home to 500 residents living atop a cliff more than 1,400 meters high, became famous a year ago when reports emerged of villagers braving the vertical climb on the cliff to go in or out of the village.
With the help of the drone, it only takes 10 minutes to deliver medical supplies, while before this the villagers had to use the ladders to buy medicines and it usually took six to nine hours to complete a round trip.
"Villagers are unable to get sufficient medical care as the local health service is still very poor. Medical drone delivery can help improve the condition with lower costs," said Sun Zhixiang, vice-president of JD.
The village now has a newly built steel ladder and internet, as well as 4G signals.
So far, I've been the only one to post any data.
There is nothing wrong with taking the average value in this case, as it counts people from all the places you listed. I don't know how many children residents of Guizhou want, but I do know that China's total fertility rate is 1.6. What use is pointing at (hypothetical) outliers when the actual value for all Chinese citizens is available?
China's total fertility rate went below replacement in 1992 and the one child policy was abolished in 2015. Really groundbreaking reaction time.
Maybe. It's just that from the outside, the plan seems pretty bad.
I'm not going to refute an argument that hasn't even been presented. Suffice to say these things are more related to .
Through this article one can learn that in 2010 there were about 600 thousand foreigners (not counting people from Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan) in China. Ignoring the question of many stayed for a long time or permanently, that number is 0.05% of China's population, an insignicant number in any context.
@solarz , I don't know if you took a look at his data but it put China's population in 2100 at between 600 million to 1.6 billion. I expect then that all the age group estimates also fluctuate similarly. That's extremely wide coverage and not really much to argue about even though there's still no guarantee that it will turn out "right". In general, I don't pay any mind to predictions of what's to come almost a century later because anything could happen in that span of time: war, plague, famine, global mass extinction (yes, some predict global mass extinction in 2100), life rejuvenating biotechnology (as some pointed out), colonization of other planets (or maybe underwater cities), etc...